https://www.profgalloway.com/a-reluctant-optimist/Optimists are overrated. With Big Tech, Covid-19, or Putin, would we have been better off listening to the optimists or the pessimists? People think it takes optimism to be an entrepreneur. Not so — in my case, it just required the self-awareness to know I didn’t have the skills to succeed in a big company. Optimism is required to be an early stage investor, however. I typically invest in later stage growth firms, as my reaction to every startup idea is “there’s NFW that will work.”
I believe pessimists make better operators. I, no joke, sit awake at night and imagine everything that can go wrong in my firm(s). Then I start emailing people to ensure it won’t. On a livestream last night with two other entrepreneurs, someone asked about our management styles. The other two panelists gave Hallmark Channel answers about helping people find their purpose and encouraging failure and some other bullshit. Then it was my turn.
“I’m fucking all over everybody all the fucking time.”
Awkward..........
If you’re looking for justice in the corporate world, you’re going to be disappointed. It’s tempting to put successful business leaders or political figures on a pedestal and mistake adulation for analysis. The lack of realism in our country has been damaging. We gave Donald Trump, Sheryl Sandberg, 3D printing, and Hayden Christensen the benefit of the doubt. And we were wrong. The next casualty of our optimism? The midlife-crisis-fueled ascent of … private space travel. Tourists/explorers to space/Mars will be disappointed/dead, respectively. Worse, they will produce poor shareholder returns.
However, recently, I’ve been experiencing an alien sensation. I hate the world/myself/everyone … less. I’m still bearish on space travel, but at sea level, things feel … better.
Back in March, on the one-year anniversary of Covid going global, I published an ode to pessimism in the Economist. America’s maladroit response to the pandemic, I argued, was a symptom of a deeper issue: We’ve lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism. The result “is rising inequality, decreased economic mobility and an economy that has gone from dysfunctional to dystopic in 12 months.” Yep, that sounds like me.
This frustration with the feeble American pandemic response was rooted in the knowledge that we’re capable of much better. Since WWII, the U.S. federal government has been the most powerful player on the global stage and the catalyst for some of the century’s key successes, from the Marshall Plan to the eradication of smallpox to the internet.
You’re likely reading this newsletter on the product of two generations of government accomplishments. As economist Mariana Mazzucato has shown, the iPhone is a museum of government-funded research: DARPA pioneered voice-controlled AI, the Air Force developed GPS — almost every piece of its technology has the government behind it.
Bullish or Bearish on America?
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Bullish or Bearish on America?
Another fine screed from Scott Galloway. Government can provide positive outcomes. Capitalism isn’t bad. Striking the right balance is the challenge we’ve been able to mostly overcome in the past. Will trust in government institutions increase?
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
I fear we're going in the exact opposite direction we went when Sputnik was launched.
Serious countries don't self-flagellate about science and it's institutions being "systemically racist" and get rid of standardized tests and accelerated math and science options in schools.
Combine that with a corporate culture that cares less about innovation and you've got a gradual decline in the country.
Serious countries don't self-flagellate about science and it's institutions being "systemically racist" and get rid of standardized tests and accelerated math and science options in schools.
Combine that with a corporate culture that cares less about innovation and you've got a gradual decline in the country.
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*of appearance only. Restrictions apply.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Of course Galloway is optimistic. His piece is a paean to Big Government, which is on the march in this country. He probably has a nude photo of Lina Khan on his office wall. Hail, FTC! Hail, IRS! Break up Big Tech! You didn’t build that! Replace the Ten Commandments with the Sherman Act! Life is good!
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
A piece comparing current shifts in the US to the decline of ancient Rome could be interesting.Pwns wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:27 pm I fear we're going in the exact opposite direction we went when Sputnik was launched.
Serious countries don't self-flagellate about science and it's institutions being "systemically racist" and get rid of standardized tests and accelerated math and science options in schools.
Combine that with a corporate culture that cares less about innovation and you've got a gradual decline in the country.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
"The feeling that the government should “do something” has seldom been based on a comparison of what actually happens when government does and when it does not “do something."
Thomas Sowell
Thomas Sowell
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
....a misguided obsession with individualism....
I stopped reading right there.
I stopped reading right there.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
I'm assuming it's the right that has "lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism". If that's so, hasn't the left lost respect for individualism, in favor of a misguided obsession with the role of civil institutions?
The author assumes that his beliefs are truth and his cause is just.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
That sounds wonderful!Ivytalk wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:38 pm Of course Galloway is optimistic. His piece is a paean to Big Government, which is on the march in this country. He probably has a nude photo of Lina Khan on his office wall. Hail, FTC! Hail, IRS! Break up Big Tech! You didn’t build that! Replace the Ten Commandments with the Sherman Act! Life is good!
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Yes the left has. That’s why I opened with the importance of striking a balance. Economically, we have been mostly neo-liberal for decades. Some have benefitted, many have not thus the motivation in turning to government in a ironic a negative feedback loop of our own creation.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 3:20 pmI'm assuming it's the right that has "lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism". If that's so, hasn't the left lost respect for individualism, in favor of a misguided obsession with the role of civil institutions?
The author assumes that his beliefs are truth and his cause is just.
Not enough crumbs and the peasants are hungry. Agree with Galloway or not, it’s coming down the pike. But we’ve somehow survived this swing before.
‘And the objectivists gnashed their terrible teeth, and rolled their terrible eyes...’
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
FYPkalm wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 6:49 pmYes the left has. That’s why I opened with the importance of striking a balance. Economically, we have been mostly neo-liberal for decades. Some have benefitted greatly, many have not benefited as much as they think they were entitled to, thus the motivation in turning to government in a ironic a negative feedback loop of our own creation.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 3:20 pm
I'm assuming it's the right that has "lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism". If that's so, hasn't the left lost respect for individualism, in favor of a misguided obsession with the role of civil institutions?
The author assumes that his beliefs are truth and his cause is just.
Not enough crumbs and the peasants are hungry. Agree with Galloway or not, it’s coming down the pike. But we’ve somehow survived this swing before.
‘And the objectivists gnashed their terrible teeth, and rolled their terrible eyes...’
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
As any good liberal does.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 3:20 pmI'm assuming it's the right that has "lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism". If that's so, hasn't the left lost respect for individualism, in favor of a misguided obsession with the role of civil institutions?
The author assumes that his beliefs are truth and his cause is just.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
I'm bullish. Bought in at 2020, expect some breakout around 2024 and will take profits starting at 2025.
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Whereas you question the truth of your convictions and justice of your cause?AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 7:22 pmAs any good liberal does.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 3:20 pm
I'm assuming it's the right that has "lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism". If that's so, hasn't the left lost respect for individualism, in favor of a misguided obsession with the role of civil institutions?
The author assumes that his beliefs are truth and his cause is just.
Got it!
Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
To be honest, the Left (especially the 'progressive' Left) has never valued or had respect for the individual, and that it is only being accelerated in today's world.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 3:20 pmI'm assuming it's the right that has "lost respect for the role of civil institutions, in favor of a misguided obsession with individualism". If that's so, hasn't the left lost respect for individualism, in favor of a misguided obsession with the role of civil institutions?
The author assumes that his beliefs are truth and his cause is just.
They look at your group identity instead of who you are as an individual.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
It sounds like you're judging people on the Left based on their group identity and not valuing or respecting who they are as an individual.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Skjellyfetti wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 6:42 am It sounds like you're judging people on the Left based on their group identity and not valuing or respecting who they are as an individual.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
why should we? They don't....Skjellyfetti wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 6:42 am It sounds like you're judging people on the Left based on their group identity and not valuing or respecting who they are as an individual.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Every day.
"Ah fuck. You are right." KYJelly, 11/6/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
"The future must not belong to those who slander the prophet of Islam." Barack Obama, 9/25/12
Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Just b/c one group acts inappropriately doesn't mean you have to. Wrongful, immature, idiotic, criminal and/or crazy acts from one group doesn't give another group a free pass to do the same. You lose the higher ground when you engage in the same BS that you're complaining about.AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 6:57 amwhy should we? They don't....Skjellyfetti wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 6:42 am It sounds like you're judging people on the Left based on their group identity and not valuing or respecting who they are as an individual.
How can I possibly have any moral standing to say you shouldn't do X when i'll engage in it myself?
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Good fix. Kalmie's post would have you think we're on the verge of shanty towns popping up everywhere and Depression-era soup lines opening up. Income inequality has grown, there's no doubt about that, but that's happened every time there's an economic expansion, like what we've experienced for the past several decades. The only time that we manage to shrink income inequality is when there is an economic downturn or recession. I'm not sure how you get around this phenomenon - if the economy grows and everyone sees a 10% increase in income, the income inequality will grow - 10% of a bigger number is going to be 10% of a smaller number. Math and all. Seems odd to be rooting for an economic collapse just so we can get better income equality.UNI88 wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 7:04 pmFYPkalm wrote: ↑Mon Jun 21, 2021 6:49 pm
Yes the left has. That’s why I opened with the importance of striking a balance. Economically, we have been mostly neo-liberal for decades. Some have benefitted greatly, many have not benefited as much as they think they were entitled to, thus the motivation in turning to government in a ironic a negative feedback loop of our own creation.
Not enough crumbs and the peasants are hungry. Agree with Galloway or not, it’s coming down the pike. But we’ve somehow survived this swing before.
‘And the objectivists gnashed their terrible teeth, and rolled their terrible eyes...’
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
THAT is quite the extrapolation. I simply asked why should WE respect them as individuals when they don't themselves.Ibanez wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:03 amJust b/c one group acts inappropriately doesn't mean you have to. Wrongful, immature, idiotic, criminal and/or crazy acts from one group doesn't give another group a free pass to do the same. You lose the higher ground when you engage in the same BS that you're complaining about.
How can I possibly have any moral standing to say you shouldn't do X when i'll engage in it myself?
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
Math IS confusing to most folks. Remember, people wouldn't buy DQ's 1/3 lb burger because most people thought McDonalds' 1/4-lb burger was bigger. 1/4 bigger than 1/3. Makes total sense.GannonFan wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:16 amGood fix. Kalmie's post would have you think we're on the verge of shanty towns popping up everywhere and Depression-era soup lines opening up. Income inequality has grown, there's no doubt about that, but that's happened every time there's an economic expansion, like what we've experienced for the past several decades. The only time that we manage to shrink income inequality is when there is an economic downturn or recession. I'm not sure how you get around this phenomenon - if the economy grows and everyone sees a 10% increase in income, the income inequality will grow - 10% of a bigger number is going to be 10% of a smaller number. Math and all. Seems odd to be rooting for an economic collapse just so we can get better income equality.
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Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
The income gap might be greater but the poor are better off today than they were in the past.GannonFan wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:16 amGood fix. Kalmie's post would have you think we're on the verge of shanty towns popping up everywhere and Depression-era soup lines opening up. Income inequality has grown, there's no doubt about that, but that's happened every time there's an economic expansion, like what we've experienced for the past several decades. The only time that we manage to shrink income inequality is when there is an economic downturn or recession. I'm not sure how you get around this phenomenon - if the economy grows and everyone sees a 10% increase in income, the income inequality will grow - 10% of a bigger number is going to be 10% of a smaller number. Math and all. Seems odd to be rooting for an economic collapse just so we can get better income equality.
Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
I read it the other way. Apologies if that's not what you meant.AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:33 amTHAT is quite the extrapolation. I simply asked why should WE respect them as individuals when they don't themselves.Ibanez wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:03 am
Just b/c one group acts inappropriately doesn't mean you have to. Wrongful, immature, idiotic, criminal and/or crazy acts from one group doesn't give another group a free pass to do the same. You lose the higher ground when you engage in the same BS that you're complaining about.
How can I possibly have any moral standing to say you shouldn't do X when i'll engage in it myself?
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17
Re: Bullish or Bearish on America?
That is such a depressing fact. My 6 yr old understands that 1/4 is smaller.AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:35 amMath IS confusing to most folks. Remember, people wouldn't buy DQ's 1/3 lb burger because most people thought McDonalds' 1/4-lb burger was bigger. 1/4 bigger than 1/3. Makes total sense.GannonFan wrote: ↑Tue Jun 22, 2021 9:16 am
Good fix. Kalmie's post would have you think we're on the verge of shanty towns popping up everywhere and Depression-era soup lines opening up. Income inequality has grown, there's no doubt about that, but that's happened every time there's an economic expansion, like what we've experienced for the past several decades. The only time that we manage to shrink income inequality is when there is an economic downturn or recession. I'm not sure how you get around this phenomenon - if the economy grows and everyone sees a 10% increase in income, the income inequality will grow - 10% of a bigger number is going to be 10% of a smaller number. Math and all. Seems odd to be rooting for an economic collapse just so we can get better income equality.
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17