She’s also behind Trump in a plurality of battleground states according to the latest NYT poll. Biden leads Trump in those states.
Stop rationalizing Warren as some kind of libertarian. The only reason you’re doing that is because she’s pulling ahead of Biden in a few places. But she is not the answer to your overarching desire. Biden is - and your heavenly polling generally supports that
She’s nearly identical to Trump on trade and she openly supports confiscatory tax policies and the dismantling of the largest insurance industry in the country to pay for government run healthcare for all. She’s nobody’s definition of a libertarian so quit being so transparently dishonest about her.
If you think Warren is libertarian in the slightest sense then it would be indeed on social issues- which are literally some of the most insignificant political points possible.
Pot and bathrooms .... yeah those will destroy Trump in November
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Yes I saw those battleground State poll results. As I've said for some time now, I recognize that Trump could win again and I recognize that Warren is not the best candidate the Democrats could pick to run against him. I do not disagree at all with the statement that Biden would be the best choice.
However, those battleground State results are from one polling effort consisting of a series of polls with large margins of error and all of the differences, including the differences involving Biden, are within the margins of error. I do not like the results. I would love to see any of the three Democrat candidates ahead by more than the margin of error (which for the difference between candidates is 8.8 percentage points for five of the States and 10.2 percentage points for the other one). But what they basically show is "too close to call" for each State and each matchup.
And yes I would rather see the point estimates be more in the favor of the Democrat in each case. At the same time, I would not be comfortable with the kinds of edges Biden has in that particular poll. They are simply too small to achieve a high confidence level.
The polls do show high confidence that Biden is a stronger candidate than Warren. That's because he polled better against Trump in six of six States. The probability of that happening by chance is only about 0.02.
It's not pot and bathrooms that make Trump vulnerable. It's that there is a strong "anybody but Trump" sentiment in the population.
What I've said all along is that there is reasonable HOPE regardless of who the Democrats nominate. And that remains the case.
What I've said is that Warren would have a good chance. And she would.