JoltinJoe wrote:Chizzang wrote:
There's an epidemic of MLB executives over valuing saves
Teams just can't help themselves even though they have the math
The Red Sox (a deep Saber Metrics organization) know full well Kimbrels actual value on paper
But they can't help themselves
They will over spend to keep him
The team that signs Kimbrel is highly likely to get burned on the deal.
Kimbrel up to this point in his career has been brilliant. But almost every closer in baseball history has begun to fade right around this point in his career. If Kimbrel is the next Rivera, then his next contract will be worth it. But history is not on Kimbrel's side.
His career post season ERA is 3.92
So against quality opponents he's dangerously average - and way too expensive