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That gathering, three days before the World Health Organization declared a pandemic last March 11, set off a rush to contain the virus that included some of the country’s earliest orders to cancel large events, shutter restaurants and close schools, all in the hope that the dire possibilities in front of them would not come to pass.

One year later, the Seattle area has the lowest death rate of the 20 largest metropolitan regions in the country. If the rest of the United States had kept pace with Seattle, the nation could have avoided more than 300,000 coronavirus deaths.

During a year in which the White House downplayed the virus and other political leaders clashed over how to contain it, Seattle’s success illustrates the value of unified and timely strategies: Although the region’s public health experts and politicians grappled behind the scenes about how to best manage the virus, they came together to present a united front to the public. And the public largely complied.

The restrictions that have been in place off and on for the better part of a year have brought widespread disruption to lives and the economy. But as governors elsewhere have cited the economy as a reason to ease lockdowns, Seattle’s success showed that an alternative pathway was doable: Amid widespread economic turmoil, the state’s unemployment rate has been about average nationally, outperforming some places that have pressed ahead with wider reopenings, including Arizona and Texas.

There are numerous factors that have shaped the trajectory of the pandemic both locally and nationally. In part, public health experts said, Seattle may have benefited from its demographics: a healthy population living in small households and a lot of workers able to do their jobs from home. The city may have also have won more public support for the crackdowns from the shock of experiencing the nation’s first publicized deaths. The high humidity may have helped, scientists say, although the cold weather and gray skies probably did not.

Ali Mokdad, a professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, said he was convinced the Seattle model could have been replicated, positively affecting the trajectory of the virus across the country.

Instead, he said, state after state reopened sooner than appropriate and members of the public ignored health advice that at times was undermined by conflicting messages from political and business leaders. Seattle, he said, shows what could have been.

“We have so many lessons we have learned here,” Dr. Mokdad said. “Unfortunately, not many people were listening

Is it too soon to call this a knockout win — for Oregon? Maybe. You never know what’s next with this virus. But it sure looks like Oregon is sitting in a sweet spot at the moment while the state of Washington is left scrambling to catch up.

What happened is, Oregon ignored all the barbs and went ahead and got the shots for its teachers. When that didn’t lead to immediate school re-openings as hoped, the governor last week brought down the hammer.

“Whether or not public schools should return kids to the classroom this spring is no longer up for discussion,” she said.

89Hen wrote: ↑Thu Mar 11, 2021 1:25 pm Seems like they say there are a lot of factors, not just lockdowns.

Didn't NY and NJ have some of the most restrictive lockdowns? They are #1 and #2 in deaths per capita.

UNI88 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 11, 2021 3:55 pm For Inslee, getting his ass kicked by Oregon - no guts no glory ... a day late, a dollar short

The verdict is in on who did the vaccines right, Washington or Oregon. Hint: It wasn’t us.

Is it too soon to call this a knockout win — for Oregon? Maybe. You never know what’s next with this virus. But it sure looks like Oregon is sitting in a sweet spot at the moment while the state of Washington is left scrambling to catch up.

What happened is, Oregon ignored all the barbs and went ahead and got the shots for its teachers. When that didn’t lead to immediate school re-openings as hoped, the governor last week brought down the hammer.

“Whether or not public schools should return kids to the classroom this spring is no longer up for discussion,” she said.

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:12 am

89Hen wrote: ↑Thu Mar 11, 2021 1:25 pm Seems like they say there are a lot of factors, not just lockdowns.

Didn't NY and NJ have some of the most restrictive lockdowns? They are #1 and #2 in deaths per capita.

Of course there are a lot of factors which can shed some light on NY NJ question.

The big takeaways are 1) unified leadership and messaging which lead to 2) equal or less deaths with equal if not better economic outcomes. And the final results are still not in.

89Hen wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:31 am

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:12 am

Of course there are a lot of factors which can shed some light on NY NJ question.

The big takeaways are 1) unified leadership and messaging which lead to 2) equal or less deaths with equal if not better economic outcomes. And the final results are still not in.

So the results aren't in and there are many factors, but you're declaring victory for Seattle. Check.

Pwns wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 10:47 am So, you gotta account for all the nuance and everything when talking about New Jersey and New York, but not when talking about one of the younger, whiter, and wealthier states like Washington?

SeattleGriz wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 3:12 pm Peer reviewed Stanford study shows lockdowns provided no appreciable benefit over common sense.

Stay away from sick people and wash your hands. No need to lockdown, just like we did for H1N1.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eci.13484

dbackjon wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 4:38 pm

SeattleGriz wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 3:12 pm Peer reviewed Stanford study shows lockdowns provided no appreciable benefit over common sense.

Stay away from sick people and wash your hands. No need to lockdown, just like we did for H1N1.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/eci.13484

That is not all that study says. And the two control groups, South Korea and Sweden, DID do closures, restrictions, and South Korea required Masks.

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:12 am

89Hen wrote: ↑Thu Mar 11, 2021 1:25 pm Seems like they say there are a lot of factors, not just lockdowns.

Didn't NY and NJ have some of the most restrictive lockdowns? They are #1 and #2 in deaths per capita.

Of course there are a lot of factors which can shed some light on NY NJ question.

The big takeaways are 1) unified leadership and messaging which lead to 2) equal or less deaths with equal if not better economic outcomes. And the final results are still not in.

Surprised the “lockdowns don’t work” - “open everything back up and the scaredy cats can hide in fear” brigade haven’t commented yet.

SDHornet wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 8:20 pm

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:12 am

Of course there are a lot of factors which can shed some light on NY NJ question.

The big takeaways are 1) unified leadership and messaging which lead to 2) equal or less deaths with equal if not better economic outcomes. And the final results are still not in.

Surprised the “lockdowns don’t work” - “open everything back up and the scaredy cats can hide in fear” brigade haven’t commented yet.

Yawn. Cases started magically disappearing after Jan 20. This was all political from the jump.

Oh and WA was smart enough to not force China Virus patients into nursing homes.

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 9:40 pm

SDHornet wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 8:20 pm

Yawn. Cases started magically disappearing after Jan 20. This was all political from the jump.

Oh and WA was smart enough to not force China Virus patients into nursing homes.

Minnesota active cases have been going up the last 3 weeks. Frickin Brazilian or UK or some other mutant version in the West Metro.

SDHornet wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 8:20 pm

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 9:12 am

Of course there are a lot of factors which can shed some light on NY NJ question.

The big takeaways are 1) unified leadership and messaging which lead to 2) equal or less deaths with equal if not better economic outcomes. And the final results are still not in.

Surprised the “lockdowns don’t work” - “open everything back up and the scaredy cats can hide in fear” brigade haven’t commented yet.

Yawn. Cases started magically disappearing after Jan 20. This was all political from the jump.

Oh and WA was smart enough to not force China Virus patients into nursing homes.

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 9:40 pm Frickin Brazilian or UK or some other mutant version

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 6:34 am

SDHornet wrote: ↑Sat Mar 13, 2021 8:20 pm
Yawn. Cases started magically disappearing after Jan 20. This was all political from the jump.

Oh and WA was smart enough to not force China Virus patients into nursing homes.

You are tenacious.

UNI88 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:08 am

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 6:34 am

You are tenacious.

but just to be sure, can we get a reading?

My understanding is that UK is acceptable (it's ok to mock/ridicule/put down people from a majority white, imperialistic nation) but Brazilian is probably racist (darker-skinned, Latino, slave or native heritage, victims of imperialism).

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:22 am

UNI88 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:08 am
but just to be sure, can we get a reading?

My understanding is that UK is acceptable (it's ok to mock/ridicule/put down people from a majority white, imperialistic nation) but Brazilian is probably racist (darker-skinned, Latino, slave or native heritage, victims of imperialism).

UNI88 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:45 am

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:22 am

Then tell me why calling it the "China Virus" or similar is racist but the UK variant isn't?

The Brazilians aren't nearly as good at manipulating public opinion as the Chinese so that's probably why the "Brazilian" variant hasn't been flagged as racist yet.

UNI88 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:45 am

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:22 am

Then tell me why calling it the "China Virus" or similar is racist but the UK variant isn't?

The Brazilians aren't nearly as good at manipulating public opinion as the Chinese so that's probably why the "Brazilian" variant hasn't been flagged as racist yet.

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 10:35 am

UNI88 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 9:45 am
Then tell me why calling it the "China Virus" or similar is racist but the UK variant isn't?

The Brazilians aren't nearly as good at manipulating public opinion as the Chinese so that's probably why the "Brazilian" variant hasn't been flagged as racist yet.

Brazil doesn't own America like China does.

UNI88 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 12:30 pm

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Sun Mar 14, 2021 10:35 am

Brazil doesn't own America like China does.

The Chinese don't own America but they do have lickspittles like LeBron James, Barbara Boxer and Antony Blinken to carry their water for them, promoting and protecting Chinese interests and defending the CCP from criticism for their oppression of Hong Kong or the Uyghurs.