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Re: The Official

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 11:49 am
by CitadelGrad
kalm wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
So many people... so much ignorance


These people are being paroled into the country anyway, to await hearings they never show up for.

Busing them to places where they will be in the loving arms of people who want them is better than just pushing them outside the wire in El Paso and making them fend for themselves... to find their own transport to those cities anyway

I’d like for someone to show me the pitfall at the end of this exercise in logic.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It’s all fine and dandy when they’re shipped to Seattle but next thing ya know they’re knocking up your sweet 16 year daughter in the suburbs where you really didn’t ask for this....I’ve seen it a hundred times.
They'll do much worse than knock up a suburban WASP slut. That's the whole point. The red states haven't been asking for this shit storm, but Seattle, Portland, LA and San Francisco have. Now they have to admit their NIMBY hypocrisy or welcome the illegals with open arms.

Re: The Official

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 12:48 pm
by kalm
CitadelGrad wrote:
kalm wrote:
It’s all fine and dandy when they’re shipped to Seattle but next thing ya know they’re knocking up your sweet 16 year daughter in the suburbs where you really didn’t ask for this....I’ve seen it a hundred times.
They'll do much worse than knock up a suburban WASP slut. That's the whole point. The red states haven't been asking for this shit storm, but Seattle, Portland, LA and San Francisco have. Now they have to admit their NIMBY hypocrisy or welcome the illegals with open arms.
1). It was a Tommy Boy reference.

2). Seattle et al are not states...although there’s also a stated rights component.

3). Unless they’re incarcerated, neighboring cities who didn’t ask for it are effected.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 1:49 pm
by SDHornet
Illegals should absolutely be transported to sanctuary cities. :nod:

Funny seeing leftist outcry against this move, after all this was the point of sanctuary cities, no? :lol:

Re: The Official

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 2:02 pm
by JohnStOnge
CID1990 wrote:
These people are being paroled into the country anyway, to await hearings they never show up for.
Actually they show up for their hearings in the majority of instances. And they have a particularly high "show up" rate when they are asylum seekers. I saw a guy on one of the shows...don't remember which one...the other day saying that asylum seekers show up for their hearings more than 90 percent of the time.

The Politifact assessment at https://www.politifact.com/punditfact/s ... rt-data-s/ appears to be consistent with that assessment. Scroll down to the part about asylum seekers.

In any case, it appears pretty clear that the oft repeated claim that most illegal immigrants never show up for their hearings is false.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 2:04 pm
by JohnStOnge
Bottom line: This idea of shipping illegal immigrants and/or asylum seekers to sanctuary cities is childish. It's the response of a 10 year old. The fact that many adults are saying "YEAH" to this suggests we have a problem with childish behavior in adults in this country.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 2:16 pm
by JohnStOnge
This article is a little old but the information is important:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/busi ... venue.html
In the inaugural year of the tax cuts — with economic growth accelerating and the jobless rate falling to an 18-year low — federal revenues from corporate, payroll and personal income taxes actually fell.

That’s true whether you adjust revenues and growth for inflation — or not.
This is not surprising. It's what every serious analysis I ever saw reported said would happen. But Republicans in Congress and the President looked everyone in the eye and lied to them with glittering generalities.

This is one thing that has bothered me about Republicans for years. I am not against Tax cuts per se. But I am against this thing where they claim the Reagan tax cuts improved the revenue situation and that people can have their cake and eat it too. You know, we can cut taxes and we will actually get MORE money!

It's a lie. And it's a lie that Republicans have told repeatedly.

Reagan didn't. Reagan referred to tax cuts in the context of cutting government's "allowance." But those who have come after him repeat the lie over and over again.

Tax cuts are fine. But don't tell people you're going to cut taxes and get more money under current circumstances. Yes, it is true that there is a point at which further increasing tax rates would result in lower revenue and there is a point at which taxes could be so high that cutting tax rates would increase revenue. But we are not in that realm.

Don't make flipping claiming that tax cuts won't result in less revenue than there otherwise would have been part of the argument for tax cuts.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 2:28 pm
by kalm
JSO is applying reason and historical facts here.

Many of you shoukd try being less tribal. :nod:

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 2:34 pm
by AZGrizFan
JohnStOnge wrote:This article is a little old but the information is important:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/busi ... venue.html
In the inaugural year of the tax cuts — with economic growth accelerating and the jobless rate falling to an 18-year low — federal revenues from corporate, payroll and personal income taxes actually fell.

That’s true whether you adjust revenues and growth for inflation — or not.
This is not surprising. It's what every serious analysis I ever saw reported said would happen. But Republicans in Congress and the President looked everyone in the eye and lied to them with glittering generalities.

This is one thing that has bothered me about Republicans for years. I am not against Tax cuts per se. But I am against this thing where they claim the Reagan tax cuts improved the revenue situation and that people can have their cake and eat it too. You know, we can cut taxes and we will actually get MORE money!

It's a lie. And it's a lie that Republicans have told repeatedly.

Reagan didn't. Reagan referred to tax cuts in the context of cutting government's "allowance." But those who have come after him repeat the lie over and over again.

Tax cuts are fine. But don't tell people you're going to cut taxes and get more money under current circumstances. Yes, it is true that there is a point at which further increasing tax rates would result in lower revenue and there is a point at which taxes could be so high that cutting tax rates would increase revenue. But we are not in that realm.

Don't make flipping claiming that tax cuts won't result in less revenue than there otherwise would have been part of the argument for tax cuts.
It’s not a lie. It’s an assumption and any (repeat—ANY) revenue projection includes assumptions just like that. It’s entirely possible it could happen—you CAN cut taxes and generate more revenue in many cases. The lie is in insisting that it DID happen when in this calendar year it didn’t.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 3:08 pm
by JohnStOnge
AZGrizFan wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:This article is a little old but the information is important:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/busi ... venue.html



This is not surprising. It's what every serious analysis I ever saw reported said would happen. But Republicans in Congress and the President looked everyone in the eye and lied to them with glittering generalities.

This is one thing that has bothered me about Republicans for years. I am not against Tax cuts per se. But I am against this thing where they claim the Reagan tax cuts improved the revenue situation and that people can have their cake and eat it too. You know, we can cut taxes and we will actually get MORE money!

It's a lie. And it's a lie that Republicans have told repeatedly.

Reagan didn't. Reagan referred to tax cuts in the context of cutting government's "allowance." But those who have come after him repeat the lie over and over again.

Tax cuts are fine. But don't tell people you're going to cut taxes and get more money under current circumstances. Yes, it is true that there is a point at which further increasing tax rates would result in lower revenue and there is a point at which taxes could be so high that cutting tax rates would increase revenue. But we are not in that realm.

Don't make flipping claiming that tax cuts won't result in less revenue than there otherwise would have been part of the argument for tax cuts.
It’s not a lie. It’s an assumption and any (repeat—ANY) revenue projection includes assumptions just like that. It’s entirely possible it could happen—you CAN cut taxes and generate more revenue in many cases. The lie is in insisting that it DID happen when in this calendar year it didn’t.
No, it's a lie. There are reasonable assumptions and there are unreasonable assumptions. Republicans who did this thing knew damned well that it was highly likely that the tax cut they put through would result in less revenue than the would have been accumulated with the tax system as it was. They lied to the American People.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 3:48 pm
by SeattleGriz
JohnStOnge wrote:
AZGrizFan wrote:
It’s not a lie. It’s an assumption and any (repeat—ANY) revenue projection includes assumptions just like that. It’s entirely possible it could happen—you CAN cut taxes and generate more revenue in many cases. The lie is in insisting that it DID happen when in this calendar year it didn’t.
No, it's a lie. There are reasonable assumptions and there are unreasonable assumptions. Republicans who did this thing knew damned well that it was highly likely that the tax cut they put through would result in less revenue than the would have been accumulated with the tax system as it was. They lied to the American People.
You're really Capn Cat or D1B, aren't you? Took over the old corpse of remains of poor St Onge's profile.

Re: The Official

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 3:50 pm
by CitadelGrad
kalm wrote:
CitadelGrad wrote:
They'll do much worse than knock up a suburban WASP slut. That's the whole point. The red states haven't been asking for this shit storm, but Seattle, Portland, LA and San Francisco have. Now they have to admit their NIMBY hypocrisy or welcome the illegals with open arms.
1). It was a Tommy Boy reference.

2). Seattle et al are not states...although there’s also a stated rights component.

3). Unless they’re incarcerated, neighboring cities who didn’t ask for it are effected.
Didn't say they were states.

I guess the neighboring cities have a complaint with the sanctuary city, not with Trump.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 3:54 pm
by CitadelGrad
JohnStOnge wrote:This article is a little old but the information is important:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/busi ... venue.html
In the inaugural year of the tax cuts — with economic growth accelerating and the jobless rate falling to an 18-year low — federal revenues from corporate, payroll and personal income taxes actually fell.

That’s true whether you adjust revenues and growth for inflation — or not.
This is not surprising. It's what every serious analysis I ever saw reported said would happen. But Republicans in Congress and the President looked everyone in the eye and lied to them with glittering generalities.

This is one thing that has bothered me about Republicans for years. I am not against Tax cuts per se. But I am against this thing where they claim the Reagan tax cuts improved the revenue situation and that people can have their cake and eat it too. You know, we can cut taxes and we will actually get MORE money!

It's a lie. And it's a lie that Republicans have told repeatedly.

Reagan didn't. Reagan referred to tax cuts in the context of cutting government's "allowance." But those who have come after him repeat the lie over and over again.

Tax cuts are fine. But don't tell people you're going to cut taxes and get more money under current circumstances. Yes, it is true that there is a point at which further increasing tax rates would result in lower revenue and there is a point at which taxes could be so high that cutting tax rates would increase revenue. But we are not in that realm.

Don't make flipping claiming that tax cuts won't result in less revenue than there otherwise would have been part of the argument for tax cuts.
During the 8 years of the Reagan administration, the overall tax burden was lower but federal revenues rose by 96%. You see, tax rates matter far less than GDP growth. It's GDP growth that increases federal revenues.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 4:26 pm
by JohnStOnge
CitadelGrad wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:This article is a little old but the information is important:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/busi ... venue.html



This is not surprising. It's what every serious analysis I ever saw reported said would happen. But Republicans in Congress and the President looked everyone in the eye and lied to them with glittering generalities.

This is one thing that has bothered me about Republicans for years. I am not against Tax cuts per se. But I am against this thing where they claim the Reagan tax cuts improved the revenue situation and that people can have their cake and eat it too. You know, we can cut taxes and we will actually get MORE money!

It's a lie. And it's a lie that Republicans have told repeatedly.

Reagan didn't. Reagan referred to tax cuts in the context of cutting government's "allowance." But those who have come after him repeat the lie over and over again.

Tax cuts are fine. But don't tell people you're going to cut taxes and get more money under current circumstances. Yes, it is true that there is a point at which further increasing tax rates would result in lower revenue and there is a point at which taxes could be so high that cutting tax rates would increase revenue. But we are not in that realm.

Don't make flipping claiming that tax cuts won't result in less revenue than there otherwise would have been part of the argument for tax cuts.
During the 8 years of the Reagan administration, the overall tax burden was lower but federal revenues rose by 96%. You see, tax rates matter far less than GDP growth. It's GDP growth that increases federal revenues.
The rate of growth in revenue during the Reagan years was lower than it was during the Carter years. That's bears upon the fallacy of the Reagan tax cuts thing. Yes, revenues typically grow as the population grows and GDP grows. The question is if something like Reagan's tax cuts slows or increases the rate of revenue increase. And Reagan's tax cuts were associated with the rate SLOWING.

I don't think you did it intentionally but I think what you did is part of the big lie with respect to the effect of Reagan's tax cuts on revenues. Yes, revenues increased under Reagan. But the rate of increase slowed. All indications are that the country got LESS revenue than it would have gotten if the Reagan tax cuts would never have happened.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 5:55 pm
by UNI88
JohnStOnge wrote:
CitadelGrad wrote:
During the 8 years of the Reagan administration, the overall tax burden was lower but federal revenues rose by 96%. You see, tax rates matter far less than GDP growth. It's GDP growth that increases federal revenues.
The rate of growth in revenue during the Reagan years was lower than it was during the Carter years. That's bears upon the fallacy of the Reagan tax cuts thing. Yes, revenues typically grow as the population grows and GDP grows. The question is if something like Reagan's tax cuts slows or increases the rate of revenue increase. And Reagan's tax cuts were associated with the rate SLOWING.

I don't think you did it intentionally but I think what you did is part of the big lie with respect to the effect of Reagan's tax cuts on revenues. Yes, revenues increased under Reagan. But the rate of increase slowed. All indications are that the country got LESS revenue than it would have gotten if the Reagan tax cuts would never have happened.
John, you're assuming the full impact of the tax cuts occurs during the terms of the POTUS who signed the bill. The impact IS NOT immediate. I would argue that it took nearly a decade for the full impact of Reagan's tax cuts to be felt and the POTUS at the time was Slick Willy. How was GDP and the economy doing during Slick Willy's presidency?

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 6:05 pm
by CID1990
JohnStOnge wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
These people are being paroled into the country anyway, to await hearings they never show up for.
Actually they show up for their hearings in the majority of instances. And they have a particularly high "show up" rate when they are asylum seekers. I saw a guy on one of the shows...don't remember which one...the other day saying that asylum seekers show up for their hearings more than 90 percent of the time.

The Politifact assessment at https://www.politifact.com/punditfact/s ... rt-data-s/ appears to be consistent with that assessment. Scroll down to the part about asylum seekers.

In any case, it appears pretty clear that the oft repeated claim that most illegal immigrants never show up for their hearings is false.
Completely wrong, John.

Politifact’s data comes from one extrapolation and it is uninformed and ignorant. You cannot use their formula because a removal order in absentia is not issued in most no show cases (another way our immigration system is broken)

I process INA ineligibilities on aliens under deport orders- and did so in El Salvador. Paroled aliens unlawfully present do not show up for their immigration proceedings almost monolithically.

The ones who do have reason to believe they will not be deported ... because they may feel they have a legitimate asylum claim, eligibility for TPS, whatever. But the vast majority do not go to court because they will be deported.

Politifact is wrong and so are you.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 7:03 pm
by SDHornet
Since JSO is getting pounded again for pimping weak economic info, here is a link to a graph on gdp vs the fed rate. Interesting:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=cN69

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2019 7:39 pm
by houndawg
Ivytalk wrote:
houndawg wrote:
They're going to wind up where the work is so it doesn't really matter where they come in. I'd be thrilled with a one-for-one exchange with the local white trash.
Starting with you. :coffee:
:(

Man, you're really hurting my feelings. I'm going to be an emotional wreck for weeks now. :ohno:

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 5:09 am
by Ivytalk
houndawg wrote:
Ivytalk wrote: Starting with you. :coffee:
:(

Man, you're really hurting my feelings. I'm going to be an emotional wreck for weeks now. :ohno:
You’re as sensitive as a god-damn toilet seat. — J.D. Salinger, The Catcher in the Rye

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 9:10 am
by CitadelGrad
JohnStOnge wrote:
CitadelGrad wrote:
During the 8 years of the Reagan administration, the overall tax burden was lower but federal revenues rose by 96%. You see, tax rates matter far less than GDP growth. It's GDP growth that increases federal revenues.
The rate of growth in revenue during the Reagan years was lower than it was during the Carter years. That's bears upon the fallacy of the Reagan tax cuts thing. Yes, revenues typically grow as the population grows and GDP grows. The question is if something like Reagan's tax cuts slows or increases the rate of revenue increase. And Reagan's tax cuts were associated with the rate SLOWING.

I don't think you did it intentionally but I think what you did is part of the big lie with respect to the effect of Reagan's tax cuts on revenues. Yes, revenues increased under Reagan. But the rate of increase slowed. All indications are that the country got LESS revenue than it would have gotten if the Reagan tax cuts would never have happened.
Sorry, but you are full of shit. Those who make the argument that revenue growth under Carter was greater than Reagan either a) measure revenue as a percentage of GDP or b) don't adjust for inflation.

In the case of a), GDP was much lower under Carter except for the recession of '81 - '82. Naturally, by that measure revenues and revenues growth were higher.

In the case of b), inflation under Carter was significantly higher than during the Reagan years. Unless you adjust for inflation (real $), you will get a distortion.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 11:13 am
by AZGrizFan
JohnStOnge wrote:
AZGrizFan wrote:
It’s not a lie. It’s an assumption and any (repeat—ANY) revenue projection includes assumptions just like that. It’s entirely possible it could happen—you CAN cut taxes and generate more revenue in many cases. The lie is in insisting that it DID happen when in this calendar year it didn’t.
No, it's a lie. There are reasonable assumptions and there are unreasonable assumptions. Republicans who did this thing knew damned well that it was highly likely that the tax cut they put through would result in less revenue than the would have been accumulated with the tax system as it was. They lied to the American People.
You might be a smart guy in your field, but you should leave math and economics alone. You’re full retard in those areas and you’ve proven it time and time again on this board.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 2:25 pm
by kalm
CitadelGrad wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
The rate of growth in revenue during the Reagan years was lower than it was during the Carter years. That's bears upon the fallacy of the Reagan tax cuts thing. Yes, revenues typically grow as the population grows and GDP grows. The question is if something like Reagan's tax cuts slows or increases the rate of revenue increase. And Reagan's tax cuts were associated with the rate SLOWING.

I don't think you did it intentionally but I think what you did is part of the big lie with respect to the effect of Reagan's tax cuts on revenues. Yes, revenues increased under Reagan. But the rate of increase slowed. All indications are that the country got LESS revenue than it would have gotten if the Reagan tax cuts would never have happened.
Sorry, but you are full of shit. Those who make the argument that revenue growth under Carter was greater than Reagan either a) measure revenue as a percentage of GDP or b) don't adjust for inflation.

In the case of a), GDP was much lower under Carter except for the recession of '81 - '82. Naturally, by that measure revenues and revenues growth were higher.

In the case of b), inflation under Carter was significantly higher than during the Reagan years. Unless you adjust for inflation (real $), you will get a distortion.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fac ... c75e0b7e36

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 2:27 pm
by kalm
UNI88 wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
The rate of growth in revenue during the Reagan years was lower than it was during the Carter years. That's bears upon the fallacy of the Reagan tax cuts thing. Yes, revenues typically grow as the population grows and GDP grows. The question is if something like Reagan's tax cuts slows or increases the rate of revenue increase. And Reagan's tax cuts were associated with the rate SLOWING.

I don't think you did it intentionally but I think what you did is part of the big lie with respect to the effect of Reagan's tax cuts on revenues. Yes, revenues increased under Reagan. But the rate of increase slowed. All indications are that the country got LESS revenue than it would have gotten if the Reagan tax cuts would never have happened.
John, you're assuming the full impact of the tax cuts occurs during the terms of the POTUS who signed the bill. The impact IS NOT immediate. I would argue that it took nearly a decade for the full impact of Reagan's tax cuts to be felt and the POTUS at the time was Slick Willy. How was GDP and the economy doing during Slick Willy's presidency?
So we have the GWB tax cuts to thank now for our increased revenues?

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 3:10 pm
by Ivytalk
kalm wrote:
CitadelGrad wrote:
Sorry, but you are full of ****. Those who make the argument that revenue growth under Carter was greater than Reagan either a) measure revenue as a percentage of GDP or b) don't adjust for inflation.

In the case of a), GDP was much lower under Carter except for the recession of '81 - '82. Naturally, by that measure revenues and revenues growth were higher.

In the case of b), inflation under Carter was significantly higher than during the Reagan years. Unless you adjust for inflation (real $), you will get a distortion.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fac ... c75e0b7e36

Fact Checker gives Paul 3 Pinocchios. Cato Institute gives Fact Checker 3 Pinocchios. It’s a wash. :coffee:

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Sun Apr 14, 2019 8:10 pm
by UNI88
kalm wrote:
UNI88 wrote:
John, you're assuming the full impact of the tax cuts occurs during the terms of the POTUS who signed the bill. The impact IS NOT immediate. I would argue that it took nearly a decade for the full impact of Reagan's tax cuts to be felt and the POTUS at the time was Slick Willy. How was GDP and the economy doing during Slick Willy's presidency?
So we have the GWB tax cuts to thank now for our increased revenues?
Dubya's tax cuts, Afghanistan, Iraq, etc. It's not a simple one-to-one relationship and the impact isn't immediate no matter how hard JSO believes in it.

Re: The Official "Making America Great Again" Thread

Posted: Mon Apr 15, 2019 7:27 am
by Ibanez
∞∞∞ wrote:I like Trump's idea and hope he follows through with it.

Most of the illegal immigrants I know are awesome and productive members of the community.
What's the advantage of being here illegally? :coffee: