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No one lives here anymore. The mud-brick buildings are empty, just husks of the human life that became impossible on this land. Wind whips through bone-dry reeds. For miles, there’s no water to be seen.

Carved from an ancient land once known as Mesopotamia, Iraq is home to the cradle of civilization — the expanse between the Tigris and Euphrates rivers where the first complex human communities emerged.

But as climate change produces extreme warming and water grows scarcer around the Middle East, the land here is drying up. Across Iraq’s south, there is a sense of an ending.

Dozens of farming villages are abandoned, but for an isolated family here and there. The intrusion of saltwater is poisoning lands that have been passed for generations from fathers to sons. The United Nations recently estimated that more than 100 square miles of farmland a year are being lost to desert.

Years of below-average rainfall have left Iraqi farmers more dependent than ever on the dwindling waters of the Tigris and Euphrates. But upstream, Turkey and Iran have dammed their own waterways in the past two years, further weakening the southern flow, so a salty current from the Persian Gulf now pushes northward and into Iraq’s rivers. The salt has reached as far as the northern edge of Basra, some 85 miles inland.

In the historic marshes, meanwhile, men are clinging to what remains of life as they knew it as their buffaloes die and their wives and children scatter across nearby cities, no longer able to stand the summer heat.

Temperatures in Iraq topped a record 125 degrees this summer with aid groups warning that drought was limiting access to food, water and electricity for 12 million people here and in neighboring Syria. With Iraq warming faster than much of the globe, this is a glimpse of the world’s future.

Stay or Go?

Across marshes often hailed as the original Garden of Eden and on the baking lands beyond, inhabitants now face a choice. “Do we stay or do we go?” sighed Raad al-Ghali, a buffalo herder in the historic marshland of Chibayish while recently sheltering in the shadow beside his tent.

“Everyone is suffering these days. We don’t know what to do.”

In Chibayish’s labyrinth of winding waterways, water levels have dropped. Salt and pollution are killing the reeds. To keep their animals alive, residents fill rickety boats with drinking water purchased miles away.

Nearby fields have turned brown. Orchards and roses have disappeared, and the palm trees are dying slowly. In the border town of Siba, water for irrigation is so salty it is poisoning the harvest.

“We used to grow greenhouses of cucumbers,” recalled a farmer, Abu Ahmed, 52, standing in his desiccated farm. “Now we don’t even have a single cucumber’s worth of fresh water. How can we continue here?”

The impact of rising temperatures started slowly, people recall. Year after year, the summers got hotter. Days on the water felt more difficult, and cases of heat stroke increased, according to residents. Buffaloes fell sick. Fish were found dead on the shore.

In previous summers, Ghali’s animals were tended by his wife and sons, but this year they left for the town of al-Majer, 70 miles to the north. “They were tired of it here. It was too hot for them. Sometimes we feel like we’re the last generation who will do this. We feel like it’s the end of an era.”

Ghali’s hair had grayed at his temples, framing wrinkles deepened by the sun. The 40-year-old looked exhausted.

Could he sell the animals and move, too? He shook his head. “No one would buy them now.”

He looked out across the mud flats where his black buffaloes stood sweating.

“We never thought things would reach this point,” he said.

Migration Increasing

Iraq’s average temperature has risen by 4.1 degrees Fahrenheit since the end of the 19th century, according to Berkeley Earth, double the speed of the Earth as a whole. Climate scientists warn that the extreme temperatures facing places like southern Iraq are a small taste of what will follow elsewhere.

Iraq’s climate woes have exacerbated shortages in everything from food to electricity generation. Fisheries have been depleted. In the country’s north, wheat production is expected to decline by 70 percent, aid groups say. In provinces without access to rivers, families are spending ever larger portions of their monthly income on drinking water.

The result, increasingly, is migration. According to the International Organization of Migration, more than 20,000 Iraqis were displaced by lack of access to clean water in 2019, most of them in the country’s south.

But as they flee to towns and cities, they’re further straining services already hollowed out by widespread corruption and weak job markets where unemployment is high.

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:24 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

It will still have impacts.

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:24 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

It will still have impacts.

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Oct 17, 2021 5:08 am You can either attempt to deny change and growl at what the world is becoming or attenpt to apply some equanimity and be less bitter about things. Regardless of what you think is fair or important.

HI54UNI wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:55 am So Turkey and Iran building dams on their waterways is climate change. Got it.

UNI88 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:49 am

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:24 am

It will still have impacts.

kalm wrote: ↑Sun Oct 17, 2021 5:08 am You can either attempt to deny change and growl at what the world is becoming or attenpt to apply some equanimity and be less bitter about things. Regardless of what you think is fair or important.

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:29 am

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:24 am

It will still have impacts.

It will, because we've been attempting (as a civilization) to cram square pegs into round holes for the past 200+ years, with the areas that CAN support human life attempting to provide for those areas that CAN'T (Ethiopia, Sudan come immediately to top of mind).

We either stop the attempt to defeat Mother Nature, or we quit bitching. But we both know neither of those will happen.

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

Ibanez wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:07 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

the American desert?

UNI88 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:37 am

Ibanez wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:07 am

the American desert?

Arizona?

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

89Hen wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada....

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

It's believed that just 6000 years ago, the Sahara Desert was a grassland, but climate change occurred.

89Hen wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada....

CAA Flagship wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:21 am

89Hen wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am
Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada....

......and the wastelands of the Anacostia.

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

It's believed that just 6000 years ago, the Sahara Desert was a grassland, but climate change occurred.

Agriculture in Israel is an incredibly evolved industry although its importance in Israel’s overall financial system is relatively less, with its contribution to GDP merely 16 per cent in 2020. Israel is a prime exporter of fresh produce and a world-leader in agriculture technologies, even though the country’s geographical environment is not conducive to agriculture development. Over half of Israel’s territory is desert, only 20% of the surface is naturally cultivable. But with its innovative investments in agro-industry they made the deserts bloom.

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

Col Hogan wrote: ↑Sat Oct 23, 2021 12:54 pm



It is possible to survive in a situation that Iraq is finding itself in these days…all it would take is to establish a peaceful relationship with a country to its west…

Agriculture in Israel is an incredibly evolved industry although its importance in Israel’s overall financial system is relatively less, with its contribution to GDP merely 16 per cent in 2020. Israel is a prime exporter of fresh produce and a world-leader in agriculture technologies, even though the country’s geographical environment is not conducive to agriculture development. Over half of Israel’s territory is desert, only 20% of the surface is naturally cultivable. But with its innovative investments in agro-industry they made the deserts bloom.

https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/israel- ... rts-bloom/

And the Israelis have proven that they are more than willing to export their expertise…like with the experimental farm being established in the South Sudan



https://www.israel21c.org/why-the-futur ... ls-desert/

Spoiler: show

Good articles, Hoagie. Thanks for sharing them!)

Gil Dobie wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am

AZGrizFan wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:23 am There are places on this earth where humans shouldn't live. Most of Africa, parts of the middle east, Antarctica.....it ain't rocket science.

It's believed that just 6000 years ago, the Sahara Desert was a grassland, but climate change occurred.

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:08 am

89Hen wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:44 am

Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada....

Cali.

And all the rest of us who enjoy their delicious fruits and veges.

SDHornet wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 10:29 am

kalm wrote: ↑Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:08 am

Cali.

And all the rest of us who enjoy their delicious fruits and veges.

Partially true. The Central valley has/had a massive aqueduct that the farmers have tapped into. But yes, all of SoCal is one giant desert. Cadillac Desert is a good read that explains the water rights issues and projects that allowed SoCal to be what it is today.