Winterborn wrote: ↑Wed May 04, 2022 5:07 am
UNI88 wrote: ↑Tue May 03, 2022 2:28 pm
I don't know, that's a pretty crappy list too. I would guess that there are quite a few independent types that would rather stay home then vote for Trump or one of his thin-skinned vindictive lickspittles.
Appeal to the MAGAt base: Pompeo, Cruz, Trump Jr., DeSantis, Trump
Appeal to independents and traditional Republicans: Sununu, Haley
Possibly appeal to both: Youngkin, Scott
Not sure who they appeal to: Pence
I do not disagree, but another 2 1/2 years of Biden/Dems continuing like they have been is going to change peoples perspective a bit I think. No matter what happens this fall, Biden (and thereby the Dems) are going to take the blame for inflation, high gas prices, etc. and the R's are going to run that message all the way to the fall of 2024. Granted the 25th amendment could be invoked for Biden or he steps down (don't see it as a realistic chance but it is possible) and the D's could pivot to a more moderate stance (also do not see this happening) so things could change, as 2 1/2 years is a long time in the political world. I also think the Dems will keep Biden under wraps as long as possible and bury his deteriorating condition until they absolutely can't anymore. This is either going to allow them to pretend all is well or spectacularly blow up in their face when he slips his handlers and does/says something stupid on camera that they can't explain away.
That said the only one that is some what interesting to me is DeSantis but that depends if sticks his course or not (if he does than probably not).
- Sununu is not going to run
- Haley is a strong possibility but I have voiced my thoughts on her here before
- Youngkin does not have the experience
- Cruz is an idiot and nobody really likes him but he will try just for the title of former presidential candidate
- Scott is an outside possibility
- Trump Jr. is not going to run and the only reason his name is on the list is his dad
- Pence does not have the name nor pull
- Trump strong possibility but the Dems would have to crater even further for him to win
- Pompeo is a good chance to run but he will not make it out of the first round
Some of the above will throw their hat in the ring but the only people that have a serious shot are Trump, DeSantis, and Haley. Out of those three, I might go DeSantis but it depends on his actions in the next 2 1/2 years, but strong odds are I go third party again.
I disagree. Remember without the China Virus hitting in late winter 2020, in the fall of 2020 you have:
-Economy roaring.
-Biden would have to have had to come out of his basement to campaign.
-No mass mail in of ballots in almost all states, most for the 1st time.
Without Covid, Trump wins in a landslide. And even with Covid, without the MSM & big tech supressing the Hunter laptop story in Oct 20’ with the its Russian disinfo hoax, Trump wins (would have had to only flip roughly 40k votes in GA, WI, and AZ, a fraction of 1% for 269-269 EC tie, which Trump would have won in the House).
2024 Trump would beat
-Biden (who will be full blown dementia by then,
-Kamala (lol),
-Hillary (lol).
The donks can’t run Buttajudge (blacks won’t vote for a gay male).
So the donks don’t have to crater even further for Trump to win, but they have to come up with someone outside of the above 4 names.
But I hope Desantis runs. He’ll clean the clock of anyone that could win a dem primary.