Sam Harris nails it...!!!

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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by SeattleGriz »

89Hen wrote:
kalm wrote:That would be fun to watch. Conks heads exploding... :lol:
They would, but rightfully so. She's a lib dream... a black woman (she's actually black, not like her husband) who's accomplished nothing.
Hey now. She was very successful at patient dumping those with shit or no insurance away from the U of Chicago Medical Center.

http://canadafreepress.com/article/kick ... -hard-work#
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by Baldy »

kalm wrote:
Baldy wrote: But, it's playing the largest role after the election. We're seeing it being played out now on the news for all the world to see. The protests, violent demonstrations, and even assaults on Trump supporters being committed by the hard core militant progressives. :nod:
:lol:
Exactly. :coffee:
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by kalm »

SDHornet wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
Yup.

Hillary ran up the score on Bernie in many of the deep blue states like New York.

Sanders surprised her in states like Michigan and Wisconsin.

Sanders had a competing populist message vs Trump. He also wouldn't have had a weekly scandal to drag down his message and distract from Trump's scandal.

Hard to say he would have absolutely won... but, no doubt in my mind he would have done better than Hillary.
Millennial turnout was a lot lower than expected for hilldog, it certainly would have been higher for Bernie.

Per this bloomberg article about the Millenial vote, nearly 10% voted 3rd party (89 trigger warning), 37% went Trump, 55% went hilldog...I also saw elsewhere (TYT I think) that only 19% of Millennial voters actually voted.

Trump pulled 29% of the Brown vote (non-Millennial number).
Yep. Heard that same millennial stat on TYT. And in 2008 their numbers were above 50%. Had Bernie been the nominee it would have affected down ballot races too.

Hillary is the reason Hillary lost. She's a giant loser.
Last edited by kalm on Fri Nov 11, 2016 10:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by GannonFan »

kalm wrote:
GannonFan wrote:
I fully agree with the establishment fatigue, and I think that alone, with Bernie's generally good naturedness (as opposed to the tough-to-vote for vitriol of Trump) would certainly have won Bernie the election if he was the candidate. I don't think there's any doubt that if the Dems hadn't rigged their own primary to handpick Clinton that the Dems could've won the White House.

But the underlying premise still holds - where else is the progressive nature of the country, outside of the liberal strongholds of the far northeast and the west really shining forth? Where is it winning elections that aren't for the President? The only time the GOP, in the last 16 years, has been losing elections was in '08 after the "W" years and the Great Recession. And by '10 they were winning most of that back. Of course the Presidency is the biggest prize, but the other stuff matters to an extent too.
As I've pointed out before, Americans consistently poll more aggressive than the candidates from either party as well as legislative outcomes. Trump won because Hillary was a terrible candidate. Democrats lose because their the weaker version of a conservative party.
What? You're saying that if the Dems would go hardcore progressive - centralize or dictate everything from healthcare to taxes to education and so on, go full bore on whatever environmental steps are needed to fully reverse climate change, that they would win up and down the ticket? I think you're drawing too much from this election - as I said before, Presidential contests are almost never about they party or even policies, Presidential elections are popularity contests between the two people running. Trump won because, in the end, the people who voted disliked him less than they disliked Clinton. And because enough people didn't like either of them and didn't vote. If Bernie runs he probably wins because people disliked Bernie much less than they disliked Trump.

But I don't see any evidence, other than maybe a Senate seat here or there, that would've changed further down the government slate of offices and legislatures to suggest a progressive revolution in the offing. Even Bernie said it would have to be a revolution from the top (i.e. the Presidency) and it would take multiple election cycles - the reason he said that is because it would be widely unpopular in vast swaths of the country, especially when it gets saddled with the safe space and other odd movements that are latched onto that agenda currently.
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by kalm »

GannonFan wrote:
kalm wrote:
As I've pointed out before, Americans consistently poll more aggressive than the candidates from either party as well as legislative outcomes. Trump won because Hillary was a terrible candidate. Democrats lose because their the weaker version of a conservative party.
What? You're saying that if the Dems would go hardcore progressive - centralize or dictate everything from healthcare to taxes to education and so on, go full bore on whatever environmental steps are needed to fully reverse climate change, that they would win up and down the ticket? I think you're drawing too much from this election - as I said before, Presidential contests are almost never about they party or even policies, Presidential elections are popularity contests between the two people running. Trump won because, in the end, the people who voted disliked him less than they disliked Clinton. And because enough people didn't like either of them and didn't vote. If Bernie runs he probably wins because people disliked Bernie much less than they disliked Trump.

But I don't see any evidence, other than maybe a Senate seat here or there, that would've changed further down the government slate of offices and legislatures to suggest a progressive revolution in the offing. Even Bernie said it would have to be a revolution from the top (i.e. the Presidency) and it would take multiple election cycles - the reason he said that is because it would be widely unpopular in vast swaths of the country, especially when it gets saddled with the safe space and other odd movements that are latched onto that agenda currently.
There's a place somewhere in between full blown socialism and the kind of socialism that has historically provided Americans with clean air and water, Medicare, modest banking regulations and stability, etc.

Your hair on fire conk hyperbole notwithstanding... :roll:

Theirs a reason it's called populism...regardless of the crappy lack of choices provided by the duopoly. :nod:
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by GannonFan »

kalm wrote:
GannonFan wrote:
What? You're saying that if the Dems would go hardcore progressive - centralize or dictate everything from healthcare to taxes to education and so on, go full bore on whatever environmental steps are needed to fully reverse climate change, that they would win up and down the ticket? I think you're drawing too much from this election - as I said before, Presidential contests are almost never about they party or even policies, Presidential elections are popularity contests between the two people running. Trump won because, in the end, the people who voted disliked him less than they disliked Clinton. And because enough people didn't like either of them and didn't vote. If Bernie runs he probably wins because people disliked Bernie much less than they disliked Trump.

But I don't see any evidence, other than maybe a Senate seat here or there, that would've changed further down the government slate of offices and legislatures to suggest a progressive revolution in the offing. Even Bernie said it would have to be a revolution from the top (i.e. the Presidency) and it would take multiple election cycles - the reason he said that is because it would be widely unpopular in vast swaths of the country, especially when it gets saddled with the safe space and other odd movements that are latched onto that agenda currently.
There's a place somewhere in between full blown socialism and the kind of socialism that has historically provided Americans with clean air and water, Medicare, modest banking regulations and stability, etc.

Your hair on fire conk hyperbole notwithstanding... :roll:

Theirs a reason it's called populism...regardless of the crappy lack of choices provided by the duopoly. :nod:
Awesome, nothing like hiding behind insults when the topic gets difficult. Still not sure I'm a conk, let alone with my hair on fire, just because you say I am, but you do tend to be short on details, regardless of the topic.

But seriously, who's really peddling the softer socialism that would appeal to a wide range of voters for offices other than the President? I've already conceded that Bernie would've easily been the President had the Dems not prohibited him from winning, but I say he would've won because he was just more likeable than Donald in a popularity contest, not because people were voting for specific policies. So how do you get past the tremendous advantage the GOP has built, from the lowest state legislative house to the federal level Senate, and do that outside of the current Democratic bubbles on either coast and in Minnesota? The GOP, for all of their faults (and yes, the duopoly is a fault, but again, people are short on details of how to get past that), is winning a historic levels up and down the political spectrum, and that was well before Trump was on the ticket. What do the Dems have to start winning back any of these that they are losing?
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Re: RE: Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

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Skjellyfetti wrote:I also don't think Sanders actually runs in 2020.

I'm for Tulsi. :thumb:

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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

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kalm wrote:So he's blaming it on the left and the identity politics of BLM and being soft on islamofascism? :? Shocker!!! :lol:

Bernie was leading Trump by 15 points. Of course the polls were proven wrong when it came to Hillary but Bernie would have taken some populist votes away from Trump, brought out millenials, and his favorables were way better. I think he would have won against Trump.

Leftist weed ballot measures passed in a number of states. South Dakota passed a leftist campaign finance and lobbying measure that was heavily opposed by the Kochs. I'm sure there were others.

Clinton was hardly a dove when it comes to FP

The rust belt handed Trump a tight election. That's economic disenfranchisement and a repudiation of Democratic establishment elitism not core leftist ideology.

Defense hawk Kelly Ayotte lost in New Hampshire.

Clinton was a disingenuous candidate who lacked charisma. The Democratic Party no longer represents the "left". It represents corporatism and the comfortable upper middle class to wealthy who have a social conscience or social guilt.

I'm no fan of BLM or safe spaces either but the "left" isn't single issue or monolithic anymore than the right is. This seems more like Sam getting revenge on his detractors by spiking the ball with his pet issues. I agree with some of it but he didn't "nail it".

PS: Despite what I just wrote in the above paragraph, I will cop to some serious concern regarding movement politics from the left. There are many good progressive ideas but the threat of things like racial appropriation whining, safe spaces, and overbearing government control getting packaged in with it all is a major turn off for me. However I don't think those played that big of a roll here.
The reason the mainstream parties so closely resemble each other in terms of the way they govern is because they have for many years kept the pitchfork and torch crowd in the dark

when someone like Trump or potentially a Sanders gets traction in a national election it partially IS because the hoi polloi have gotten fed up with it

but the reality nobody really gets is that if a hard right or hard left candidate actually blows up the election and wins, the hoi polloi will be the ones who suffer the most - because at the end of the day, the status quo of the two monied parties gives everybody a little something, instead of leaving a large swath of the country out in the cold like a hard left or hard right outsider would

all that said, i dont think Trump is hard right. i dont even think he is conservative. at the end of yhe day i think we are going to learn that he is as much of a powerful central government statist as Clinton or Obama. I expect no major achievements by Trump, except in one very important venue- foreign policy. i think we are going to disengage from a lot of places where our participation is taken for granted. And as terrible as the establishment left and right will make that sound, we do need to get back to a 1920s level of engagement in the world when it comes to security


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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by kalm »

CID1990 wrote:
kalm wrote:So he's blaming it on the left and the identity politics of BLM and being soft on islamofascism? :? Shocker!!! :lol:

Bernie was leading Trump by 15 points. Of course the polls were proven wrong when it came to Hillary but Bernie would have taken some populist votes away from Trump, brought out millenials, and his favorables were way better. I think he would have won against Trump.

Leftist weed ballot measures passed in a number of states. South Dakota passed a leftist campaign finance and lobbying measure that was heavily opposed by the Kochs. I'm sure there were others.

Clinton was hardly a dove when it comes to FP

The rust belt handed Trump a tight election. That's economic disenfranchisement and a repudiation of Democratic establishment elitism not core leftist ideology.

Defense hawk Kelly Ayotte lost in New Hampshire.

Clinton was a disingenuous candidate who lacked charisma. The Democratic Party no longer represents the "left". It represents corporatism and the comfortable upper middle class to wealthy who have a social conscience or social guilt.

I'm no fan of BLM or safe spaces either but the "left" isn't single issue or monolithic anymore than the right is. This seems more like Sam getting revenge on his detractors by spiking the ball with his pet issues. I agree with some of it but he didn't "nail it".

PS: Despite what I just wrote in the above paragraph, I will cop to some serious concern regarding movement politics from the left. There are many good progressive ideas but the threat of things like racial appropriation whining, safe spaces, and overbearing government control getting packaged in with it all is a major turn off for me. However I don't think those played that big of a roll here.
The reason the mainstream parties so closely resemble each other in terms of the way they govern is because they have for many years kept the pitchfork and torch crowd in the dark

when someone like Trump or potentially a Sanders gets traction in a national election it partially IS because the hoi polloi have gotten fed up with it

but the reality nobody really gets is that if a hard right or hard left candidate actually blows up the election and wins, the hoi polloi will be the ones who suffer the most - because at the end of the day, the status quo of the two monied parties gives everybody a little something, instead of leaving a large swath of the country out in the cold like a hard left or hard right outsider would

all that said, i dont think Trump is hard right. i dont even think he is conservative. at the end of yhe day i think we are going to learn that he is as much of a powerful central government statist as Clinton or Obama. I expect no major achievements by Trump, except in one very important venue- foreign policy. i think we are going to disengage from a lot of places where our participation is taken for granted. And as terrible as the establishment left and right will make that sound, we do need to get back to a 1920s level of engagement in the world when it comes to security


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Good post.
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by CAA Flagship »

CID1990 wrote: all that said, i dont think Trump is hard right. i dont even think he is conservative. at the end of yhe day i think we are going to learn that he is as much of a powerful central government statist as Clinton or Obama. I expect no major achievements by Trump, except in one very important venue- foreign policy. i think we are going to disengage from a lot of places where our participation is taken for granted. And as terrible as the establishment left and right will make that sound, we do need to get back to a 1920s level of engagement in the world when it comes to security
I think Trump is a loyalist, which agrees with your foreign policy assertion. I also think that Trump does not care much for social issues. I think he cares for freedom but would rather not fight for any one particular group (LGBT, evangelicals, +/- abortion, etc.). I don't think any of that drives him. He's shown little interest in any of those things up to this point. So I think his Presidency will be mostly about money (jobs, trade, government spending, regulation related to business, etc.).
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Re: Sam Harris nails it...!!!

Post by GannonFan »

CAA Flagship wrote:
CID1990 wrote: all that said, i dont think Trump is hard right. i dont even think he is conservative. at the end of yhe day i think we are going to learn that he is as much of a powerful central government statist as Clinton or Obama. I expect no major achievements by Trump, except in one very important venue- foreign policy. i think we are going to disengage from a lot of places where our participation is taken for granted. And as terrible as the establishment left and right will make that sound, we do need to get back to a 1920s level of engagement in the world when it comes to security
I think Trump is a loyalist, which agrees with your foreign policy assertion. I also think that Trump does not care much for social issues. I think he cares for freedom but would rather not fight for any one particular group (LGBT, evangelicals, +/- abortion, etc.). I don't think any of that drives him. He's shown little interest in any of those things up to this point. So I think his Presidency will be mostly about money (jobs, trade, government spending, regulation related to business, etc.).
I see the immigration thing possibly being in focus. They've already talked back a full physical wall, but it would be good to put to bed what border security is, how to deal with people already here, and how to deal with anyone else coming here in the future, both legal and illegal. Everything is lined up to deal with that now.
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