read it and weep you doom and gloomers
Posted: Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:55 pm
http://www.newjerseynewsroom.com/econom ... t-of-money" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

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Of course not! Interest payments made on T-bonds to SS to cover the shortfall don't really count as government spending!The report also says that it is a myth that Social Security payments affect the federal deficit.
What's incorrect about it?OL FU wrote:I am still amazed that the term SS Trust fund is ever used.
Cman, I know you just like to stir shit up, but please tell me you didn't believe most of that article.
The idea that the federal government putting IOUs in a another federal government account creates a trust fund. It is like moving money from my left pocket to my right pocket.kalm wrote:What's incorrect about it?OL FU wrote:I am still amazed that the term SS Trust fund is ever used.
Cman, I know you just like to stir **** up, but please tell me you didn't believe most of that article.
The unfunded liability for both SS and medicare is estimated to be between $50 and $60T.According to the report, the Social Security trust fund is growing and is projected to peak at $4.2 trillion in 2024. At that point, Social Security will begin tapping savings to help pay benefits, especially as baby boomers en masse collect benefits. However, the fund will never "run dry."
So tell me how the "trust fund" is going to continue to grow. Interest from the federal government? which of course isn't going to cover the proposed deficits and of course even if it did would increase the federal deficit.Social Security will post nearly $600 billion in deficits over the next decade as the economy struggles to recover and millions of baby boomers stand at the brink of retirement, according to new congressional projections.
This year alone, Social Security is projected to collect $45 billion less in payroll taxes than it pays out in retirement, disability and survivor benefits, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Wednesday. That figure swells to $130 billion when a new one-year cut in payroll taxes is included, though Congress has promised to repay any lost revenue from the tax cut.
Last year, Social Security posted its first deficit since the program was last overhauled in the 1980s. The CBO said at the time that Social Security would post surpluses for a few more years before permanently slipping into deficits in 2016.
So it's kinda like going to your bank and expecting all of the money you deposited over the past 20 years to be in their safe?OL FU wrote:The idea that the federal government putting IOUs in a another federal government account creates a trust fund. It is like moving money from my left pocket to my right pocket.kalm wrote:
What's incorrect about it?
Only if you own the bank and are its only depositor. and then you owe more money to others than is in the deposit account. If that's what you mean, then yes.kalm wrote:So it's kinda like going to your bank and expecting all of the money you deposited over the past 20 years to be in their safe?OL FU wrote:
The idea that the federal government putting IOUs in a another federal government account creates a trust fund. It is like moving money from my left pocket to my right pocket.
Good point.OL FU wrote:Only if you own the bank and are its only depositor. and then you owe more money to others than is in the deposit account. If that's what you mean, then yes.kalm wrote:
So it's kinda like going to your bank and expecting all of the money you deposited over the past 20 years to be in their safe?
Could be, and both sides play at it. But if you've read Reich recently, he's very critical of Obama's economic policies and many of the economic mistakes the Clinton administration made. Too bad he had less of an influence than Summers and Rubin. It would also be very interesting to read the criticisms of the Reagan Policies. I'll bet ya they might have some traction.JohnStOnge wrote:Reading that was a blast from the past to me becuase it called to mind something I use to this day as an example of media bias. Back in 1992, a few days before the Bush the Elder vs. Clinton election, I saw a CBS News Report given by Dan Rather and an AP article on a "study" that showed how the Reagan policies of the 1980s were "bad." The study was by the Economic Policy Institute (EPI). The AP article described the EPI as a "private, non partisan think tank." Some of the assertions were totally contrary to data I'd seen reported in the past.
Suspicious, I ordered some information from the EPI. I got a packet in the mail. At that time the EPI described its mission as "Liberal alternative analysis of issues." One of its "founding scholars," Robert Reich, was working for the Clinton campaign. Non partisan? Right.
For the media to report on the study as they did in 1992 as though it was a serious, objective, analytical effort without mentioning that one of the "founding scholars" of the EPI was working for the Clinton campaign was, to me, THE clearest example of media bias I had (and have) ever seen. And, BTW, the study (which I obtained) was junk. It was full of misuse of statistical techniques and "massaging" data to obtain a pre-desired result.
I wrote a letter to the EPI sayng it's a shame that an academic would prostitute his academic credentials like that for political/philosophical purposes.
I hope you are not doing that thing of calling a tax cut and "expenditure." It's not.But I'm really curious about this. SS is one entitlement program that is basically self funded, no? I hear from one side that it's bankrupt. But if it's self funded, is SS really the problem with our debt, or is it things like the unpaid-for wars, tax cuts, and other expenditures that are failing to meet this obligation?
B.S. We agreed as a society to fund this thing through our paychecks, and it has and can continue to be adjusted to meet changes in population. Each unrelated spending increase thereafter should have been paid for with revenue. Not voodoo economic revenue, but real revenue.JohnStOnge wrote:I hope you are not doing that thing of calling a tax cut and "expenditure." It's not.But I'm really curious about this. SS is one entitlement program that is basically self funded, no? I hear from one side that it's bankrupt. But if it's self funded, is SS really the problem with our debt, or is it things like the unpaid-for wars, tax cuts, and other expenditures that are failing to meet this obligation?
Otherwise, to me, it's all one system. We can play games on paper and say one particular part of it is "self funded." But the fact is that a certain amount of money is collected in taxes and a certain amount is paid out in expenditures.
The main thing about Social Security is it is not a matter of a person investing money...paying into the system...then enjoying a return at retirement. It's a matter of younger generations funding older generations. There is no big "pot money." Instead, it's the people in the workforce today paying social security taxes and those taxes funding payments who are no longer in the workforce (plus some other things).
As the ratio of those in the workforce to those no longer in the workforce diminishes, increasing stress will be placed on the system. It is not indefinitely sustainable as long as we continue to increase life expectancy and maintain a fixed "retirement age."
Just sit back and think about it.
We've so far agreed as a society to not overturn it.catamount man wrote:I would like to know where this "WE AGREED" came into play. Last time I looked, tax paying voters were never given a chance. Basically, as it pertains to the burden of over taxation in America, one can look no further than to the axis of evil themselves, 1-Woodrow Wilson, 2-FDR, 3-Barack Obama.
THAT'S FACT!
schizophrenia is a hell of a disease.catamount man wrote:I would like to know where this "WE AGREED" came into play. Last time I looked, tax paying voters were never given a chance. Basically, as it pertains to the burden of over taxation in America, one can look no further than to the axis of evil themselves, 1-Woodrow Wilson, 2-FDR, 3-Barack Obama.
THAT'S FACT!
DD my vote is on manic-depressive.death dealer wrote:schizophrenia is a hell of a disease.catamount man wrote:I would like to know where this "WE AGREED" came into play. Last time I looked, tax paying voters were never given a chance. Basically, as it pertains to the burden of over taxation in America, one can look no further than to the axis of evil themselves, 1-Woodrow Wilson, 2-FDR, 3-Barack Obama.
THAT'S FACT!
Maybe catman is really a psych student and we are his petri dish.CID1990 wrote:DD my vote is on manic-depressive.death dealer wrote: schizophrenia is a hell of a disease.
A schizo would be talking about how the voices in his head told him that Wilson-FDR-Obama are evil.
native wrote:Maybe catman is really a psych student and we are his petri dish.CID1990 wrote:
DD my vote is on manic-depressive.
A schizo would be talking about how the voices in his head told him that Wilson-FDR-Obama are evil.![]()
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Why not? You can set up a control and variables, note stimulus and response, count and categorize posts, and add a little bullshit statistical analysis, take a coupla screen shots for your homework... it would be a lot more fun than writing a paper or doing any actual analysis.
...pretty weak tea, of course, but plenty good enough for most weak-minded sociology professors.
Scary!houndawg wrote:native wrote:
Maybe catman is really a psych student and we are his petri dish.![]()
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Why not? You can set up a control and variables, note stimulus and response, count and categorize posts, and add a little bullshit statistical analysis, take a coupla screen shots for your homework... it would be a lot more fun than writing a paper or doing any actual analysis.
...pretty weak tea, of course, but plenty good enough for most weak-minded sociology professors.He's got a step on all of us!
I think this would be a great place for a politician to get a snapshot of the economic, political, and social spectrums.
It would be interesting to know how the government accounts for it. But for the last couple of decades it has run a surplus which the federal government has tapped. (whether they actually fund with T-bills I don't know but let's assume they do). If accounted for in the same way a business would (forgetting the huge future liabilities that would have to be accounted for now which the government doesn't do because they report on the cash basis) the impact of the " trust fund" would be zero because as I said it is effectively putting money in one pocket from another. The point is that looking into the future without changes we no SS will run a deficit, that money has to come from somewhere.kalm wrote:Good point.OL FU wrote:
Only if you own the bank and are its only depositor. and then you owe more money to others than is in the deposit account. If that's what you mean, then yes.![]()
But I'm really curious about this. SS is one entitlement program that is basically self funded, no? I hear from one side that it's bankrupt. But if it's self funded, is SS really the problem with our debt, or is it things like the unpaid-for wars, tax cuts, and other expenditures that are failing to meet this obligation?