Ok great. We agree that there hasn't been sufficient evidence to say anything has changed significantly. As far as I can tell you are taking the position that things WOULD have changed for the worse if Trump hadn't been elected.AZGrizFan wrote:This post just proves that you don't comprehend what you're reading. NEVER have I said there was a statistically significant change in the unemployment trend. Never. You pass Trump's accomplishment off as nothing, but it was done in entirely different economic circumstances than the tailwinds afforded Obama for 8 years. It's YOU who won't look past the end of your nose, and as soon as you see an "analysis" (and I use that word very loosely) of the data that supports your TDS you run with it. There's no change in the trend. The change is in the economics UNDERLYING the trend. The miracle is the trend hasn't changed for the worse--like it has with just about every other President not named Trump when faced with the end of a natural business cycle and rising Fed rates and the historic and unprecedented unwinding of the Fed balance sheet that NO president EVER has had to deal with. The CHANGE is that he's gotten us into uncharted waters on several economic and employment indicators--something NO predecessor has EVER been able to accomplish in my lifetime despite these headwinds. You keep arguing about the "statistically significant change" that's not there. No one has ever argued that point. You must just enjoy playing with yourself.JohnStOnge wrote:
I show graphs because they are easier for most people to understand. Would you like to provide a statistical analysis to show that there was, for instance, a "statistically significant" change in the downward trend in the unemployment rate around the end of 2016? If so, feel free. But you won't because it's not there.
So you look at something like the graph of the unemployment rate over time below and say, "Hey, if TRUMP hadn't gotten elected in 2016 that trend WOULD have changed right there near the end! It's a MIRACLE."