Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

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Col Hogan
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Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by Col Hogan »

One of the first experts to forecast the 2008 recession is sounding the alarm bells that another big economic downturn is on the way.

With recession fears in the U.S. mounting, many economists are predicting such a downturn as early as this year. Earlier this month, Bank of America strategists wrote they expected a “mild recession” to hit sometime next year. Others, like former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have been more bearish with their recession forecasts, predicting that only a deep recession will be enough to fix the 40-year-high inflation hitting the country.

Now economist Nouriel Roubini—a New York University professor and the CEO of Roubini Macro Associates—whose prescience of the 2007 and 2008 housing market crash earned him the nickname Dr. Doom—seems to have chosen a side.

In an interview with Bloomberg this week, Roubini said that a recession is likely to hit the U.S. by the end of 2022 before spreading globally next year, conceivably lasting for the entirety of 2023.

“It’s not going to be a short and shallow recession; it’s going to be severe, long, and ugly,” Roubini said.
https://fortune.com/2022/09/21/long-ugl ... l-roubini/
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by AZGrizFan »

Well hello Captain Obvious. We’re already IN a recession. Not sure what these idiots are measuring.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by kalm »

AZGrizFan wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 7:52 am Well hello Captain Obvious. We’re already IN a recession. Not sure what these idiots are measuring.
My thoughts exactly. We’ve been in one since January. And the causes are different this time.

I follow David Rosenberg and he’s spent months convincing us of something that already exists.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by GannonFan »

kalm wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 8:17 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 7:52 am Well hello Captain Obvious. We’re already IN a recession. Not sure what these idiots are measuring.
My thoughts exactly. We’ve been in one since January. And the causes are different this time.

I follow David Rosenberg and he’s spent months convincing us of something that already exists.
Well, there are plenty of people needing convincing apparently, given the hullabaloo and the contortions that had to be done following the GDP report for the second quarter. No one likes bad news, especially people who had a large hand in creating the bad news and the folks who support them. Political spin always gets in the way of objective discussion.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by AZGrizFan »

kalm wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 8:17 am
AZGrizFan wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 7:52 am Well hello Captain Obvious. We’re already IN a recession. Not sure what these idiots are measuring.
My thoughts exactly. We’ve been in one since January. And the causes are different this time.

I follow David Rosenberg and he’s spent months convincing us of something that already exists.
No, the causes are pretty much the same. Too much money chasing too few goods, and the federal government pouring gasoline on the fire by spending like drunken sailors.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by Pwns »

Good thing we stuck it to those pesky small banks and credit unions with the Dodd Frank act. They won't dare let us fall off the cliff again. :roll:
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by Winterborn »

AZGrizFan wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 9:00 am
kalm wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 8:17 am

My thoughts exactly. We’ve been in one since January. And the causes are different this time.

I follow David Rosenberg and he’s spent months convincing us of something that already exists.
No, the causes are pretty much the same. Too much money chasing too few goods, and the federal government pouring gasoline on the fire by spending like drunken sailors.
To be fair the Government always spends like a drunken sailor. This time it is like they found a shipping container of 100 dollar bills and they are on liberty in Panama.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by kalm »

Pwns wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 10:36 am Good thing we stuck it to those pesky small banks and credit unions with the Dodd Frank act. They won't dare let us fall off the cliff again. :roll:
Very true.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by houndawg »

Col Hogan wrote: Fri Sep 23, 2022 7:51 am
One of the first experts to forecast the 2008 recession is sounding the alarm bells that another big economic downturn is on the way.

With recession fears in the U.S. mounting, many economists are predicting such a downturn as early as this year. Earlier this month, Bank of America strategists wrote they expected a “mild recession” to hit sometime next year. Others, like former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have been more bearish with their recession forecasts, predicting that only a deep recession will be enough to fix the 40-year-high inflation hitting the country.

Now economist Nouriel Roubini—a New York University professor and the CEO of Roubini Macro Associates—whose prescience of the 2007 and 2008 housing market crash earned him the nickname Dr. Doom—seems to have chosen a side.

In an interview with Bloomberg this week, Roubini said that a recession is likely to hit the U.S. by the end of 2022 before spreading globally next year, conceivably lasting for the entirety of 2023.

“It’s not going to be a short and shallow recession; it’s going to be severe, long, and ugly,” Roubini said.
https://fortune.com/2022/09/21/long-ugl ... l-roubini/
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by UNI88 »

houndawg wrote:
Every financial "expert" on the planet is introduced as "...one of the first to forecast X...."

The astrologers of the financial sector :coffee:
What's worse? A financial expert with a 50% chance of being right or a big gubmint apparatchik like Biden or Bernie who thinks the government can control the market and has a 0% chance of being right?

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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by houndawg »

UNI88 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 11:52 am
houndawg wrote:
Every financial "expert" on the planet is introduced as "...one of the first to forecast X...."

The astrologers of the financial sector :coffee:
What's worse? A financial expert with a 50% chance of being right or a big gubmint apparatchik like Biden or Bernie who thinks the government can control the market and has a 0% chance of being right?

Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
I've never heard either one of them say they think gubmint can control the market. :coffee:
The best way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of opinion but allow very lively debate within that spectrum - Noam Chomsky
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by GannonFan »

houndawg wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 12:43 pm
UNI88 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 11:52 am What's worse? A financial expert with a 50% chance of being right or a big gubmint apparatchik like Biden or Bernie who thinks the government can control the market and has a 0% chance of being right?

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I've never heard either one of them say they think gubmint can control the market. :coffee:
They're like all politicians - claim credit that government can control markets when things go well, and then blame others when the market crashes.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by UNI88 »

houndawg wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 12:43 pm
UNI88 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 11:52 am What's worse? A financial expert with a 50% chance of being right or a big gubmint apparatchik like Biden or Bernie who thinks the government can control the market and has a 0% chance of being right?

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I've never heard either one of them say they think gubmint can control the market. :coffee:
Biden's response to inflation shows that he thinks the government is omnipotent and the market should respond to what he dictates. Bernie's a socialist and believes the government should replace the market because it can do a better job. Both have a 0% chance of being right.
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Re: Hang On To Your Hat…Dr Doom Predicts

Post by houndawg »

UNI88 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 1:51 pm
houndawg wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 12:43 pm

I've never heard either one of them say they think gubmint can control the market. :coffee:
Biden's response to inflation shows that he thinks the government is omnipotent and the market should respond to what he dictates. Bernie's a socialist and believes the government should replace the market because it can do a better job. Both have a 0% chance of being right.
:silly:

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