kalm wrote: ↑Sat Jun 08, 2024 6:57 am
BDK in 3,2,1 to magasplain to you the real numbers.
What a garbage article (not as much poll). They did mention registered voters. but then didn’t stick with that.
…42% of Americans….
● 40% of Americans…..
● And 44% of Americans....
Which is wrong. Correct would be
….42% of registered voters….
● 40% of registered voters….
● And 44% of registered voters….
Registered voters is a subset of Americans, as you can have Americans who aren’t registered voters. Lazy, shitty journalism.
Secondly, as I said on Tues:
BDKJMU wrote: ↑Tue Jun 04, 2024 10:49 am
Registered doesn’t mean much when a large percentage of registered don’t vote and this election is all going to be about base motivation & turnout. What percentage of those people in those polls aren’t going to end up voting? There are lots of people who are registersd but rarely or never vote.
From wiki:
Approximately 240 million people were eligible to vote in the 2020 presidential election and roughly 66.1% of them submitted ballots, totaling 158,427,986 votes.
Any poll at this point that isn’t LIKELY voters I’d take with a grain of salt.
Thirdly, if 100% there’s going to be 3rd party candidates, and Trump leads when 3rd party candidates are included, then the headline is basically fake news when it says ‘Biden leads for the 1st time since 2023.’
Fourthy, national polls at thos point, esp not limited to likely voters, are about as worthless as tits on a bull. For Biden to win, going t by 2016 and 2020 he would have to have to win by anywhere from 3% to 4.5% nationally. The 7 swing states are all that matters.
Show me the polls of registered, LIKELY voters for:
-PA
-MI
-WI
first. Then:
-NV
-AZ
-NC
-GA
If you want to throw in a few others like OH, FL, VA, MN, ok. But polls with that include registered voters from CA, Bama, etc are a waste of time. .