Missouri Valley Football Conference Playoff Picture

[guinzone]

The YSU upset over #1 NDSU shakes things up bigtime. Very real shot that this outcome occurs:

1. North Dakota State 10-1
2. Northern Iowa 9-2
3. Illinois State 7-4
Youngstown State 7-4
Indiana State 7-4

The playoff resume's would be:
Youngstown State: Wins over #1 North Dakota State, #15 Illinois State
Illinois State: A win over ranked Indiana State (They could still beat Northern Iowa, guaranteeing them a playoff spot)
Indiana State: A win over FBS Western Kentucky, an FBS team that has been on a roll as of late.

Who get's in?! Do all five get in?

[Strommer10]

Doubtful all 5 get in, but 4 is a definite possibility now.

[Gil Dobie]

Doubtful all 5 get in, but 4 is a definite possibility now.

If Wofford loses to Chatty, the Southern Conference would only get 2 teams.

[Gil Dobie]

Doubtful all 5 get in, but 4 is a definite possibility now.

If Wofford loses to Chatty, the Southern Conference would only get 2 teams.

Nice win by Central Arkansas, they should be in with a 7-3 D1 record, 8-3 overall. Texas St sent-off to the BS subdivision.

[bluehenbillk]

5 teams as of typing this fighting over last 2 spots:

JMU
S Utah
Indiana St
YSU
Wofford

[isumatt]

5 teams as of typing this fighting over last 2 spots:

JMU
S Utah
Indiana St
YSU
Wofford

so if IlSU loses to UNI next weekend, you think they arent on this list?? I sure do!! I think IlSU faces a must win nest Saturday

[takerjw]

If wofford beats chatt then 3you socon teams are in. My guess is 3 caa teams are in as well and if you take 3 from the mvc that leaves 11 spots for the rest who does everyone think is in?

[isumatt]

i think MVFC gets 4...NDSU, UNI, then 2 of IlSU, YSU, InSU

[The Kicker]

Who you got for the 20? *Lock for playoff spot
Big Sky (2)
*Montana St. 9-1 (8W) VS Montana
*Montana 8-2 (7W) @ Montana St.

Big South (1) Winner in loser out
Liberty 7-3 (6W) @ Stony Brook
Stony Brook 7-3 (6W) VS Liberty

CAA (4-5)
*Maine 8-2 (8W) @ New Hampshire
*Towson 8-2 (8W) @ Rhode Island
*Old Dominion 9-2 (9W)
*New Hampshire 7-3 (7W) VS Maine
James Madison 6-4 (6W) @ UMASS

MEAC (1)
*Norfolk State 9-2 (8W)
Florida A&M 7-3 (6W) VS Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 7-3 (6W) VS Florida A&M

Missouri Valley (3-5)
*NDSU 9-1 (9W) @ Western Illinois
*Northern Iowa 8-2 (8W) @Illinois St
*Illinois St 7-3 (7W) VS Northern Iowa
Indiana St 6-4 (6W) VS Sothern Illinois
Youngstown St 6-4 (6W) VS Missouri St

Northeast (1)
Duquesne 8-2 (8W) VS Robert Morris
Albany 7-3 (7W) VS Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley (1)
Tennessee Tech 6-3 (5W) @ Austin Peay
Eastern Kentucky 6-4 (6W) VS Tennessee-Martin
Jacksonville St 6-4 (6W) @ Tennessee St
Murray St 6-4 (6W) @ Southeast Missouri St

Patriot (1)
*Lehigh 9-1 (9W) VS Lafayette
Georgetown 8-3 (8W)
Bucknell 6-4 (6W) @ Colgate

Pioneer (1) Auto? or maybe Jacksonville if they win
Drake 9-2 (7W)
San Diego 8-2 (6W) vs Jacksonville
Jacksonville 7-3 (7W) @ San Diego

Southern (2-4)
*Georgia Southern 9-1 (8W) @ Alabama
Wofford 7-3 (6W) @ Chattanooga
*Appalachian St 7-3 (7W) @ Elon
Furman 6-4 (6W) @ Florida

Southland (2)
*Sam Houston St 10-0 (10W) @Texas St
Central Arkansas 8-3 (7W)

SWAC (1)
Jackson State 8-2 (7W) vs Alcorn St

Locks
Sam Houston St
Montana St
Montana
Georgia Southern
Appalachian State
Maine
Towson
Old Dominion
NDSU
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
Lehigh
Liberty/Stony Brook winner
Norfolk State
Thats 14 plus you have auto bids ??? to Ohio Valley and Northeast.
Fighting to get in-
New Hampshire
James Madison
Wofford
Indiana St
Youngstown St
Georgetown
Central Arkansas
long shots
Furman needs to win @ Flordia
Bethune-Cookman/ Florida A&M winner

P.S. I have no idea who all gets auto bids lol

[guinzone]

Here is an article one of our writers just published:
http://letsgoguins.com/fan-blog/427-fan ... ff-picture" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[BDKJMU]

5 teams as of typing this fighting over last 2 spots:

JMU
S Utah
Indiana St
YSU
Wofford

Huh? Southern Utah is 5-5. They are out.

6 teams, Wofford, JMU, UCA, and the 3 from the MVFC (Larry Bird Univ, YSU, and Ill State are fighting for the last 4 spots.

[BDKJMU]

Who you got for the 20? *Lock for playoff spot
Big Sky (2)
*Montana St. 9-1 (8W) VS Montana
*Montana 8-2 (7W) @ Montana St.

Big South (1) Winner in loser out
Liberty 7-3 (6W) @ Stony Brook
Stony Brook 7-3 (6W) VS Liberty

CAA (4-5)
*Maine 8-2 (8W) @ New Hampshire
*Towson 8-2 (8W) @ Rhode Island
*Old Dominion 9-2 (9W)
*New Hampshire 7-3 (7W) VS Maine
James Madison 6-4 (6W) @ UMASS

MEAC (1)
*Norfolk State 9-2 (8W)
Florida A&M 7-3 (6W) VS Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 7-3 (6W) VS Florida A&M

Missouri Valley (3-5)
*NDSU 9-1 (9W) @ Western Illinois
*Northern Iowa 8-2 (8W) @Illinois St
*Illinois St 7-3 (7W) VS Northern Iowa
Indiana St 6-4 (6W) VS Sothern Illinois
Youngstown St 6-4 (6W) VS Missouri St

Northeast (1)
Duquesne 8-2 (8W) VS Robert Morris
Albany 7-3 (7W) VS Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley (1)
Tennessee Tech 6-3 (5W) @ Austin Peay
Eastern Kentucky 6-4 (6W) VS Tennessee-Martin
Jacksonville St 6-4 (6W) @ Tennessee St
Murray St 6-4 (6W) @ Southeast Missouri St

Patriot (1)
*Lehigh 9-1 (9W) VS Lafayette
Georgetown 8-3 (8W)
Bucknell 6-4 (6W) @ Colgate

Pioneer (1) Auto? or maybe Jacksonville if they win
Drake 9-2 (7W)
San Diego 8-2 (6W) vs Jacksonville
Jacksonville 7-3 (7W) @ San Diego

Southern (2-4)
*Georgia Southern 9-1 (8W) @ Alabama
Wofford 7-3 (6W) @ Chattanooga
*Appalachian St 7-3 (7W) @ Elon
Furman 6-4 (6W) @ Florida

Southland (2)
*Sam Houston St 10-0 (10W) @Texas St
Central Arkansas 8-3 (7W)

SWAC (1)
Jackson State 8-2 (7W) vs Alcorn St

Locks
Sam Houston St
Montana St
Montana
Georgia Southern
Appalachian State
Maine
Towson
Old Dominion
NDSU
Northern Iowa
Illinois St
Lehigh
Liberty/Stony Brook winner
Norfolk State
Thats 14 plus you have auto bids ??? to Ohio Valley and Northeast.
Fighting to get in-
New Hampshire
James Madison
Wofford
Indiana St
Youngstown St
Georgetown
Central Arkansas
long shots
Furman needs to win @ Flordia
Bethune-Cookman/ Florida A&M winner

P.S. I have no idea who all gets auto bids lol

-UNH is in even if they lose to Maine
-G'Town has no shot at an at large.
-MEAC is only getting one team- Norfolk State.

You're on drugs if you think Illinois State is a lock. They are 7-3/5-2. Ill State (assuming lose to UNI) would be 1-3 vs likely MVFC playoff teams + a HORRIBLE loss to HORRIBLE OVC E Ill (2-9/1-7) + didn't play a I-A.

UNLESS Ill State beats UNI, they're not getting in unless 2 of these 4 lose: JMU, Wofford, YSU, Indiana State.
The MVFC might get 4. They're not getting 5 of 9 teams in.

[cpacmel]

You're on drugs if you think Illinois State is a lock. They are 6-4/4-3. Ill State (assuming lose to UNI) would be 1-3 vs likely MVFC playoff teams + a HORRIBLE loss to HORRIBLE OVC E Ill (2-9/1-7) + didn't play a I-A.

Illinois State is actuall 7-3 / 5-2.

[BDKJMU]

You're on drugs if you think Illinois State is a lock. They are 6-4/4-3. Ill State (assuming lose to UNI) would be 1-3 vs likely MVFC playoff teams + a HORRIBLE loss to HORRIBLE OVC E Ill (2-9/1-7) + didn't play a I-A.

Illinois State is actuall 7-3 / 5-2.

Fixed it. Still would be 4 I-AA losses, one to a horrible team, if they lose to UNI.

[cpacmel]

You didn't fix it completely. Illinois State is currently 7-3 / 5-2.

Not debating you on what you are saying BDKJMU. Just wanting to point out things that are factual, like current records. That is all.

[frinq]

Note in the Big Sky, if Montana loses to MSU next week and PSU beats Weber State, Montana will be in a tie for second place in conference with PSU ( MSU is number one). PSU will be 8-3. Two of PSU's games were to lower division schools however, and beating them doesn't count so PSU will be at 6-2 really, and under the "7 D-I wins" rule that isn't a written rule but tends to be followed, that would leave PSU out and Montana in. UNLESS the Big Sky gets 3 spots.

[The Kicker]

Note in the Big Sky, if Montana loses to MSU next week and PSU beats Weber State, Montana will be in a tie for second place in conference with PSU ( MSU is number one). PSU will be 8-3. Two of PSU's games were to lower division schools however, and beating them doesn't count so PSU will be at 6-2 really, and under the "7 D-I wins" rule that isn't a written rule but tends to be followed, that would leave PSU out and Montana in. UNLESS the Big Sky gets 3 spots.

I think it will be very hard for any "6 D-1 win" team to make it in the playoffs this year. If PSU schedule had not had two lower division schools on the schedule this year I would say they would be in with that 7th D-1 win. I don't like the 7 D-1 win rule but yet it would piss me off if some team got in over my favorite team with 3 of their 7 wins vs lower division schools. If the playoffs expand to 24 the whole 7 D-1 wins will be out the window but until that happens teams in good conferences will have to schedule one or no lower division teams.

[The Kicker]

Illinois State is actuall 7-3 / 5-2.

Fixed it. Still would be 4 I-AA losses, one to a horrible team, if they lose to UNI.

Illinois State could get bumped out but I feel they are a safe bet to make it. A lot would have to go wrong for them to get bumped. Georgetown has 8 D-1 wins and that is the only thing going for them. A lot of 6 D-1 teams would have to lose this week for them to get a spot. I agree MEAC will only have one team. The winner of the Florida A&M/ Bethune-Cookman will be 8-3 with 7 D-1 wins and would be a long shot meaning everything would have to work their way to get in.

Teams as of right now with 7 D-1 wins is 18. One team from the Ohio Valley will get a spot and the Big South winner will get in giving you a 20 team field.

First out list would be:
Non Northeast auto bid Albany/Duquesne
Georgetown
Central Arkansas
Illinois State

First in with a win next week to get to 7 D-1 Wins
Wofford
James Madison
Furman
Youngstown State
Indiana State

18 Teams with 7 D-1 Wins already
Sam Houston State 10
NDSU 9
Old Dominion 9
Lehigh 9
Montana State 8
Maine 8
Towson 8
Northern Iowa 8
Georgia Southern 8
Norfolk State 8
Georgetown 8
Duquesne 8
Montana 7
New Hampshire 7
Appalachian State 7
Illinois State 7
Central Arkansas 7
Albany 7