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Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Wed May 01, 2019 12:53 pm
by ASUG8
Who will win it? Had to cut the poll off at the top 15, but here are the remaining entrants:
Long Range Toddy - 30-1
Spinoff - 30-1
Country House - 30-1
Gray Magician - 50-1
Master Fencer - 50-1
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Wed May 01, 2019 3:54 pm
by 93henfan
Omaha Beach was just scratched with an entrapped epiglottis -- a breathing obstruction that compromises a horse's ability to breathe during exercise.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 11:00 am
by 93henfan
I'll go:
Win - Code of Honor
Place - Improbable
Show - Tacitus
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 11:04 am
by 93henfan
Potential for a soup bowl at Churchill Downs. Heavy storms expected at 5pm and 75% chance of steady rain at post time: 6:50pm.
Hopefully these horses' mothers were mudders.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 2:47 pm
by JohnStOnge
If I'd seen it in time I'd have gone with Maximum Security.
One prediction I'll make is that whoever wins will not beat the record 1:59.40 time for the race set by Secretariat way back in 1973. Especially since the track is wet.
I guess sooner or later some horse will break at least ONE of the three Triple Crown race records still held by Secretariat. It'll be kind of a sad day.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 3:00 pm
by SunCoastBlueHen
I'm going with Tacitus - winner of the Tampa Bay Derby.
Secretariat's records may never be broken. Over time, bloodlines have become more muddied and race times, on average, have gotten a little slower.
Sent from my SM-J810Y using Tapatalk
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 3:13 pm
by 93henfan
Oh wow, I didn't realize the trainer for Maximum Security is the brother of the trainer for my favorite horse ever, Smarty Jones. I gotta pull for Maximum Security.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 4:07 pm
by 93henfan
Rut roh. Race under objection.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 4:12 pm
by JohnStOnge
93henfan wrote:Rut roh. Race under objection.
Yeah and it's a shame it happened because Maximum Security was very impressive. At the front from the start then near the end he had plenty left to pull away. He was going to win with or without that stuff happening.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 4:16 pm
by 93henfan
Result overturned. Wow.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 4:17 pm
by JohnStOnge
That sucks. I'm not saying it's the wrong call because I don't even know the rules well enough to judge. But it sucks because Maximum Security was clearly the best horse on this day. What happened did not change who crossed the finish line first. I think there was a possible Triple Crown horse out there and now that's out the window because he drifted out of a lane.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 6:21 pm
by AZGrizFan
guy beside me at the track had 7/20 and 20/7 exacta tickets. Fucker was Pissed OFF when they totally DQ’ed #7 instead of just dropping him to 2nd. He’d have won $1000 on a $2 ticket if they hadn’t touched anything.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 7:51 pm
by 93henfan
AZGrizFan wrote:guy beside me at the track had 7/20 and 20/7 exacta tickets. Fucker was Pissed OFF when they totally DQ’ed #7 instead of just dropping him to 2nd. He’d have won $1000 on a $2 ticket if they hadn’t touched anything.
That was brutal. As they were saying on the telecast, in any other non-Triple Crown-on the line race, Maximum Security gets DQ'ed. In the Kentucky Motherfucking Derby though, you let it slide.
Alas, when they showed a woman stewart looking at the video screens, I knew the DQ was coming. They just don't get it. That's kind of the problem with the whole world at the moment. We have a bunch of non-leaders with horrible situational awareness and no innate judgement skill in positions of power due to a catch-up mandate and they are fucking up every fabric of our society. /rant
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sat May 04, 2019 8:20 pm
by JohnStOnge
93henfan wrote:AZGrizFan wrote:guy beside me at the track had 7/20 and 20/7 exacta tickets. **** was Pissed OFF when they totally DQ’ed #7 instead of just dropping him to 2nd. He’d have won $1000 on a $2 ticket if they hadn’t touched anything.
That was brutal. As they were saying on the telecast, in any other non-Triple Crown-on the line race, Maximum Security gets DQ'ed. In the Kentucky Motherfucking Derby though, you let it slide.
Alas, when they showed a woman stewart looking at the video screens, I knew the DQ was coming. They just don't get it. That's kind of the problem with the whole world at the moment. We have a bunch of non-leaders with horrible situational awareness and no innate judgement skill in positions of power due to a catch-up mandate and they are **** up every fabric of our society. /rant
Well, I think that if it's true that what happened would've disqualified the horse in any other race it was right to disqualify him. But it's a real shame. To me it's like a guy catches an 80 yard touchdown pass on the last play to win the Super Bowl but then on the replay one sees that he spiked the ball before he crossed the goal line. What happened made NO difference in which horse won the race. Maximum Security was clearly the best horse on this day. Pretty much led from start to finish and was pulling away at the finish.
One thing that's sad if true is that one thing I've heard is that it could have been the result of crowd noise. Just an awful outcome even if it was decided according to the rules.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Sun May 05, 2019 9:51 am
by BDKJMU
What a joke. Whatever happened to ‘rubbins racin’?
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Mon May 06, 2019 2:25 pm
by GannonFan
The problem about saying if it was just like any other race during the week is that this wasn't just like any other race during the week. This was the Kentucky Derby, the crown jewel in American Horse Racing (I'd be alright with people saying the Breeder's Cup is, but that's for real horse racing afficiandos, for the average joe is the Triple Crown races). The guys from Maximum Security are right, this isn't a regular race. When do you see 20 horses on the track at once? The Derby does enlarge the field because they do want to maximize profits. The thing is, the more horses out there, the more potential there is for contact and obstruction.
Turning it over on a DQ is just bad for the Derby. Maximum Security, the best horse in the field, probably won't run another Triple Crown race so you've lost that. The horse who did win was probably the least impacted, if at all, from the issue that resulted in the DQ. So that guy lodging a complaint does look like sour grapes. No one is rooting for that horse to win the Preakness so now you have people rooting against a Triple Crown. Awesome. Now you're a little bit like golf where you have a guy in his living room watching on hi def and he sees the ball fluttering during a practice stroke and he's on the phone with the tournament and the golfer gets DQ'd. Blind adherence to the rules, no matter what, is almost never a good thing.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Mon May 06, 2019 2:29 pm
by 89Hen
GannonFan wrote:Blind adherence to the rules, no matter what, is almost never a good thing.

They're rules.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Mon May 06, 2019 2:33 pm
by GannonFan
89Hen wrote:GannonFan wrote:Blind adherence to the rules, no matter what, is almost never a good thing.

They're rules.
And probably due for a pruning as well. Lots of rules out there - doesn't mean they can't change if they don't make a lot of sense.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Mon May 06, 2019 2:48 pm
by dbackjon
You misspelled Kentuky
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Mon May 06, 2019 6:19 pm
by JohnStOnge
I believe in being consistent in the application of the rules. It's like sometimes I see people say that if it's the final minute of a NBA championship game you should "let them play" and not make a foul call you would not make under "ordinary" circumstances. No. You should be consistent regardless of the situation.
It's like when I hear people say officials should not have called a penalty because the officials shouldn't affect the game. No. If the officials change the way they call things based on situations they are affecting the game.
If it's the rule it's the rule. You don't apply or fail to apply it situationally.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Mon May 06, 2019 7:41 pm
by AZGrizFan
JohnStOnge wrote:I believe in being consistent in the application of the rules. It's like sometimes I see people say that if it's the final minute of a NBA championship game you should "let them play" and not make a foul call you would not make under "ordinary" circumstances. No. You should be consistent regardless of the situation.
It's like when I hear people say officials should not have called a penalty because the officials shouldn't affect the game. No. If the officials change the way they call things based on situations they are affecting the game.
If it's the rule it's the rule. You don't apply or fail to apply it situationally.
Agreed. There should never be any subjectivity anywhere. Ever. Should be outlawed. AmIrite???
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Tue May 07, 2019 6:44 am
by 89Hen
GannonFan wrote:89Hen wrote:

They're rules.
And probably due for a pruning as well. Lots of rules out there - doesn't mean they can't change if they don't make a lot of sense.
But you have to change them first. Rules are rules until they are no longer rules.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Tue May 07, 2019 7:02 am
by Gil Dobie
The voice of Canterbury Park was on the radio Sunday morning. He explained it well, that they got it right. He was pleased with the decision, as the race was real close to a disaster for the horses. It's better to take time a review what happened and get it right, instead of a cluster fvck like the final four with Virginia and the double-dribble.
Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Tue May 07, 2019 9:21 am
by 89Hen
Gil Dobie wrote:instead of a cluster fvck like the final four with Virginia and the double-dribble.
That nobody besides Z saw in live time.

Re: Kentucky Derby 2019
Posted: Tue May 07, 2019 9:35 am
by Gil Dobie
89Hen wrote:Gil Dobie wrote:instead of a cluster fvck like the final four with Virginia and the double-dribble.
That nobody besides Z saw in live time.

Everyone but the announcers, a ref, and hockey fans.
