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Here, what are probably the two best teams in the first round (though SDSU may have an argument) square off with a trip to Bozeman on the line. They are also very similar and the stat rankings are close pretty much across the board. I'm gonna give Stony Brook the edge, though, for 3 reasons: they're at home, Villanova's young, and the Seawolves have an insane redzone TD margin—39 TDs (83%) on offense compared to just 10 TDs allowed (45%) on defense.

Here's my assessment of the matchups & my pick for the game:

• • • Quarterbacks -- Villanova
      
      Running Backs - Stony Brook
      
      Receivers/TEs - Stony Brook
      
      Offensive Line - Stony Brook
      
      
      Defensive Line - (push)
      
      Linebackers --- Villanova
      
      Secondary ---- Villanova
      
      
      Kicking ------ Stony Brook
      
      Punting ------ Villanova
      
      Return Teams - Villanova
      
      Kickoffs ------ Stony Brook
      
      
      
      
      
      • Villanova 20-28 Stony Brook

I would give a slight edge to Villanova on the basis of experience.

Mvemjsunpx wrote:Villanova 20-28 Stony Brook

I agree with this

Kyle Essington is likely out for SBU. He's leading the nationin pass efficiency. This will hurt SBU.

Hopefully when Negron starts tomorrow he has the same magic Essington did last year. Remember Mike Coulter went down in the Buffalo game and Essington led us to back winning seasons and an FBS win. Just have to keep the Villanove offense off the field as much as possible.

dal4018 wrote:I would give a slight edge to Villanova on the basis of experience.

Agreed. Going with the Wildcats here.

I would give a slight edge to Villanova on the basis of experience.

The team is mostly sophmores and freshmen. This will be the first playoff experience for them. Their offense should put up points, but the question is the defense. Should be a good game nonetheless!

danefan wrote:Kyle Essington is likely out for SBU. He's leading the nationin pass efficiency. This will hurt SBU.

The Seawolves don't throw much (about 17 times a game, that's not a whole lot more than Cal Poly). It won't hurt them as much as it would hurt a lot of other teams.

Stony Brook has a good team this year. This is interesting matchup, I just have a hard time seeing them being ble to hang with a good CAA team.


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Mvemjsunpx wrote:

danefan wrote:Kyle Essington is likely out for SBU. He's leading the nationin pass efficiency. This will hurt SBU.

The Seawolves don't throw much (about 17 times a game, that's not a whole lot more than Cal Poly). It won't hurt them as much as it would hurt a lot of other teams.

He has thrown 22 TDs this year so it's not like he was non-existent.

They have to come out with the backup (a junior juco transfer) and establish some kind of passing game or else Nova is going to put 9 in the box instead of 8.

danefan wrote:Kyle Essington is likely out for SBU. He's leading the nationin pass efficiency. This will hurt SBU.

He is out courtesy of a right thigh contusion according to a report on Sports Network website.

Nova moving the ball well on opening drive.


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EWURanger wrote:Nova moving the ball well on opening drive.


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Looks like those youngsters are playing like vets!!!!

Are these MEAC officials?

Short yardage play calling is a disease.

Nice! Watching Stony Brook / Villanova on the main and SDSU / EIU on the PIP.

SBU is going to use almost the entire first quarter on one drive.

danefan wrote:SBU is going to use almost the entire first quarter on one drive.

That run game is GOOD.

SeattleGriz wrote:Nice! Watching Stony Brook / Villanova on the main and SDSU / EIU on the PIP.

You know you can switch audio by just clicking the PIP window. You don't have to swap the screens.

People complain about ESPN3, but I love it. Hooked up to a big LCD you can get 4 watchable games up at the same time.

danefan wrote:

SeattleGriz wrote:Nice! Watching Stony Brook / Villanova on the main and SDSU / EIU on the PIP.

You know you can switch audio by just clicking the PIP window. You don't have to swap the screens.

People complain about ESPN3, but I love it. Hooked up to a big LCD you can get 4 watchable games up at the same time.

Yeah, it's a pretty good service. Love the full coverage of the playoffs.

Nova looks flat.


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danefan wrote:

SeattleGriz wrote:Nice! Watching Stony Brook / Villanova on the main and SDSU / EIU on the PIP.

You know you can switch audio by just clicking the PIP window. You don't have to swap the screens.

People complain about ESPN3, but I love it. Hooked up to a big LCD you can get 4 watchable games up at the same time.

Agreed. Of course living in a large Metro area that offers an ISP who has not only the bandwidth, but access to ESPN3 helps. I have been watching ESPN3 for quite awhile, especially when we gave up cable.

I can't tell if SB's defense is really good or if Nova's offense sucks as bad as it looks right now.


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EWURanger wrote:Nova looks flat.


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The CAA just might be that down again this year. One team does not make a conference, but I haven't seen the CAA do a whole lot this year.

Huuuge run!


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