I think the results were very similar. Post grads were not quite as strong for Clinton as she won those by 58% to 37%. As you posted White college grads went for Trump by 48% to 45%. As is always the case there is no estimate for White post grads.Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Sat Nov 14, 2020 5:27 pmWhat did the exit polls say in 2916?JohnStOnge wrote: ↑Sat Nov 14, 2020 5:05 pm
First of all, this time, a slight majority of White college graduates voted for Biden (51% to 48%).
Otherwise: I lament the fact that the exit polls never break down post grads by race. But my bet would be that a solid majority of White post grads tend to vote Democrat.
I actually think that Democrats win the a majority of both the highest IQ group and the lowest IQ group. I think that if you broke it up with the bottom 15% being the low IQ group, the middle 70% being the average IQ group, and the top 15% being the high IQ group the Democrats tend to win among the low IQ group and the high IQ group while Republicans tend to win among the average IQ group.
BTW I estimate that White post grads voted for Biden by 59% to 41%. That's based on the numbers from each race getting graduate degrees indicated at https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/pdf/coe_svc.pdf and noting that the exit polling indicates that about 70% of non Whites voted for Biden regardless of education level. So I just assumed the proportions of races voting among post grads this year are the proportions indicated by the linked table and 70% of non White post grads voted for Biden.
Notice that if you just look at Bachelor's degrees for this year's exit poll Biden't edge is only 51% to 47%. Go to graduate degrees and it jumps up to 62% to 37%. I think it's very reasonable to expect that Whites with graduate degrees went for Biden pretty strongly. My guess is that if you could break down the Whites with College Degrees category to Bachelors and Graduate degrees the Whites with Bachelors degrees probably voted majority Trump while those with Graduate degrees probably voted by a solid majority for Biden.
But we can never know for sure because the exit polls don't break things down to that level.