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15% Chance

Posted: Tue Dec 05, 2017 4:11 pm
by Chizzang
The Vikings are playing a second consecutive road game outside of their Division...
Statistically speaking teams in this scenario win about 15% of the time

If they were at home the Vikings would be favored by 7+
Which only improves their chances of winning by about 10% here

If the Vikings win this game
They are absolutely LEGIT
This is THE big test of the season for them

Back-to-Back out of Division Road games are a killer in the NFL
and here we are... Only teams with serious intestinal fortitude win in this scenario

:nod:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Tue Dec 05, 2017 5:25 pm
by 93henfan
Eagles same scenario. 2.5 pt dogs in LA.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Tue Dec 05, 2017 8:49 pm
by GannonFan
Both teams are legit. There, didn't even have to see the games played. Rams and Saints are legit too. NFC champ is one of those teams. See that big leap I took there? ;)

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 2:59 am
by 93henfan
Vikings now 3 pt favorites in Vegas (concensus). Eagles still 2 pt dogs.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 5:12 am
by Chizzang
GannonFan wrote:Both teams are legit. There, didn't even have to see the games played. Rams and Saints are legit too. NFC champ is one of those teams. See that big leap I took there? ;)
the Vikings have drawn more "suspicion" as to their playoff run capability
This game upcoming will show us a little something about that

:nod:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 6:16 am
by GannonFan
Chizzang wrote:
GannonFan wrote:Both teams are legit. There, didn't even have to see the games played. Rams and Saints are legit too. NFC champ is one of those teams. See that big leap I took there? ;)
the Vikings have drawn more "suspicion" as to their playoff run capability
This game upcoming will show us a little something about that

:nod:
Nah, great defense. And really, if they're a top 2 seed, how much of a "run" do they need? They'll get at least one home game and will be tough to beat at home, and then they'll play the NFC title game. It's two games we're talking about. The 4 teams I mentioned are the best teams in the NFC (apologies to Seattle, despite the win over the Eagles I still see them as not quite as good as this group - I don't see the Falcons either, they're still suffering from PTSD from 28-3) and those 4 will duke it out for who gets to play New England in the Super Bowl (the AFC is devoid of good competition - Pittsburgh would need homefield to beat the Pats, and those are the only 2 teams in the AFC).

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 6:32 am
by Chizzang
GannonFan wrote:
Chizzang wrote:
the Vikings have drawn more "suspicion" as to their playoff run capability
This game upcoming will show us a little something about that

:nod:
Nah, great defense. And really, if they're a top 2 seed, how much of a "run" do they need? They'll get at least one home game and will be tough to beat at home, and then they'll play the NFC title game. It's two games we're talking about. .
Spoken like a fan of a Super Bowl loser...

Pay attention sparky:
It's never "just two games" unless you're the Vikings and the Eagles

It's three games...
That third game matters
it's called the Super Bowl and you kinda wanna win that one
You need to win three games in the playoffs otherwise you're just a statistic on a data sheet

Thank you Gannonfan :rofl:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 7:04 am
by kalm
7 of the contenders (including the Hawks, Panthers, Jags, and Falcons are top 10 in total defense. NO and LA are 12 and 13. The outlier is NE at 28th although they're top 10 in ppg.

If it's still a QB league, do you still question the chances of the unprovens like Keenum, Goth, Bortels :mrgreen: etc. and favor the provens like NE, SEA, NO, and Pitt?

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 7:11 am
by Ibanez
Chizzang wrote:The Vikings are playing a second consecutive road game outside of their Division...
Statistically speaking teams in this scenario win about 15% of the time

If they were at home the Vikings would be favored by 7+
Which only improves their chances of winning by about 10% here

If the Vikings win this game
They are absolutely LEGIT
This is THE big test of the season for them

Back-to-Back out of Division Road games are a killer in the NFL
and here we are... Only teams with serious intestinal fortitude win in this scenario

:nod:
I'll be attending my first professional sports game ever this weekend - Panthers v. Vikings. I can't wait. :thumb:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:24 am
by GannonFan
Chizzang wrote:
GannonFan wrote:
Nah, great defense. And really, if they're a top 2 seed, how much of a "run" do they need? They'll get at least one home game and will be tough to beat at home, and then they'll play the NFC title game. It's two games we're talking about. .
Spoken like a fan of a Super Bowl loser...

Pay attention sparky:
It's never "just two games" unless you're the Vikings and the Eagles

It's three games...
That third game matters
it's called the Super Bowl and you kinda wanna win that one
You need to win three games in the playoffs otherwise you're just a statistic on a data sheet

Thank you Gannonfan :rofl:
Settle down, Francis. Everyone is a statistic on a data sheet anyway, winners and losers.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:29 am
by 93henfan
Ibanez wrote:
Chizzang wrote:The Vikings are playing a second consecutive road game outside of their Division...
Statistically speaking teams in this scenario win about 15% of the time

If they were at home the Vikings would be favored by 7+
Which only improves their chances of winning by about 10% here

If the Vikings win this game
They are absolutely LEGIT
This is THE big test of the season for them

Back-to-Back out of Division Road games are a killer in the NFL
and here we are... Only teams with serious intestinal fortitude win in this scenario

:nod:
I'll be attending my first professional sports game ever this weekend - Panthers v. Vikings. I can't wait. :thumb:
Shirley, you cannot be serious.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:49 am
by Grizalltheway
93henfan wrote:
Ibanez wrote:
I'll be attending my first professional sports game ever this weekend - Panthers v. Vikings. I can't wait. :thumb:
Shirley, you cannot be serious.
No shit. You haven't lived until you've painted your face, chugged 2 liters of A&W, and cheered the Sirens to victory over the Roseville Rug Munchers.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:51 am
by Ibanez
93henfan wrote:
Ibanez wrote:
I'll be attending my first professional sports game ever this weekend - Panthers v. Vikings. I can't wait. :thumb:
Shirley, you cannot be serious.
I am serious. I've never been to a professional game. Been to plenty minor league games. Just never pro.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:52 am
by 93henfan
Grizalltheway wrote:
93henfan wrote:
Shirley, you cannot be serious.
No shit. You haven't lived until you've painted your face, chugged 2 liters of A&W, and cheered the Sirens to victory over the Roseville Rug Munchers.
That’s LGBTQISP. (The SP stands for semi-pro)

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:54 am
by Ibanez
93henfan wrote:
Grizalltheway wrote: No shit. You haven't lived until you've painted your face, chugged 2 liters of A&W, and cheered the Sirens to victory over the Roseville Rug Munchers.
That’s LGBTQISP. (The SP stands for semi-pro)
You haven't lived until you've shotgun some A&W. BOOT AND RALLY!

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 9:15 am
by Gil Dobie
Chizzang wrote:
GannonFan wrote:Both teams are legit. There, didn't even have to see the games played. Rams and Saints are legit too. NFC champ is one of those teams. See that big leap I took there? ;)
the Vikings have drawn more "suspicion" as to their playoff run capability
This game upcoming will show us a little something about that

:nod:
Hate the Vikings, but they do have a good defense and nice pair of receivers in Diggs and Thielen. Thielen is a great FA story out of DII Minnesota St Mankato. They have been on a roll since the Green Bay game that Rodgers went down in. They find ways to snatch defeat out of victory in key games.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 9:35 am
by GannonFan
Gil Dobie wrote:
Chizzang wrote:
the Vikings have drawn more "suspicion" as to their playoff run capability
This game upcoming will show us a little something about that

:nod:
Hate the Vikings, but they do have a good defense and nice pair of receivers in Diggs and Thielen. Thielen is a great FA story out of DII Minnesota St Mankato. They have been on a roll since the Green Bay game that Rodgers went down in. They find ways to snatch defeat out of victory in key games.
Who's the Vikings placekicker this year? Is he on any crazy streak of consecutive field goals or PATs or something like that. I'm sure that won't be a problem come playoff time in some critical moment in the game. :coffee:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 9:46 am
by Gil Dobie
GannonFan wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
Hate the Vikings, but they do have a good defense and nice pair of receivers in Diggs and Thielen. Thielen is a great FA story out of DII Minnesota St Mankato. They have been on a roll since the Green Bay game that Rodgers went down in. They find ways to snatch defeat out of victory in key games.
Who's the Vikings placekicker this year? Is he on any crazy streak of consecutive field goals or PATs or something like that. I'm sure that won't be a problem come playoff time in some critical moment in the game. :coffee:
Former Redskin, Kai Forbath.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 12:25 pm
by CAA Flagship
Gil Dobie wrote:
GannonFan wrote:
Who's the Vikings placekicker this year? Is he on any crazy streak of consecutive field goals or PATs or something like that. I'm sure that won't be a problem come playoff time in some critical moment in the game. :coffee:
Former Redskin, Kai Forbath.
It sure as shit isn't Walsh. :lol:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 12:33 pm
by 89Hen
Ibanez wrote:
93henfan wrote:
Shirley, you cannot be serious.
I am serious. I've never been to a professional game. Been to plenty minor league games. Just never pro.
I completely whiffed on that. I read NFL game. Holy shit Sticky, how can you be a 'Merican? :ohno:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 12:38 pm
by Ibanez
89Hen wrote:
Ibanez wrote: I am serious. I've never been to a professional game. Been to plenty minor league games. Just never pro.
I completely whiffed on that. I read NFL game. Holy shit Sticky, how can you be a 'Merican? :ohno:
:lol: I know, I know.

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 1:29 pm
by Gil Dobie
Ibanez wrote:
Chizzang wrote:The Vikings are playing a second consecutive road game outside of their Division...
Statistically speaking teams in this scenario win about 15% of the time

If they were at home the Vikings would be favored by 7+
Which only improves their chances of winning by about 10% here

If the Vikings win this game
They are absolutely LEGIT
This is THE big test of the season for them

Back-to-Back out of Division Road games are a killer in the NFL
and here we are... Only teams with serious intestinal fortitude win in this scenario

:nod:
I'll be attending my first professional sports game ever this weekend - Panthers v. Vikings. I can't wait. :thumb:
My first NFL game saw the Packers vs Cardinals playoff game in January 1983 at Lambeau Field. 2nd was the Vikings vs 49ers, September 1983, with the 49ers taking a 41-10 lead at the half. Enjoy!

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 2:22 pm
by Ibanez
Gil Dobie wrote:
Ibanez wrote:
I'll be attending my first professional sports game ever this weekend - Panthers v. Vikings. I can't wait. :thumb:
My first NFL game saw the Packers vs Cardinals playoff game in January 1983 at Lambeau Field. 2nd was the Vikings vs 49ers, September 1983, with the 49ers taking a 41-10 lead at the half. Enjoy!
I was a fetus in January 1983 :ugeek:

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 8:07 pm
by Chizzang
Grizalltheway wrote:
93henfan wrote:
Shirley, you cannot be serious.
No shit. You haven't lived until you've painted your face, chugged 2 liters of A&W, and cheered the Sirens to victory over the Roseville Rug Munchers.
I'm still the only one who laughs at your jokes... and I do (and I did)

:ohno:

Now I'm ashamed

Re: 15% Chance

Posted: Wed Dec 06, 2017 9:47 pm
by Grizalltheway
Chizzang wrote:
Grizalltheway wrote: No shit. You haven't lived until you've painted your face, chugged 2 liters of A&W, and cheered the Sirens to victory over the Roseville Rug Munchers.
I'm still the only one who laughs at your jokes... and I do (and I did)

:ohno:

Now I'm ashamed
Image