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2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 2:31 pm
by ebemiss
I've just updated all FCS and FBS teams after last week's games. If you're looking for a projection for an upcoming game use the 100 game match feature I've set up. Here's a sample game for this week between Georgia and Coastal Carolina.
http://www.nationalsportsrankings.com/i ... &magic=806" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Click play again or select new teams. In another week or two I'll add all the player names as well to make the individual games look more realistic.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 2:35 pm
by AZGrizFan
Interesting. Still has EWU winning 76 of 100 matchups with the Griz, with rushing yardage for EWU in the mid 100's.
I don't think so. Seems like there's a flaw in your database.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 2:48 pm
by ODUalum11
Interesting...ODU is picked every single time out of 100 simulations. Average score is ODU 32, Hampton 14.

Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:18 pm
by ebemiss
AZGrizFan wrote:Interesting. Still has EWU winning 76 of 100 matchups with the Griz, with rushing yardage for EWU in the mid 100's.
I don't think so. Seems like there's a flaw in your database.
How can there be a flaw when they haven't even played yet? Lets wait and see what happens this week and I'll adjust the numbers accordingly after the game.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:20 pm
by AZGrizFan
ebemiss wrote:AZGrizFan wrote:Interesting. Still has EWU winning 76 of 100 matchups with the Griz, with rushing yardage for EWU in the mid 100's.
I don't think so. Seems like there's a flaw in your database.
How can there be a flaw when they haven't even played yet? Lets wait and see what happens this week and I'll adjust the numbers accordingly after the game.
Well how can it regularly predict 130+ yards rushing for EWU when they don't have 50 TOTAL in two games? I thought the data set was updated with current statistics/trends?
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:32 pm
by ToTheLeft
Liberty(2011) wins 70 of 100 matchups against James Madison(2011)
Projected Score: Liberty 20 James Madison 16
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:34 pm
by ebemiss
AZGrizFan wrote:ebemiss wrote:
How can there be a flaw when they haven't even played yet? Lets wait and see what happens this week and I'll adjust the numbers accordingly after the game.
Well how can it regularly predict 130+ yards rushing for EWU when they don't have 50 TOTAL in two games? I thought the data set was updated with current statistics/trends?
I said above the INDIVIDUAL GAMES and PLAYER NAMES haven't been totally updated. I'm using actual stats to run the 100 game matches, I just haven't had time to update the individual teams for your viewing.
If you want a prediction for a game USE the 100 game match up. DON'T click a single game match and use it as a prediction tool as I just haven't transferred all the 2001 individual stats over yet.
Once again the 100 game match is used for predictions, in a couple weeks when I have more time I'll update all the teams so you can view up to date yardage stats.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:38 pm
by AZGrizFan
ebemiss wrote:
I said above the INDIVIDUAL GAMES and PLAYER NAMES haven't been totally updated. I'm using actual stats to run the 100 game matches, I just haven't had time to update the individual teams for your viewing.
If you want a prediction for a game USE the 100 game match up. DON'T click a single game match and use it as a prediction tool as I just haven't transferred all the 2001 individual stats over yet.
Once again the 100 game match is used for predictions, in a couple weeks when I have more time I'll update all the teams so you can view up to date yardage stats.
So, it's still using 2010 stats/trends to determine winners....got it. In other words, it still thinks TJ is on EWU.

Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:40 pm
by ebemiss
Just because my rankings didn't project your team to win, that doesn't mean it's wrong. After this weekend I'll adjust the overall team numbers based on the results. If your team wins you'll be the first to let me know how "dumb" my program is and if your team loses you won't mention anything about it.
I've been doing this for years and that's what happens about 99% of the time. When the predictions are incorrect I'll adjust the teams accordingly. It's just a way to get a score prediction for an upcoming game.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:42 pm
by ebemiss
AZGrizFan wrote:ebemiss wrote:
I said above the INDIVIDUAL GAMES and PLAYER NAMES haven't been totally updated. I'm using actual stats to run the 100 game matches, I just haven't had time to update the individual teams for your viewing.
If you want a prediction for a game USE the 100 game match up. DON'T click a single game match and use it as a prediction tool as I just haven't transferred all the 2001 individual stats over yet.
Once again the 100 game match is used for predictions, in a couple weeks when I have more time I'll update all the teams so you can view up to date yardage stats.
So, it's still using 2010 stats/trends to determine winners....got it. In other words, it still thinks TJ is on EWU.

No Einstein! They are two separate engines. One for the individual games with the box scores, and the 100 game match that uses 2011 stats. I just haven't had time to update that part.
I'm providing this for free and people still complain. Give me a break
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:46 pm
by clenz
So....the W/L isn't tied to the stats of the game?
I'm not bitching, because I couldn't do it...but something does seem off on this.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:51 pm
by ebemiss
clenz wrote:So....the W/L isn't tied to the stats of the game?
I'm not bitching, because I couldn't do it...but something does seem off on this.
YES for 100 game match up RIGHT NOW. I upload all my 2011 rankings and stats and generate a result base on those statistics.
If you play a single game the numbers haven't been totally updated. You wont' see any player names and the pass/run ratio may be off.
When I have more time I'll update that feature, that's why I said FOR A PREDICTION OF AN UPCOMING GAME USE THE 100 GAME MATCHUP.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:52 pm
by AZGrizFan
ebemiss wrote:AZGrizFan wrote:
So, it's still using 2010 stats/trends to determine winners....got it. In other words, it still thinks TJ is on EWU.

No Einstein! They are two separate engines. One for the individual games with the box scores, and the 100 game match that uses 2011 stats. I just haven't had time to update that part.
I'm providing this for free and people still complain. Give me a break
Hey, I'm not complaining, just making a fucking observation. If you're going to have such thin skin and not be open to some constructive criticism, then why bother?
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:52 pm
by AZGrizFan
ebemiss wrote:clenz wrote:So....the W/L isn't tied to the stats of the game?
I'm not bitching, because I couldn't do it...but something does seem off on this.
YES for 100 game match up RIGHT NOW. I upload all my 2011 rankings and stats and generate a result base on those statistics.
If you play a single game the numbers haven't been totally updated. You wont' see any player names and the pass/run ratio may be off.
When I have more time I'll update that feature, that's why I said FOR A PREDICTION OF AN UPCOMING GAME USE THE 100 GAME MATCHUP.
MAYBE IF YOU USE BIGGER LETTERS WE'LL UNDERSTAND BETTER.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 3:53 pm
by clenz
ebemiss wrote:clenz wrote:So....the W/L isn't tied to the stats of the game?
I'm not bitching, because I couldn't do it...but something does seem off on this.
YES for 100 game match up RIGHT NOW. I upload all my 2011 rankings and stats and generate a result base on those statistics.
If you play a single game the numbers haven't been totally updated. You wont' see any player names and the pass/run ratio may be off.
When I have more time I'll update that feature, that's why I said FOR A PREDICTION OF AN UPCOMING GAME USE THE 100 GAME MATCHUP.
The 100 game is what Z was talking about.
I believe he is saying that EWU is putting up mid 150's rushing per game in those 100 games....which based on this year isn't even close.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 4:05 pm
by GRIZ MOBSTER
Montana (1995) wins nail biter vs Auburn (2011)
Auburn (2011) 42 Montana (1995) 44

Sweet I always knew the 1995 team was the best, it even beat Cam Newtons team.

Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 4:10 pm
by ebemiss
clenz wrote:ebemiss wrote:
YES for 100 game match up RIGHT NOW. I upload all my 2011 rankings and stats and generate a result base on those statistics.
If you play a single game the numbers haven't been totally updated. You wont' see any player names and the pass/run ratio may be off.
When I have more time I'll update that feature, that's why I said FOR A PREDICTION OF AN UPCOMING GAME USE THE 100 GAME MATCHUP.
The 100 game is what Z was talking about.
I believe he is saying that EWU is putting up mid 150's rushing per game in those 100 games....which based on this year isn't even close.
There aren't any YARDAGE STATS DISPLAYED FOR THE 100 GAME MATCHUP. Just the scores of each game and how many each team wins. That's not what he's talking about. He's talking about the SINGLE game match up, which I've said is not updated.
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 4:39 pm
by Big McLargehuge
Miami (Florida)(2001) wins 100 of 100 matchups against Prairie View A&M (1995)
Projected Score: Miami (Florida) 101 Prairie View A&M 3
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 6:06 pm
by Thumper 76
AZGrizFan wrote:ebemiss wrote:
YES for 100 game match up RIGHT NOW. I upload all my 2011 rankings and stats and generate a result base on those statistics.
If you play a single game the numbers haven't been totally updated. You wont' see any player names and the pass/run ratio may be off.
When I have more time I'll update that feature, that's why I said FOR A PREDICTION OF AN UPCOMING GAME USE THE 100 GAME MATCHUP.
MAYBE IF YOU USE BIGGER LETTERS WE'LL UNDERSTAND BETTER.
No, you have to type slower so we can understand better.

Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 6:13 pm
by ebemiss
Thumper 76 wrote:AZGrizFan wrote:
MAYBE IF YOU USE BIGGER LETTERS WE'LL UNDERSTAND BETTER.
No, you have to type slower so we can understand better.

I doubt it
Re: 2011 FCS team rankings UPDATED
Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 7:09 pm
by GRIZ MOBSTER