His poll numbers are not up. I follow that sort of thing constantly and watched for any indication of an impact. I'd say if there is an impact it's perceptible beyond what could be random variation. But to the extent that there has been a change he is more underwater in the RCP average of polls now than he was on the day before he did the tweet on the woman. He did the tweet on July 14. On July 13 is Approval-Disapproval number in the RCP polling average was -7.5. As of today it's -9.2. It did go on tick downward during about 3 days to a week after the tweet to as low as -6.6. But the next day it ticked back up to 7.1. Again, all of this is within the range one would expect from random variation.BDKJMU wrote:Wrong. Even the donks in DC are admitting Trump is winning this. His poll #s are UP after the back and forth between him and the hate America quartet. Even if it wasn’t planned this way, it appears a brilliant move.JohnStOnge wrote:
Trump did not win this one. Lack of minority enthusiasm was a factor in him squeaking by to a win in 2016. He does NOT...or should not...want to risk increasing minority enthusiasm for voting. He's risking that with his behavior. But it's a long way before the election so it can die down if he doesn't keep doing it for too long.
https://washingtontimes.com/news/2019/j ... liant-mov/
I am aware that there are Democrats could think it's some big strategy on his part to make the 4 women the face of the Democrat party and that such a strategy could work. I don't think it started as a strategy on his part. I think he was just tweeting out of his rectum as usual then after the fact someone thought of that angle so he latched onto it. I also think the idea that it will work in his favor is very questionable because his chances in the next election depend in large part of having non Whites turn out at a relatively low rate in historical terms.
Trump is not a brilliant strategist. He is an idiot who happened along under some very unique circumstances and found himself winning the office. If he'd have been running against Obama he'd have been blown out worse than McCain and Romney were. This thing of thinking he's some "three dimensional chess" player brilliantly playing things is seriously over-estimating the guy.