Trump polling at 25% with blacks

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Trump polling at 25% with blacks

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http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2015/09 ... landslide/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by Gil Dobie »

It's official

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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by CAA Flagship »

Gil Dobie wrote:It's official

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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by Skjellyfetti »

So, the article says that if Trump won 25% of the black vote - he would win Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio.

Ok.

First of all, North Carolina went Republican in 2012... so, they wouldn't gain anything there.

But, if Republicans did gain Virginia, Florida, and Ohio - that would only be 266 electoral votes. Not enough for a Republican victory - let along the "landslide" the article says would happen if those states went Republican.

The fact that Democrats have enough wiggle room to lose those three states is pretty damning for Republican chances in 2016.
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by CID1990 »

Skjellyfetti wrote:So, the article says that if Trump won 25% of the black vote - he would win Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio.

Ok.

First of all, North Carolina went Republican in 2012... so, they wouldn't gain anything there.

But, if Republicans did gain Virginia, Florida, and Ohio - that would only be 266 electoral votes. Not enough for a Republican victory - let along the "landslide" the article says would happen if those states went Republican.

The fact that Democrats have enough wiggle room to lose those three states is pretty damning for Republican chances in 2016.
That's assuming the Democrats run someone other than Clinton or Sanders
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by CitadelGrad »

Skjellyfetti wrote:So, the article says that if Trump won 25% of the black vote - he would win Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio.

Ok.

First of all, North Carolina went Republican in 2012... so, they wouldn't gain anything there.

But, if Republicans did gain Virginia, Florida, and Ohio - that would only be 266 electoral votes. Not enough for a Republican victory - let along the "landslide" the article says would happen if those states went Republican.

The fact that Democrats have enough wiggle room to lose those three states is pretty damning for Republican chances in 2016.
You seem to be assuming that Trump's appeal extends no further than 25% of blacks and registered Republicans. Reagan had his Democrats. Trump will also.
The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants."

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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by DSUrocks07 »

CID1990 wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:So, the article says that if Trump won 25% of the black vote - he would win Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio.

Ok.

First of all, North Carolina went Republican in 2012... so, they wouldn't gain anything there.

But, if Republicans did gain Virginia, Florida, and Ohio - that would only be 266 electoral votes. Not enough for a Republican victory - let along the "landslide" the article says would happen if those states went Republican.

The fact that Democrats have enough wiggle room to lose those three states is pretty damning for Republican chances in 2016.
That's assuming the Democrats run someone other than Clinton or Sanders
Also assuming that every single 2012 voter who went with Obama over Romney would go Clinton or Sanders over Trump or whoever the GOP selects.

I love assumptions! Especially by supposed intellectuals and media pundits. :coffee:
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by Skjellyfetti »

CitadelGrad wrote: You seem to be assuming that Trump's appeal extends no further than 25% of blacks and registered Republicans. Reagan had his Democrats. Trump will also.
The article doesn't discuss this.

It's a shitty article. That's my point.
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by Gil Dobie »

Trump has the Jesse, Arnold, Franken celebrity appeal. Most people won't associate Trump with a political party when they vote. If his momentum continues, he may end up as president despite what the Donks and Conks think.
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by Ivytalk »

Gil Dobie wrote:Trump has the Jesse, Arnold, Franken celebrity appeal. Most people won't associate Trump with a political party when they vote. If his momentum continues, he may end up as president despite what the Donks and Conks think.
The Cult of Celebrity strikes again. Look what happened to Italy when it elected Berlusconi.
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by JohnStOnge »

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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by Ivytalk »

JohnStOnge wrote:Image
Nutrias are first cousins of marmots! :nod:
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Re: Trump polling at 25% with blacks

Post by JohnStOnge »

Ivytalk wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:Image
Nutrias are first cousins of marmots! :nod:
Maybe so but they don't look as much like Trump.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
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Could I ever be a star?

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