Nice Keith Richards referenceSkjellyfetti wrote: ↑Fri Mar 08, 2024 2:22 pm I agree that the "long-term plan" is difficult at the moment. I think it hinges on a few things that we don't know. And, this is mostly just my speculation.
1. The US election in November. This is the most crucial one.
- Trump wins - I think it's game over for Ukraine.
- Biden wins and Democrats don't control the House - I think a NATO backed armistice line is a very likely possibility.
2. How much longer Putin lives. This is really a wild card. He may outlive Keith Richards for all we know. But, Putin has no heir apparent. He has been too paranoid to give anyone that status. When he dies - Russia is going to descend into chaos. It's really hard to imagine the next President of Russia coming to power in any way but a brutal power struggle. IMO this is going to be ugly when it happens and the logistics and coherence of the army is going to fall apart. Depending on how much Russia takes and digs in before this happens - Ukraine would have a chance to seize a lot of it back.
- Biden wins and Democrats control Congress - aid resumes for at least 2 years and Ukraine has another chance at a counteroffensive.
So why is Putin still alive? How many support him out of fear?
He doesn’t look like he’s dying from natural caused anytime soon but he has cerebral palsy according to word on the street
Hillary’s mafia could probably get it done