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By upset, I just meant that the majority of people predicting the game predicted the winner to lose. Not that the team that won "should not have" won, because that line of thinking is stupid. I actually correctly picked these 4 teams as the semi finalists on selection Sunday Link or didn't...

Yes, there were two upsets and therefore I'm a moron. I picked the same four teams that everyone else picked!

In case anyone is still curious.

EWURanger wrote:1. NDSU
2. EIU
3. EWU
4. Towson
5. SELA
6. New Hampshire
7. Coastal Carolina
8. Jacksonville State

These would be my rankings, though if my mood changes I might put Jacksonville St ahead of Coastal Carolina, and put SELA all the way up to #3.

After second round: winpct rd3 rd4 rd5 North Dakota St 74.5% 69.5% 45.6% 26.7% Eastern Illinois 75.2% 65.1% 44.0% 26.3% Southeastern LA 63.9% 58.8% 25.8% 12.0% Eastern Washington 60.7% 53.2% 20.7% 9.0% Towson 61.9% 34.9% 18.4% 8.2% Jacksonville St 57.5% 46.8% 16.8% 6.8% New Hampshire 55.3% 41.2% 14....

AZGrizFan wrote:When one team, ANY team from the OVC wins more than one playoff game, call me.

What's your number?

How a team did in the playoffs every year other than this year means soooo much less than how good a team is this year . Maybe we're talking about two different things. Eastern Illinois has not proven that they are going to win the playoffs this year. But they HAVE proven that they are an elite team...

1. North Dakota State 2. Eastern Illinois 3. Southeast Louisiana 4. South Dakota State 5. Eastern Washington 6. Towson 7. Montana 8. McNeese State 9. Coastal Carolina 10. Maine 11. Jacksonville State 12. New Hampshire 13. Sam Houston State 14. Tennessee State 15. Fordham 16. Furman -Eastern Illinois...

Updated after first round: winpct rd2 rd3 rd4 rd5 North Dakota St 74.7% 81.0% 55.8% 38.0% 23.5% Eastern Illinois 74.7% 76.7% 53.9% 36.8% 22.5% Southeastern LA 65.5% 64.9% 41.0% 20.0% 10.3% Towson 60.3% 64.8% 26.4% 13.9% 6.3% South Dakota St 60.3% 52.5% 28.5% 12.6% 5.7% Montana 58.7% 53.5% 21.0% 10.7...

Why do you call it "Log5?" I have no idea! :P http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log5 When one team, ANY team from the OVC wins more than one playoff game, call me. Until then, I seriously question the integrity of your computerized model. If Tennessee St beats EIU in the second round would tha...

I thought some people might be interested in this. The "winpct" column is the estimated probability that the team would beat an "average" team on a neutral field. It's derived from my own power ratings which also include FBS teams. I'm sure you'll find some of the team ratings a ...