Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

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Gil Dobie
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Gil Dobie »

89Hen wrote:
kalm wrote:
And why do you think that is? Do you believe Trump is a more valid and reasoned candidate than Johnson?

(Keep coming...you're getting there!) :clap:
I think Johnson is pretty close to matching Trump for stupidity, so...

I said, I don't disagree that the system is set up to make it hard for a third party to get a foothold. Does anyone disagree with that? But the third party candidates have done nothing to overcome that IMO.
You almost need a major candidate to switch parties, to get momentum for a 3rd party. If Bernie Sanders ran as a third party, he might have a better chance than Trump, to defeat the Clinton machine.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 89Hen »

Gil Dobie wrote:
89Hen wrote: I think Johnson is pretty close to matching Trump for stupidity, so...

I said, I don't disagree that the system is set up to make it hard for a third party to get a foothold. Does anyone disagree with that? But the third party candidates have done nothing to overcome that IMO.
You almost need a major candidate to switch parties, to get momentum for a 3rd party. If Bernie Sanders ran as a third party, he might have a better chance than Trump, to defeat the Clinton machine.
Yes, but then again, he wouldn't really be a third party candidate, would he?
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Gil Dobie »

89Hen wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
You almost need a major candidate to switch parties, to get momentum for a 3rd party. If Bernie Sanders ran as a third party, he might have a better chance than Trump, to defeat the Clinton machine.
Yes, but then again, he wouldn't really be a third party candidate, would he?
I actually think Bernie is left of the Democrat Party, so it depends on the person defining it.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 89Hen »

Gil Dobie wrote:
89Hen wrote: Yes, but then again, he wouldn't really be a third party candidate, would he?
I actually think Bernie is left of the Democrat Party, so it depends on the person defining it.
I would agree.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by kalm »

Gil Dobie wrote:
89Hen wrote: Yes, but then again, he wouldn't really be a third party candidate, would he?
I actually think Bernie is left of the Democrat Party, so it depends on the person defining it.
Bernie Sanders for all intents and purposes WAS a 3rd party candidate. He was a democratic socialist garnering a shit ton of support. You could easily make a case that his policies were no less outside the mainstream than Johnson.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 89Hen »

kalm wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
I actually think Bernie is left of the Democrat Party, so it depends on the person defining it.
Bernie Sanders for all intents and purposes WAS a 3rd party candidate. He was a democratic socialist garnering a shit ton of support. You could easily make a case that his policies were no less outside the mainstream than Johnson.
And how'd that work out for him? :kisswink:
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by kalm »

89Hen wrote:
kalm wrote:
Bernie Sanders for all intents and purposes WAS a 3rd party candidate. He was a democratic socialist garnering a shit ton of support. You could easily make a case that his policies were no less outside the mainstream than Johnson.
And how'd that work out for him? :kisswink:
Which proves my point exactly. :nod:
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 89Hen »

kalm wrote:
89Hen wrote: And how'd that work out for him? :kisswink:
Which proves my point exactly. :nod:
:lol: I don't even know what your point is.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by kalm »

89Hen wrote:
kalm wrote:
Which proves my point exactly. :nod:
:lol: I don't even know what your point is.
I'm honestly not sure either.

:lol:
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Skjellyfetti »

89Hen wrote:
kalm wrote:
Bernie Sanders for all intents and purposes WAS a 3rd party candidate. He was a democratic socialist garnering a shit ton of support. You could easily make a case that his policies were no less outside the mainstream than Johnson.
And how'd that work out for him? :kisswink:
Pretty damn well.

As kalm said, he was, for an intents and purposes, a 3rd party candidate.

His goal was never to win. His goal was to keep Hillary from running unopposed and setting her own agenda, own issues, etc. He vastly exceeded his own expectations, imo.

Third party candidates (in our system) aren't "in it to win it." Gary Johnson's goal isn't to win the presidency. His short term goal is to poll 15% and get on the debate stage. And, longer term... if he can get just 5% of the vote in November... he opens up equal ballot access and federal funding for the Libertarian Party. 5% isn't a very lofty goal.

Johnson's campaign won't be a failure if he doesn't win. And, Bernie's campaign wasn't a failure since he didn't win, either... imo.

Hillary's campaign, for example, would have been a colossal failure if she didn't win the nomination and a very big failure if she doesn't win the general. See the difference?
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 89Hen »

Skjellyfetti wrote:His goal was never to win.
:suspicious:
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 89Hen »

Ivytalk wrote:
89Hen wrote: Johnson nor Stein will crack 4% of the popular vote
I'll take the over on Johnson and the under on Stein.
God I hate being right so damn much. 8-) 8-) 8-)

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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Ivytalk »

I stuck with Johnson, notwithstanding his goofiness and his gaffes. And I slept like a baby last night. The LP still reflected my policy preferences better than anyone else, with some key exceptions (religious liberty and abortion, to name two).

By way of comparison, 19% of voters opted for Ross Perot -- a rich paranoid "strongman" if ever there was one -- back in 1992, and he didn't even have a platform, other than "Ross the Boss will fix it." Sound familiar?
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Gil Dobie »

89Hen wrote:
kalm wrote:That's the percentage of eligible voters who actually voted for them in the primaries.

And I'm guessing both parties are more than fine with this fact.

But keep on mocking the idea of 3rd parties....losers. :jack: :loser: :coffee:
I'm not sure mocking is the right word. So far, there hasn't been a third party worthy of my vote and I do think there are inherit problems with a third party making much headway. The fact that there are only 9% of eligible voters who actually voted for them in the primaries and Johnson nor Stein will crack 4% of the popular vote kind of renders your post somewhat faulty.
Evan McMullin got 20 percent in his home state of Utah.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Ivytalk »

Gil Dobie wrote:
89Hen wrote: I'm not sure mocking is the right word. So far, there hasn't been a third party worthy of my vote and I do think there are inherit problems with a third party making much headway. The fact that there are only 9% of eligible voters who actually voted for them in the primaries and Johnson nor Stein will crack 4% of the popular vote kind of renders your post somewhat faulty.
Evan McMullin got 20 percent in his home state of Utah.
And practically zero non-Mormon votes anywhere else.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by 93henfan »

89Hen wrote:
Ivytalk wrote: I'll take the over on Johnson and the under on Stein.
God I hate being right so damn much. 8-) 8-) 8-)

Moose, Rocco, help the judge find his checkbook.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Gil Dobie »

Ivytalk wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
Evan McMullin got 20 percent in his home state of Utah.
And practically zero non-Mormon votes anywhere else.
If it's done right, a third party can make headway. Just need the right combination of circumstance and platform to get votes across the nation.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Ibanez »

89Hen wrote:
Ivytalk wrote: I'll take the over on Johnson and the under on Stein.
God I hate being right so damn much. 8-) 8-) 8-)

Moose, Rocco, help the judge find his checkbook.
You have to admit, he did much better than 2012. 0.99% to 3%. More than doubled what he pulled previously. We're on our way... :thumb:
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by GannonFan »

Ibanez wrote:
89Hen wrote: God I hate being right so damn much. 8-) 8-) 8-)

Moose, Rocco, help the judge find his checkbook.
You have to admit, he did much better than 2012. 0.99% to 3%. More than doubled what he pulled previously. We're on our way... :thumb:
If Perot couldn't get it started back in the '90's it never will. A third party is always transitory anyway, so even if it showed up it would disappear again very soon. Trump is the perfect example why - who needs a third party when you can crash one of the existing two parties?
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by CAA Flagship »

Gil Dobie wrote:
Ivytalk wrote:
And practically zero non-Mormon votes anywhere else.
If it's done right, a third party can make headway. Just need the right combination of circumstance and platform to get votes across the nation.
I'll say it again. Can't build it from the top down. Gotta be from the bottom up.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by CAA Flagship »

GannonFan wrote:
Ibanez wrote: You have to admit, he did much better than 2012. 0.99% to 3%. More than doubled what he pulled previously. We're on our way... :thumb:
If Perot couldn't get it started back in the '90's it never will. A third party is always transitory anyway, so even if it showed up it would disappear again very soon. Trump is the perfect example why - who needs a third party when you can crash one of the existing two parties?
Trump was in a perfect storm. And I mean perfect, for his message and approach. He nearly blew it.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Ivytalk »

CAA Flagship wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
If it's done right, a third party can make headway. Just need the right combination of circumstance and platform to get votes across the nation.
I'll say it again. Can't build it from the top down. Gotta be from the bottom up.
The Libertarians have been trying that for years, but stupid ideological fights keep holding them back. Would you want an anarchist faction?
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by YoUDeeMan »

Ibanez wrote: 0.99% to 3%. More than doubled what he pulled previously.
There is a more accurate word for that increase. It comes after, "double" and is synonymous in baseball with a three-bagger. What would that word be...hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm?
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Ibanez »

CAA Flagship wrote:
Gil Dobie wrote:
If it's done right, a third party can make headway. Just need the right combination of circumstance and platform to get votes across the nation.
I'll say it again. Can't build it from the top down. Gotta be from the bottom up.
Exactly. Let the libertarians or barking spiders win a few state legislatures or congressional seats.
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Re: Trump and Clinton polling at 9%

Post by Ibanez »

Cluck U wrote:
Ibanez wrote: 0.99% to 3%. More than doubled what he pulled previously.
There is a more accurate word for that increase. It comes after, "double" and is synonymous in baseball with a three-bagger. What would that word be...hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm?
I didn't have the exact numbers...he more than tripled. Well done. 1,275,971 to 4,032,647. :clap:
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17
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