2016 Republican Primary

[93henfan]

Oh, it keeps getting better. Rubio just said that the longer Jeb Bush stays in the race, the more likely Trump is to win.

It's fun watching mental midgets bicker with each other.

[houndawg]

How about our memesters find one of Cruz and Rubio dressed up like Ricardo Montalban and Tattoo?

[houndawg]

Oh, it keeps getting better. Rubio just said that the longer Jeb Bush stays in the race, the more likely Trump is to win.

It's fun watching mental midgets bicker with each other.

In Rubios case, mental and physical.....

[BDKJMU]

After Iowa but before last Sat night's debate I would have put the nomination odds at:
-Trump: 45%
-Rubio 30%
-Cruz 20%
-Bush 5%
Everyone else 0..

Now If I would put it at..

-Trump: 60%. Iowa 2nd place/24%, won NH with an impressive 35%, more than doubling 2nd place Kasich's 16%. Heavy favorite right now.

-Cruz: 15%: Won Iowa with 27.6%, NH barely edging out Bush for 3rd place/12%. I thought he would do better in NH. In the not current SC polls is 2nd to Trump.

-Rubio: 15%. The last debate obviously hurt him badly. But he's not done. 3rd place/23% in Iowa, 5th place/10% in NH, only 2% out of 3rd place, 6% out of second, where he likely would have been with a better debate performance.

-Bush: 5%- After a terrible 6th place/3% in Iowa, had a bit of a resurgence in NH with a 4th place/11%, lost by less than 1% to Cruz for 3rd place. I believe still has the most $$ coming in. Lot of support in SC, which should be one of his top states. SC is his Alamo. In SC if he doesn't come in at minimum top 3, likely top 2 he is done.

-Kasich: 5%. After an irrelevant 8th place/2% in Iowa, an impressive 2nd place/16% in NH, but he literally threw everything into NH. Doesn't have the $$ or organization outside of NH. With Bush $$ and organization his chances would be much higher.

-Christie: 0%: Again after his best debate performance, can't do better than 6th place/8% in NH. 6th place finish means will not qualify him for the SC debate on Sat, which means he is done. He may as well suspend his campaign tomorrow. All his is doing after tonight is pissing in the wind..

-Carson: 0%- Iowa 4th place/9%, NH 8th place/2%. Doesn't qualify for SC debate. Done, but my guess is will keep going till after SC.

-Fiorina: 0%: Iowa 7th place/2%, NH 7th place/4%. Doesn't qualify for SC debate. Done. My guess is will suspend campaign tomorrow.

I called it...

[93henfan]

It wasn't really a stretch to call Fiorina, Christie, and Carson. The only reason Carson isn't quitting yet is because he proudly proclaimed on Saturday that he wasn't quitting after the Cruz flap in Iowa.

[houndawg]

It wasn't really a stretch to call Fiorina, Christie, and Carson. The only reason Carson isn't quitting yet is because he proudly proclaimed on Saturday that he wasn't quitting after the Cruz flap in Iowa.

Don't count him out, he still has some clean clothes in Florida.

[Ibanez]

Carson should call it quits and enjoy his weekend.

[BDKJMU]

Its official, within the last hr:
"Chris Christie Ends 2016 Presidential Bid After Disappointing New Hampshire Primary Finish

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will end his presidential bid after a disappointing sixth place finish in the New Hampshire Republican primary.

The campaign announced Christie's decision through NBC News......."
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-el ... re-n515836" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[BDKJMU]

The 17 announced candidates, 7 remain:

-Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas since 2013; Solicitor General of Texas 2003–2008. Announced 3/23/15.

-Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida since 2011; Florida Speaker of the House 2007-2008. Announced 4/13/15.

-Ben Carson: Author and former Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery for Johns Hopkins Hospital. Announced 5/3/15.

-Jeb Bush, Governor of Florida 1999–2007. Announced 6/15/15.

-Donald Trump, business magnate and television personality from New York. Announced on 6/16/15.

John Kasich, Governor of Ohio since 2011. Also 18 years in Congress as a Rep from Ohio from 1983-2001. Announced on 7/21/15.

Jim Gilmore, former Gov of Virginia 1998-2002, Atty Gen of VA. Served 4 years in the Army (intel). Announced 7/29/15.

DROPPED OUT

-Rick Perry, Governor of Texas 2000–2015; Lieutenant Governor of Texas 1999–2000; presidential candidate in 2012. 5 years in Air Force, flew C-130s. Announced on 6/4/15, dropped out on 9/11/15.

-Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin since 2011. Announced on 7/13/15. Dropped out on 9/21/15.

-Bobby Jindal, Governor of Louisiana since 2008; U.S. Representative from Louisiana 2005–2008. Announced on 6/24/15. Dropped out on 11/17/15.

-Lindsey Graham, U.S. Senator from South Carolina since 2003; U.S. Representative from South Carolina 1995–2003. 6 years Army JAG, 26 years National Guard & Reserve. Announced 6/1/15. Dropped out on 12/21/15.

-George Pataki, Governor of New York 1995-2006. Announced on 5/28/15. Dropped out on 12/29/15.

-Mike Huckabee, Governor of Arkansas 1996–2007; presidential candidate in 2008. Announced 5/5/15. Dropped out on 2/1/16.

-Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky since 2011. Announced 4/7/15. Dropped out on 2/3/16.

-Rick Santorum, U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania 1995-2007; Presidential candidate in the 2012 election. Announced 5/27/15. Dropped out on 2/3/16.

-Carly Fiorina, former Hewlett-Packard CEO. Announced 5/4/15, dropped out on 2/10/16.

-Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey since 2010. Announced on 6/29/15, dropped out on 2/10/16.

Bump

[Ivytalk]

So what is Happy Gilmore's last stand? The SEC Primaries won't help, because Virginia is ACC country.

[93henfan]

6.93 Republicans left.

[AZGrizFan]

Bernie Sanders and Al Sharpton go out to dinner. Who picks up the check?



You do.

[CAA Flagship]

Its official, within the last hr:
"Chris Christie Ends 2016 Presidential Bid After Disappointing New Hampshire Primary Finish

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will end his presidential bid after a disappointing sixth place finish in the New Hampshire Republican primary.

The campaign announced Christie's decision through NBC News......."
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-el ... re-n515836" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

FML

[Ibanez]

Gilmore and Dr. Cah-son should be quitting soon.

[SDHornet]

This. Rubio finished 1.2% away from 3rd. My boy will be fine once he gets to more diverse states.

And serious 93, quoting a huffpo piece? Man you really are butt hurt that Christie got his fat ass handed to him by a short brown guy.

I didn't quote it; that was Kalm. But it is spot on in that Rubio has no substance whatsoever. He just walks around with a For Sale sandwich board and his hand out. He's a worse corporate slut than Hillary and I wouldn't vote for him in any circumstance. At least she's honest about being an insider.

Newsflash: they're all for sale hombre.

[SDHornet]

Christie too - I guess he's the Biggest Loser..... get it? Biggest Loser...

Still tickets left for the second show, folks...

[93henfan]

I didn't quote it; that was Kalm. But it is spot on in that Rubio has no substance whatsoever. He just walks around with a For Sale sandwich board and his hand out. He's a worse corporate slut than Hillary and I wouldn't vote for him in any circumstance. At least she's honest about being an insider.

Newsflash: they're all for sale hombre.

I'm pretty sure Trump is the only one with a SuperPAC formed specifically to prevent him from being elected.

[BDKJMU]

Date State Delegates Open/Closed
Monday, February 1 Iowa caucus (results) 52 D, 30 R Closed
Tuesday, February 9 New Hampshire (results) 32 D, 23 R Mixed

Saturday, February 20
Nevada caucus (D) 43 Closed
South Carolina (R) 50 Open
Washington caucus (R)* Closed

Tuesday, February 23 Nevada caucus (R) 30 Closed

Saturday, February 27 South Carolina (D) 59 Open

Tuesday, March 1(Super Tuesday, SEC Primary)
Alabama 60 D, 50 R Open
Alaska caucus (R) 28 Closed
American Samoa caucus (D) 10 Open
Arkansas 37 D, 40 R Open
Colorado caucus 79 D, 37 R Closed
Georgia 116 D, 76 R Open
Massachusetts 116 D, 42 R Mixed
Minnesota caucus 93 D, 38 R Open
North Dakota caucus (R) 28 Closed
Oklahoma 42 D, 43 R Closed
Tennessee 76 D, 58 R Open
Texas 252 D, 155 R Open
Vermont 26 D, 16 R Open
Virginia 110 D, 49 R Open
Wyoming caucus (R) 29 Closed

Saturday, March 5
Kansas caucus 37 D, 40 R Closed
Kentucky caucus (R) 45 Closed
Louisiana 58 D, 47 R Closed
Maine caucus (R) 23 Closed
Nebraska caucus (D) 30 Closed

Sunday, March 6
Maine caucus (D) 30 Closed
Puerto Rico (R) 23 Open

Tuesday, March 8
Hawaii caucus (R) 19 Closed
Idaho (R) 32 Closed
Michigan 148 D, 59 R Open
Mississippi 41 D, 40 R Open
Democrats Abroad 17 N/A

Saturday, March 12
Guam (R convention) 9 Closed
Northern Marianas caucus (D) 11 Closed
District of Columbia caucus (R) 19 Closed

Tuesday, March 15
Florida 246 D, 99 R Closed
Illinois 182 D, 69 R Open
Missouri 84 D, 52 R Open
North Carolina 121 D, 72 R Mixed
Northern Mariana Islands caucus (R) 9 Closed
Ohio 159 D, 66 R Mixed

Saturday, March 19 Virgin Islands caucus (R) 9 Open

Tuesday, March 22
American Samoa (R convention) 9 Open
Arizona 85 D, 58 R Closed
Idaho caucus (D) 27 Closed
Utah 37 D, 40 R Closed

Saturday, March 26 Alaska caucus (D) 20 Closed
Hawaii caucus (D) 34 Closed
Washington caucus (D) 118 Closed

Tuesday, April 5 Wisconsin 96 D, 42 R Open

Saturday, April 9 Wyoming caucus (D) 18 Closed

Tuesday, April 19 New York 291 D, 95 R Closed

Tuesday, April 26
Connecticut 70 D, 28 R Closed
Delaware 31 D, 16 R Closed
Maryland 118 D, 38 R Closed
Pennsylvania 210 D, 71 R Closed
Rhode Island 33 D, 19 R Mixed

Tuesday, May 3 Indiana 92 D, 57 R Open

Saturday, May 7 Guam (D) 12 Closed

Tuesday, May 10
Nebraska (R) 36 Closed
West Virginia 34 D, 37 R Mixed

Tuesday, May 17
Kentucky (D) 61 Closed
Oregon 73 D, 28 R Closed

Tuesday, May 24 Washington (R)* 44 Closed

Saturday, June 4 Virgin Islands caucus (D) 12 Open

Sunday, June 5 Puerto Rico caucus (D) 67 Open

Tuesday, June 7 California 546 D, 172 R Mixed
Montana 27 D, 27 R Open
New Jersey 142 D, 51 R Closed
New Mexico 43 D, 24 R Closed
North Dakota caucus (D) 23 Closed
South Dakota 25 D, 29 R Closed

Tuesday, June 14 District of Columbia (D) 46 Closed

Open – Voters may vote in either party primary
Closed – Only voters registered in their respective party may vote in the party primary
Mixed – A semi-open or semi-closed environment, unaffiliated voters can choose to vote in either primary

*Note on Washington State: The Washington State GOP holds a caucus on February 20 where a portion of delegates are allocated. Washington state also holds a statewide primary on May 24 which will allocate the remaining Republican delegates. The Washington State Democratic Party does not allocate any delegates from the primary, but rather holds its own caucus on March 26. As a result, Democrats may vote in the primary on May 24 but the vote is considered a “beauty contest” as it holds no bearing on delegates.

http://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.c ... -calendar/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
BTW that above link is a good one for political junkies- has the conk and donk debate, primary, and convention schedules along with current delegate counts..

[JohnStOnge]

Christie should burn in hell. He took Rubio down when he himself had no shot. If he was going to do something like that he should have, for the good of the country, been going after Trump. What a prick. He stops the momentum of the one person who MIGHT have had a shot at keeping Trump from winning the NH primary then drops out of the race. Dick head.

[JohnStOnge]

Yes and the Al Sharpton of the Republican side just won the NH primary.

[kalm]

Christie should burn in hell. He took Rubio down when he himself had no shot. If he was going to do something like that he should have, for the good of the country, been going after Trump. What a prick. He stops the momentum of the one person who MIGHT have had a shot at keeping Trump from winning the NH primary then drops out of the race. Dick head.

Christie's first fealty should be to himself, John. This country is driven by rational self interest. Why blame him for doing the libertarian thing?

Would you vote for a Cal Naughton Jr.?

[JohnStOnge]

Christie's first fealty should be to himself, John. This country is driven by rational self interest. Why blame him for doing the libertarian thing?

That was not rational self interest. It was blind ego. If he had been rational he's have seen that all he could do by doing that was screw up the ONE candidate that had a chance to keep Trump from winning that primary. He very obviously had NO chance to do well himself. And rational assessment would have told him that.

He deluded himself and took a cheap shot.

[kalm]

Christie's first fealty should be to himself, John. This country is driven by rational self interest. Why blame him for doing the libertarian thing?

That was not rational self interest. It was blind ego. If he had been rational he's have seen that all he could do by doing that was screw up the ONE candidate that had a chance to keep Trump from winning that primary. He very obviously had NO chance to do well himself. And rational assessment would have told him that.

He deluded himself and took a cheap shot.

The current race for an establishment guy like Christie was against other establishment guys. Then you focus on Trump.

Christie was running because he believed in himself first. That should trump any obligation he feels toward the party, much less Rubio. If not, you aren't presidential material.

You're surprisingly soft and weak here. You need to separate your own emotions from reality here. Think with your brain and not with your heart.

[AZGrizFan]

Christie should burn in hell. He took Rubio down when he himself had no shot. If he was going to do something like that he should have, for the good of the country, been going after Trump. What a prick. He stops the momentum of the one person who MIGHT have had a shot at keeping Trump from winning the NH primary then drops out of the race. Dick head.

Christie's first fealty should be to himself, John. This country is driven by rational self interest. Why blame him for doing the libertarian thing?

Would you vote for a Cal Naughton Jr.?

Shake and Bake, baby!!

[Wedgebuster]

Christie's ass is a planet, we are not going to elect an ass the size of Pluto for president.

As for Carly,

I agree with DJT on that one, face like a tired horse, and a business record of utter failure.

Can this get any more bizarre?