— Trump hits a high in popularity. Overall, 48% of registered voters say they have a favorable view of him, up from 42% in our last poll (taken after the debate but before the convention and assassination attempt). It’s his highest favorable number in a Times/Siena poll, which previously always found his favorable ratings between 39% and 45%.
— Harris is surging. In fact, her ratings have increased even more than Trump’s. Overall, 46% of registered voters have a favorable view of her, up from 36% when we last asked about her in February. Only 49% have an unfavorable view, down from 54% in our last measure. As important, her favorable rating is higher than Biden’s. In fact, it’s higher than his standing in any Times/Siena poll since September 2022, which so happens to be the last time Biden led a Times/Siena national poll of registered voters.
— The national political environment is a little brighter. The share of voters who say the country is on the “right track” is up to 27% — hardly a bright and smiley public, but still the highest since the midterm elections in 2022. Biden’s approval and favorable ratings are up as well. The ranks of the double haters have dwindled: With both Harris and Trump riding high, the number of voters who dislike both candidates has plunged to 8%, down from 20% in Times/Siena polls so far this year.
With all of these underlying changes in the attitudes about the candidates, there’s no reason to assume that this familiar Trump +1 result means that the race has simply returned to where it stood before the debate. For now, these developments have mostly canceled out, but whether that will still be true in a few weeks is much harder to say.
By the book, Trump’s gains over the last month resemble a classic “convention bounce,” perhaps with added goodwill from his survival of the assassination attempt. Historically, bounces usually fade, but not necessarily in their entirety.
What has happened to Harris over the last week doesn’t follow any book at all. She’ll presumably keep riding the momentum of her new candidacy for a while, but after that, anything is possible. Only time will tell how the public will react to her as they hear her — and the attacks against her — in the days and weeks ahead.
...
Yes, Voters Seem Fine With the Democratic Makeover
I don’t think the Times/Siena poll has ever found 87% of voters who agreed on anything, but that’s the share who say they approve of Biden’s decision to stand aside in the presidential race. Only 9% disapprove.
Trump vs Harris
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Re: Trump vs Harris
Major Shifts Beneath the Surface in a New Trump-Harris Poll
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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Re: Trump vs Harris
These are not good trends for Trump. He needs things to go south for the country and quick. MAGA’s schtick on cultural issues and owning the libs are growing thin.UNI88 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 26, 2024 9:28 am Major Shifts Beneath the Surface in a New Trump-Harris Poll
— Trump hits a high in popularity. Overall, 48% of registered voters say they have a favorable view of him, up from 42% in our last poll (taken after the debate but before the convention and assassination attempt). It’s his highest favorable number in a Times/Siena poll, which previously always found his favorable ratings between 39% and 45%.
— Harris is surging. In fact, her ratings have increased even more than Trump’s. Overall, 46% of registered voters have a favorable view of her, up from 36% when we last asked about her in February. Only 49% have an unfavorable view, down from 54% in our last measure. As important, her favorable rating is higher than Biden’s. In fact, it’s higher than his standing in any Times/Siena poll since September 2022, which so happens to be the last time Biden led a Times/Siena national poll of registered voters.
— The national political environment is a little brighter. The share of voters who say the country is on the “right track” is up to 27% — hardly a bright and smiley public, but still the highest since the midterm elections in 2022. Biden’s approval and favorable ratings are up as well. The ranks of the double haters have dwindled: With both Harris and Trump riding high, the number of voters who dislike both candidates has plunged to 8%, down from 20% in Times/Siena polls so far this year.
With all of these underlying changes in the attitudes about the candidates, there’s no reason to assume that this familiar Trump +1 result means that the race has simply returned to where it stood before the debate. For now, these developments have mostly canceled out, but whether that will still be true in a few weeks is much harder to say.
By the book, Trump’s gains over the last month resemble a classic “convention bounce,” perhaps with added goodwill from his survival of the assassination attempt. Historically, bounces usually fade, but not necessarily in their entirety.
What has happened to Harris over the last week doesn’t follow any book at all. She’ll presumably keep riding the momentum of her new candidacy for a while, but after that, anything is possible. Only time will tell how the public will react to her as they hear her — and the attacks against her — in the days and weeks ahead.
...
Yes, Voters Seem Fine With the Democratic Makeover
I don’t think the Times/Siena poll has ever found 87% of voters who agreed on anything, but that’s the share who say they approve of Biden’s decision to stand aside in the presidential race. Only 9% disapprove.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
He might get it. I think we're 3-9 months from a stock market correction.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
Re: Trump vs Harris
We know the entire mainstream media is lying to help Harris that is fact. So if the numbers are this close or tied you know Trump is way ahead and it might even be a cake walk. There are 4 or 5 videos floating around with Kumala being appointed the border czar and its literally the one job we are assigning to you. The media now is telling everyone that isn't true which isn't even debatable. They are lying so why would they be telling the truth about "poles"?
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Re: Trump vs Harris
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
Re: Trump vs Harris
Lying
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Re: Trump vs Harris
I thought a naked photo of melania was relevant considering the posts about harris' sexual history.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
Re: Trump vs Harris
What position is she running for politically?
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Re: Trump vs Harris
The same one that hunter was running for politically.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
What federal laws hasn't donald broken? (me too)
Last edited by UNI88 on Fri Jul 26, 2024 12:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
Re: Trump vs Harris
None but that doesn't stop you guys from trying to stick him with one. You must really love merry go rounds.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
Teacups are better.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
MAQA - putting the Q into qrazy qanon qonspiracy theories since 2015.
Re: Trump vs Harris
Deflection and run
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Re: Trump vs Harris
What federal laws has Jill Biden or Michelle Obama broken?
Re: Trump vs Harris
I don't care about Big Mike but Jill Biden should burn in hell for what shes done to her husband for the last 4 years. At best its elder abuse.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
You’re saying Commiela is going to beat Trump by over 7 million votes?houndawg wrote: ↑Thu Jul 25, 2024 1:13 pmThe popular vote margin will be even larger than 2020.BDKJMU wrote: ↑Thu Jul 25, 2024 8:48 am
And yet the donks may very well lose the popular vote (which really doesn’t matter) because they hitched their wagon 1st to an 81 year old suffering from dementia, and now to a cringe inducing, nails on a chalkboard, patronizing leftist DEI pick in Queen Cackles..
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/ ... -vs-harris
I mean even Hillary Clinton beat him by about 3 MILLION votes and she was the the most unpopular politician in the nation when she did it. If he's going to win it will have to be a technicality again.
Bookmarked for when your bust goes onto the CS.com Mt Rushmore of retard..
Proud deplorable Ultra MAGA fascist NAZI trash clinging to my guns and religion (and whatever else I’ve been labeled by Obama/Clinton/Biden/Harris).
JMU Football: 2022 & 2023 Sun Belt East Champions.
..peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard..
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Re: Trump vs Harris
Maybe, but that’s not what I asked.
Re: Trump vs Harris
My answer was purposefully not relevant because of your question.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
...because you got nothing.
You matter. Unless you multiply yourself by c squared. Then you energy.
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"I really love America. I just don't know how to get there anymore."John Prine
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Re: Trump vs Harris
So the same as your post to ‘88? Got it.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
Exactly, it was a …
Bobcat wrote:Deflection and run
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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Re: Trump vs Harris
Celebrate Diversity.*
*of appearance only. Restrictions apply.
*of appearance only. Restrictions apply.
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Re: Trump vs Harris
You matter. Unless you multiply yourself by c squared. Then you energy.
"I really love America. I just don't know how to get there anymore."John Prine
"I really love America. I just don't know how to get there anymore."John Prine