Donk vs Conk Nov 2d Scoring Thread

Political discussions

How many House seats will Republicans gain in the 2010 elections?

Poll ended at Sat Oct 30, 2010 7:15 pm

Fewer than 39 seats - Democrats will retain control of House leadership
3
10%
Between 39 and 54 - enough to win control of House leadership
14
47%
55 or more - a landslide "wave" election of historic proportions
11
37%
Don't know/not sure
2
7%
Don't care/hate your stinking polls
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 30

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native
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26 October Update - Dems Gain

Post by native »

26 October RCP Update:

Since Sunday, Repubs have slipped a seat and and Dems have gained a seat in the Real Clear Politics daily averages.

Repubs now have 223 projected leans/likely/safe seats, and Dems have 178 leans/likely/safe seats. as of today. 34 seats remain in the toss up category.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Re: How Many House Seats will Republicans net this November?

Post by LeadBolt »

Anything greater than 43 House seats switching parties is big and out of the statistical norm. In addition, if more than 5 Senate seats change hands. From what I see, it appears that there are those trying to manage perceptions by indicating these are to be expected. Spin doctoring at its best, trying to manage perceptions and creating an alternate reality. If this goes unchecked, then it could spill over from politics and into governance....
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Re: How Many House Seats will Republicans net this November?

Post by TheDancinMonarch »

LeadBolt wrote:Anything greater than 43 House seats switching parties is big and out of the statistical norm. In addition, if more than 5 Senate seats change hands. From what I see, it appears that there are those trying to manage perceptions by indicating these are to be expected. Spin doctoring at its best, trying to manage perceptions and creating an alternate reality. If this goes unchecked, then it could spill over from politics and into governance...
It could? Are you sure it hasn't happened already?
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Re: How Many House Seats will Republicans net this November?

Post by LeadBolt »

TheDancinMonarch wrote:
LeadBolt wrote:Anything greater than 43 House seats switching parties is big and out of the statistical norm. In addition, if more than 5 Senate seats change hands. From what I see, it appears that there are those trying to manage perceptions by indicating these are to be expected. Spin doctoring at its best, trying to manage perceptions and creating an alternate reality. If this goes unchecked, then it could spill over from politics and into governance...
It could? Are you sure it hasn't happened already?
Ah! I knew there was something different about these guys and what they've been doing...
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Re: How Many House Seats will Republicans net this November?

Post by native »

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Wednesday 27 October Update

Post by native »

27 October RCP Update:

Since yesterday, Repubs have gained two seats and Dems have maintained a steady state in the Real Clear Politics daily averages.

Repubs now have 225 projected leans/likely/safe seats, and Dems have 178 leans/likely/safe seats. as of today. 32 seats remain in the toss up category.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Thursday 28 October Update

Post by native »

28 October RCP Update:

Since yesterday, the Repubs and the Dems have each lost a projected "safe/likely/leans" seat in the Real Clear Politics average to the toss up category.

The box score now stands at 224 Repubs, 177 Dems, and 34 toss ups.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Friday 29 October Update

Post by native »

29 October RCP Update:

Today, the "Toss Up" category grows in the Real Clear Politics Average, while both Dems and Repubs lose projected "safe/likely/leans" seats, two seats each.

The box score now stands at 222 Repubs, 175 Dems, and 38 toss ups, up from 34 toss ups yesterday.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Re: Friday 29 October Update

Post by kalm »

native wrote:29 October RCP Update:

Today, the "Toss Up" category grows in the Real Clear Politics Average, while both Dems and Repubs lose projected "safe/likely/leans" seats, two seats each.

The box score now stands at 222 Repubs, 175 Dems, and 38 toss ups, up from 34 toss ups yesterday.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
You should change the title to Conk vs. Donk Nov. 2nd Scoring Thread.
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Re: Friday 29 October Update

Post by native »

kalm wrote:
native wrote:29 October RCP Update:

Today, the "Toss Up" category grows in the Real Clear Politics Average, while both Dems and Repubs lose projected "safe/likely/leans" seats, two seats each.

The box score now stands at 222 Repubs, 175 Dems, and 38 toss ups, up from 34 toss ups yesterday.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
You should change the title to Conk vs. Donk Nov. 2nd Scoring Thread.
Okey Dokey.
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Saturday 30 October Update

Post by native »

native wrote:29 October RCP Update:

Today, the "Toss Up" category grows in the Real Clear Politics Average, while both Dems and Repubs lose projected "safe/likely/leans" seats, two seats each.

The box score now stands at 222 Repubs, 175 Dems, and 38 toss ups, up from 34 toss ups yesterday.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Saturday 30 October Update:

Repubs are climbing and Dems are slipping in the Real ClearPolitics average.

The box score now stands at 224 Repubs, 171 Dems, and 40 toss ups, up from 38 toss ups yesterday.
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Re: Donk vs Conk Nov 2d Scoring Thread

Post by UCABEAR »

It's funny to see Blanche Lincoln put out so many negative ads for months slamming her opponent then last night she puts out the "I've served the best interests of Arkansas, I've done a great job FOR YOU. I hope you'll remember that come election time...that I was working for you."

Really Lincoln? So when the people of Arkansas told you NOT to vote for the Health Care Bill and you did, were you listening to the people you serve? The overall feeling in the state is her last days in office are coming to a quick end. She did some good things for the state, but now her alligiance to her party and not her people cost her the job. Too bad. :coffee:
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Sunday 31 October Update

Post by native »

Sunday Morning, 31 October Update:

In the Real Clear Politics average, the Dems are maintaining 171 leans/likely/safe seats, while Repubs have fallen to 221, and toss ups have swollen to 43.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Monday 01 November Update

Post by native »

native wrote:Sunday Morning, 31 October Update:

In the Real Clear Politics average, the Dems are maintaining 171 leans/likely/safe seats, while Repubs have fallen to 221, and toss ups have swollen to 43.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
What a difference a day makes! In this morning's Real Clear Politics average, the Repubs have climbed back to 224, their high water mark, while the Dems have fallen to 167, their lowest. Toss ups have increased to 44.
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Re: Donk vs Conk Nov 2d Scoring Thread

Post by LeadBolt »

If I had the poll to do over, I think I would go with 55+. I haven't seen the Dem. charge at the end I expected. Here in GA I was thinking that 1 House seat would change from Blue to Red, but now think 2 might. It will be interesting to see how it turns out.
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Re: Donk vs Conk Nov 2d Scoring Thread

Post by native »

Congrats to the 11 voters and leadbolt - who successfully anticipated the 55+ seat Republican wave. :thumb:
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Re: Donk vs Conk Nov 2d Scoring Thread

Post by ChickenMan »

I always knew that if the loony 'Left' got complete control and began to show their true colors.. they would be soundly rejected by the people of this nation. Well the 'progressives' got their power and it sure as hell didn't take long for the the American people to wise up and throw their socialist asses out of office. :clap:
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Re: Donk vs Conk Nov 2d Scoring Thread

Post by Bronco »

I was seeing anti Sen Tester ads when he's not up for two years. Why so early when nobody is running against him yet?

Send him a message maybe... that he should think about his votes and supporting Obama in a red state. Will be interesting to see if he moves to the right.
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