kalm wrote: ↑Fri Apr 03, 2020 5:28 pm
If you like numbers....
From an old high school buddy who’s in cyber-security and data analytics. He’s been posting these for a few weeks now. They’re taken from worldometer, regional health districts, and state official releases. It’s been very predictive.
Good afternoon, here are today's numbers.
1) I did another upgrade to the report format by adding three columns as follows:
a) Estimated Population for Each Jurisdiction
b) Population Density - People per Square Kilometer. I used Metric because it made the
report comparable across all jurisdictions, yes we Americans needs to get over ourselves.
c) Infection Rate Ranking - In each report each jurisdiction is now ranked from 1 to lowest of the rate of infection on a per capita basis.
Hopefully these additions will help the reader to further place each jurisdiction by itself and relative to its peers groups and the globe a context on the nuance of what is happening. For interpretation sake a suggestion would be to focus less on any one of the absolute numbers themselves, but rather try to focus on or discern what story do they tell when taken together and compared to each other based on the readers own knowledge, data sets and experience. However, the absolute numbers can be useful in other ways as a thread to pull on to figure out what is going on in each individual country and why. Just something to think about as one approaches the reports.
2) Idaho is on the verge of full wildfire status which is interesting given how dispersed the population is.
3) California, Oregon, Washington and British Columbia have all flattened their curves hard.
4) For perspective the North American Report (USA + CDN) Covers 70.75% of the combined population.
5) The Global Report covers 79.23% of the entire Global Population.
6) Sweden is not showing signs of exploding, its curves are not good with a 10% to 13% day over day increase, which means they are ripe to take off if the right accelerator - super spreader hits, but there may be some to the Swedish Social Distancing.
7) Europe seems to be crest across the board, hopefully that will be the USA and Canada in three weeks, I fear it will be more like 6 though.
8) Please provide questions, feedback, questions and criticisms, looking to improve this anyway I can.