89Hen wrote:Bully for you. Doesn't make it so.vutomcat wrote:Elite is really accurate. I'll stick with that.
Are you going to define elite and perennial contender?
89Hen wrote:Bully for you. Doesn't make it so.vutomcat wrote:Elite is really accurate. I'll stick with that.
Cluck U wrote:The Big East is a shell of the old Big East.
Nova isn't a power that will last...it just isn't. The Big East will continue to get weaker over time.
The first is a sniff test, the second is bullshit. I've already said that people who talk about "contending" can pound sand.Seahawks08 wrote:89Hen wrote: Bully for you. Doesn't make it so.
Are you going to define elite and perennial contender?
89Hen wrote:The first is a sniff test, the second is bullshit. I've already said that people who talk about "contending" can pound sand.Seahawks08 wrote:
Are you going to define elite and perennial contender?
Correct, but that has little to do with this thread.vutomcat wrote:89Hen wrote: The first is a sniff test, the second is bullshit. I've already said that people who talk about "contending" can pound sand.
Your team isn't a contender.
Picked this one out to show the completely inability to use these records in any meaningful statistical way. Of the 9 games played between the Big East and ACC, 6 of them were played by 12/9/15, so almost exactly 3 months ago. Of the 9 games, 7 of the games included games against teams at or near the bottom in each conference (bottom being defined as FSU and down in the ACC - FSU is in 11th place in a 15 team ACC - and Georgetown and down in the Big East - G'town is 8th in a 10 team Big East). So, of the 9 games, only 2 of the games actually included good teams from both conferences - the Butler/Miami matchup that happened on Nov 22 (4 days before Thanksgiving) where Miami won by 10 and the nova/UVA game on Dec 19th where UVA won by 11. So even though the ACC was 2-0 in the games of importance between the two conferences, and winning both games by double digits, you'd be silly to try to draw a statistically valid trend from just two games that happened at the very start of the NCAA year and you'd be even sillier to draw any conclusions from the wider data that includes games against the dregs in both conferences. I can assume that all the other data is statistically meaningless as well until proven otherwise. I mean, the Phillies are sitting at 5-3 and in 5th place in the Grapefruit League standings, should I start looking for playoff tickets and a Red October?vutomcat wrote:BIG EAST
VS. THE CONFERENCES
Conference Record
ACC 5-4
Eh. You can look behind the numbers as you did for the ACC games which is ok and a fair analysis. But, the results overall show the Big East was very competitive out of conference this year. They will receive better seeds in the tournament because of those results, so they are meaningful in that way. They certainly mean more than the "eye test" that Bilas always refers to. Am I the only one who is growing tired of him?GannonFan wrote:Picked this one out to show the completely inability to use these records in any meaningful statistical way. Of the 9 games played between the Big East and ACC, 6 of them were played by 12/9/15, so almost exactly 3 months ago. Of the 9 games, 7 of the games included games against teams at or near the bottom in each conference (bottom being defined as FSU and down in the ACC - FSU is in 11th place in a 15 team ACC - and Georgetown and down in the Big East - G'town is 8th in a 10 team Big East). So, of the 9 games, only 2 of the games actually included good teams from both conferences - the Butler/Miami matchup that happened on Nov 22 (4 days before Thanksgiving) where Miami won by 10 and the nova/UVA game on Dec 19th where UVA won by 11. So even though the ACC was 2-0 in the games of importance between the two conferences, and winning both games by double digits, you'd be silly to try to draw a statistically valid trend from just two games that happened at the very start of the NCAA year and you'd be even sillier to draw any conclusions from the wider data that includes games against the dregs in both conferences. I can assume that all the other data is statistically meaningless as well until proven otherwise. I mean, the Phillies are sitting at 5-3 and in 5th place in the Grapefruit League standings, should I start looking for playoff tickets and a Red October?vutomcat wrote:BIG EAST
VS. THE CONFERENCES
Conference Record
ACC 5-4
Your first sentence and your second sentence don't really go well together (not counting Eh as a sentence). What shows for the ACC shows for everything else - outside of setup conference versus conference showdowns (like the Big 10/ACC challenge) you have very little times when a top team from one conference is playing another top team from another conference. Therefore, you can't draw any conclusions from those games, not even taking into account that they are virtually pre-season games by the time you get to March. Sure, they are used come tourney time when evaluating who makes the tourney and what seeds they get, that part is certainly correct, but after that they don't mean boo. That's why you've seen in the past two years the new Big East get teams into the tourney, and often get some really good seeds, and then crash and burn early in the tournament. They get there based on games and records from many months ago against the bottom teams from other conferences that don't really amount to much, and they are exposed in the crucible that is the NCAA tourney, where you can't hide from good teams (barring the chance to play a #12 seed or worse in the later rounds due to an upset somewhere). And yes, Jay Bilas is not a particularly good commentator.vutomcat wrote:Eh. You can look behind the numbers as you did for the ACC games which is ok and a fair analysis. But, the results overall show the Big East was very competitive out of conference this year. They will receive better seeds in the tournament because of those results, so they are meaningful in that way. They certainly mean more than the "eye test" that Bilas always refers to. Am I the only one who is growing tired of him?GannonFan wrote:
Picked this one out to show the completely inability to use these records in any meaningful statistical way. Of the 9 games played between the Big East and ACC, 6 of them were played by 12/9/15, so almost exactly 3 months ago. Of the 9 games, 7 of the games included games against teams at or near the bottom in each conference (bottom being defined as FSU and down in the ACC - FSU is in 11th place in a 15 team ACC - and Georgetown and down in the Big East - G'town is 8th in a 10 team Big East). So, of the 9 games, only 2 of the games actually included good teams from both conferences - the Butler/Miami matchup that happened on Nov 22 (4 days before Thanksgiving) where Miami won by 10 and the nova/UVA game on Dec 19th where UVA won by 11. So even though the ACC was 2-0 in the games of importance between the two conferences, and winning both games by double digits, you'd be silly to try to draw a statistically valid trend from just two games that happened at the very start of the NCAA year and you'd be even sillier to draw any conclusions from the wider data that includes games against the dregs in both conferences. I can assume that all the other data is statistically meaningless as well until proven otherwise. I mean, the Phillies are sitting at 5-3 and in 5th place in the Grapefruit League standings, should I start looking for playoff tickets and a Red October?
Playoff tickets can wait though.
GannonFan wrote:Your first sentence and your second sentence don't really go well together (not counting Eh as a sentence). What shows for the ACC shows for everything else - outside of setup conference versus conference showdowns (like the Big 10/ACC challenge) you have very little times when a top team from one conference is playing another top team from another conference. Therefore, you can't draw any conclusions from those games, not even taking into account that they are virtually pre-season games by the time you get to March. Sure, they are used come tourney time when evaluating who makes the tourney and what seeds they get, that part is certainly correct, but after that they don't mean boo. That's why you've seen in the past two years the new Big East get teams into the tourney, and often get some really good seeds, and then crash and burn early in the tournament. They get there based on games and records from many months ago against the bottom teams from other conferences that don't really amount to much, and they are exposed in the crucible that is the NCAA tourney, where you can't hide from good teams (barring the chance to play a #12 seed or worse in the later rounds due to an upset somewhere). And yes, Jay Bilas is not a particularly good commentator.vutomcat wrote:
Eh. You can look behind the numbers as you did for the ACC games which is ok and a fair analysis. But, the results overall show the Big East was very competitive out of conference this year. They will receive better seeds in the tournament because of those results, so they are meaningful in that way. They certainly mean more than the "eye test" that Bilas always refers to. Am I the only one who is growing tired of him?
Playoff tickets can wait though.
Well, Wichita State is on many lists not making the tourney, same as Alabama. Just because you list Wisconsin twice doesn't make the list any bigger, btw. Cincinnati and St Joes and Syracuse are all bubble teams too. Just take the play against the ACC as a measure - of the 9 games you have listed being played, only 2 of them (or 22%) were games of real note that didn't include one or two bottom of the conference teams playing in them. A similar pattern is found in the other games as well. Sure you can pull a few good ones out, but they are few and far between.vutomcat wrote:GannonFan wrote:
Your first sentence and your second sentence don't really go well together (not counting Eh as a sentence). What shows for the ACC shows for everything else - outside of setup conference versus conference showdowns (like the Big 10/ACC challenge) you have very little times when a top team from one conference is playing another top team from another conference. Therefore, you can't draw any conclusions from those games, not even taking into account that they are virtually pre-season games by the time you get to March. Sure, they are used come tourney time when evaluating who makes the tourney and what seeds they get, that part is certainly correct, but after that they don't mean boo. That's why you've seen in the past two years the new Big East get teams into the tourney, and often get some really good seeds, and then crash and burn early in the tournament. They get there based on games and records from many months ago against the bottom teams from other conferences that don't really amount to much, and they are exposed in the crucible that is the NCAA tourney, where you can't hide from good teams (barring the chance to play a #12 seed or worse in the later rounds due to an upset somewhere). And yes, Jay Bilas is not a particularly good commentator.
Eh. Might be a record. You agreed with me twice in one post. Naturally, the rest of your post is hogwash and Big East bashing. Would you rather have them lose those games? You are really misrepresenting the facts here too. You know all of those OOC wins didn't come from the bottom of conferences. Arizona, Syracuse, Wisconsin, Alabama, Wisconsin, Cincinatti, Dayton, St. Joe's, USC, Temple Wichita State and Purdue are all probable tourney teams and are certainly not "bottom of their conference" teams.
But, carry on. I am the one that is biased, right?
tribe_pride wrote:VU - I don't think anyone has argued that the Big East has bad teams except for maybe St. Johns and Depaul. I think everyone agrees that the Big East has consistently had pretty good teams throughout. The problem has been the paucity of top teams in the conference the past few years since getting picked off and split. Nova has been there but without someone else to prepare them for NCAA tournament play, they have fizzled out early over the past few years. Since Xavier was better this year, I think they will get out of the opening weekend for the first time in years (and am happy because I really like them) and will be more prepared for NCAA tournament action this year. But how many more will? Xavier has the opportunity but I don't see anyone else.
I don't believe that you can conclude that Nova's early losses the last two years is directly attributable to SOS in the BE. UConn won the whole thing, NC State was a bad matchup and they caught Nova on a bad shooting night and won by the slimmest of margins. But, we have gone back and forth on it long enough. I understand how someone could come to your conclusion. We will both be rooting for the same team next week to give some pride back to the Phila region.tribe_pride wrote:VU - I don't think anyone has argued that the Big East has bad teams except for maybe St. Johns and Depaul. I think everyone agrees that the Big East has consistently had pretty good teams throughout. The problem has been the paucity of top teams in the conference the past few years since getting picked off and split. Nova has been there but without someone else to prepare them for NCAA tournament play, they have fizzled out early over the past few years. Since Xavier was better this year, I think they will get out of the opening weekend for the first time in years (and am happy because I really like them) and will be more prepared for NCAA tournament action this year. But how many more will? Xavier has the opportunity but I don't see anyone else.
Agree to disagree.vutomcat wrote:I don't believe that you can conclude that Nova's early losses the last two years is directly attributable to SOS in the BE. UConn won the whole thing, NC State was a bad matchup and they caught Nova on a bad shooting night and won by the slimmest of margins. But, we have gone back and forth on it long enough. I understand how someone could come to your conclusion. We will both be rooting for the same team next week to give some pride back to the Phila region.tribe_pride wrote:VU - I don't think anyone has argued that the Big East has bad teams except for maybe St. Johns and Depaul. I think everyone agrees that the Big East has consistently had pretty good teams throughout. The problem has been the paucity of top teams in the conference the past few years since getting picked off and split. Nova has been there but without someone else to prepare them for NCAA tournament play, they have fizzled out early over the past few years. Since Xavier was better this year, I think they will get out of the opening weekend for the first time in years (and am happy because I really like them) and will be more prepared for NCAA tournament action this year. But how many more will? Xavier has the opportunity but I don't see anyone else.
Im with you. But the year UConn won the whole thing (2014) they beat Nova in the second round. The George Mason loss was in 2011.tribe_pride wrote:Agree to disagree.vutomcat wrote:
I don't believe that you can conclude that Nova's early losses the last two years is directly attributable to SOS in the BE. UConn won the whole thing, NC State was a bad matchup and they caught Nova on a bad shooting night and won by the slimmest of margins. But, we have gone back and forth on it long enough. I understand how someone could come to your conclusion. We will both be rooting for the same team next week to give some pride back to the Phila region.
Only thing I'll bring up is that in 2014, UConn was in a different conference than Nova when they won the whole thing (year that you guys lost to Mason in the round of 64). Last year was NC State in the round of 32.
Go Nova!
... or 2013, or 2014, or 2015.vutomcat wrote:Im with you. But the year UConn won the whole thing (2014) they beat Nova in the second round. The George Mason loss was in 2011.tribe_pride wrote:
Agree to disagree.
Only thing I'll bring up is that in 2014, UConn was in a different conference than Nova when they won the whole thing (year that you guys lost to Mason in the round of 64). Last year was NC State in the round of 32.
Go Nova!
Let's hope this year is more like 2009 than 2011.
Whoops. Didn't understand what your reference was to UConn (and looked at something else and saw Mason but as you said that was 2011). Still was looking at the conference as a whole in the tourney not doing well and preparing in the past. Is a little better this year on top so hopefully that will help come tournament time.vutomcat wrote:Im with you. But the year UConn won the whole thing (2014) they beat Nova in the second round. The George Mason loss was in 2011.tribe_pride wrote:
Agree to disagree.
Only thing I'll bring up is that in 2014, UConn was in a different conference than Nova when they won the whole thing (year that you guys lost to Mason in the round of 64). Last year was NC State in the round of 32.
Go Nova!
Let's hope this year is more like 2009 than 2011.
Well, if you are going to start counting all of the years, here they are.GannonFan wrote:... or 2013, or 2014, or 2015.vutomcat wrote:
Im with you. But the year UConn won the whole thing (2014) they beat Nova in the second round. The George Mason loss was in 2011.
Let's hope this year is more like 2009 than 2011.
That was not a smart post.vutomcat wrote:Well, if you are going to start counting all of the years, here they are.GannonFan wrote:
... or 2013, or 2014, or 2015.
NCAA Tournament champions
1985
NCAA Tournament Final Four
1939, 1971*, 1985, 2009
NCAA Tournament Elite Eight
1939, 1949, 1962, 1970, 1971*, 1978, 1982, 1983, 1985, 1988, 2006, 2009
NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen
1951, 1955, 1962, 1964, 1970, 1971*, 1972, 1978, 1982, 1983, 1985, 1988, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009
You just made it worse. He wasn't trying to say that Nova was a bad basketball school. He has been trying to say that it has not done well in the Tournament recently and your post backs that up.vutomcat wrote:Well, if you are going to start counting all of the years, here they are.GannonFan wrote:
... or 2013, or 2014, or 2015.
NCAA Tournament champions
1985
NCAA Tournament Final Four
1939, 1971*, 1985, 2009
NCAA Tournament Elite Eight
1939, 1949, 1962, 1970, 1971*, 1978, 1982, 1983, 1985, 1988, 2006, 2009
NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen
1951, 1955, 1962, 1964, 1970, 1971*, 1972, 1978, 1982, 1983, 1985, 1988, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2009