2018 Election Predictions

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93henfan
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by 93henfan »

Col Hogan wrote: I now know John’s real identity...he’s Ezra Klein from Vox

https://mobile.twitter.com/ezraklein/st ... cepalms%2F
Reminds me of "Burn this bitch down!"

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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JohnStOnge wrote:
93henfan wrote:[
Save your bloviating, buddy, have some balls, and make a call instead of establishing backtracking points like you always do.
No. I stick to the rules. And we are in a situation where there is not sufficient evidence to make any call except that the Democrats will get more votes total in the Senate races.

Actually you ought to appreciate that since said on election Eve of 2016 that the idea of Clinton winning was not a done deal at all.

If there's not sufficient evidence to make a call, you don't make a call.

Believe me, I'm HOPING the Democrats will win at least one House of Congress as that would be best for this country. And I think there is reason for hope. But there is not sufficient evidence to say that they will. I'd love to be able to say otherwise.

News flash. The popular vote does not count in the mid terms. Who gives a rats rear end if Hinges on heels Harris wins Cali by 10 million votes and gives Dims an edge on total?


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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by css75 »

Senate +3 GOP
House +25 Dims
Gov +4 Dims


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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by Ivytalk »

Senate + 3 GOP
House + 28 D
Governors +4 D

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by mainejeff »

Senate + 4 Conks
House + 2 Conks
Governors + 2 Democrats
Go Black Bears!

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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mainejeff wrote:Senate + 4 Conks
House + 2 Conks
Governors + 2 Democrats
That is amazing, even I had the Donks getting 25 in the house.


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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by HI54UNI »

JohnStOnge wrote:Everything is too close to call except for saying that the Democrats will get more total votes in the Senate races. I was expecting to say that the Democrats would win more votes in the House races but the crappy Rasmussen poll is an outlier that increases variation and prevents me from saying that. I'm not going to discount it as an outlier because I decided ahead of time not to say that.

There is not sufficient confidence to either say that the Democrats will take the majority in the House or that the Republicans will will maintain control of the Senate.

However, I will say that the greatest hope for our Country is that the Democrats will take the House so that we can have some check on and investigation of the sleaze ball that occupies the Oval Office right now.

There is a substantial risk that we'll wake up Wednesday to a situation in which the Democrat won more votes in the last Presidential election, the Democrats won more votes in the last House election, and the Democrats won more votes in the last TWO Senate elections yet the Republicans control the Presidency, the House, and the Senate.

Minority rule.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

css75 wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
No. I stick to the rules. And we are in a situation where there is not sufficient evidence to make any call except that the Democrats will get more votes total in the Senate races.

Actually you ought to appreciate that since said on election Eve of 2016 that the idea of Clinton winning was not a done deal at all.

If there's not sufficient evidence to make a call, you don't make a call.

Believe me, I'm HOPING the Democrats will win at least one House of Congress as that would be best for this country. And I think there is reason for hope. But there is not sufficient evidence to say that they will. I'd love to be able to say otherwise.

News flash. The popular vote does not count in the mid terms. Who gives a rats rear end if Hinges on heels Harris wins Cali by 10 million votes and gives Dims an edge on total?


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I was going to say the same thing - who even talks about the total votes (nationwide) for the Senate? You have to be stretching an agenda to roll out that data point as your main point. I wasn't even aware that people even tabulated that number.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by css75 »

GannonFan wrote:
css75 wrote:

News flash. The popular vote does not count in the mid terms. Who gives a rats rear end if Hinges on heels Harris wins Cali by 10 million votes and gives Dims an edge on total?


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I was going to say the same thing - who even talks about the total votes (nationwide) for the Senate? You have to be stretching an agenda to roll out that data point as your main point. I wasn't even aware that people even tabulated that number.
They don’t.


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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by mainejeff »

Happy Election Day everyone! It's going to be a special day for Republicans! :)
Go Black Bears!

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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mainejeff wrote:Happy Election Day everyone! It's going to be a special day for Republicans! :)
Only in the Senate, which is a victory in a first term mid-cycle.

I think they need to just enjoy the shitshow that the new Dem-led House will be as it completely energizes the Republican base in two short years.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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I got a sticker!

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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93henfan wrote:I got a sticker!

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:notworthy:

Not much will change in SC. Gowdy's seat is open but I think it will remain R. McMaster as governor may sound like a buffoon and wear his belt way up around his nips but he hasn't screwed anything up since Nikki Haley left office so I think he'll remain in office.

I got to the polls at 6:55 and was out by 7:20. I probably had 40-50 people in front of me which seems like a light turnout vs. past elections at our polling church. The sky just opened up so the poor bastards in line right now are getting soaked.

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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ASUG8 wrote:
:notworthy:

Not much will change in SC. Gowdy's seat is open but I think it will remain R. McMaster as governor may sound like a buffoon and wear his belt way up around his nips but he hasn't screwed anything up since Nikki Haley left office so I think he'll remain in office.

I got to the polls at 6:55 and was out by 7:20. I probably had 40-50 people in front of me which seems like a light turnout vs. past elections at our polling church. The sky just opened up so the poor bastards in line right now are getting soaked.
The east coast is definitely getting weather today, but I don't think it's going to stop many people.

Slower Delaware is incredibly efficient at polling places. I drove up to the local high school, parked easily, walked in, no line or waiting, went up to the desk, showed my license, signed the ledger, they gave me my ballot card, I made a right turn to the voting machine, the polling worker walked behind it and set it with my card, I parted the curtain and pressed about ten buttons for candidates, then the green VOTE button at the bottom, and I was out of there.

Three minutes tops from shutting my car door to opening it back up.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by GannonFan »

No problem voting here. Went right before 8AM (polls in PA open at 7AM). Was voter #138 for the polling place, only had to wait for one person to sign the voting book. Pretty easy ballot, only 5 races (governor, Senator, House of Rep, State Senate, and State House). Went with 3 Dems, 1 GOP, and 1 Libertarian (couldn't stomach voting for either Dem or GOP in that race - US Senate). Didn't bring the kids this time because I was trying to get to work and, with schools off today, not all of the kids were even up. Tough life.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by Ibanez »

Prediction? Trump becomes a lame duck, complains about republicans and doesn’t run for re-election.


Or not.

Or maybe some version of that.

Or not.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by Ibanez »

Mitt Romney is the newest Senator

Republicans take a Senate seat from the Dems

So far it looks like the blue wave hit a red wall


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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by Chizzang »

Ibanez wrote:Mitt Romney is the newest Senator

Republicans take a Senate seat from the Dems

So far it looks like the blue wave hit a red wall
Shouldn't there be more Republican Senators anyway..?
The vast majority of states are RED

:nod:

The House of Representatives should be more BLUE normally also

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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Dana Fucking Perino. I would eat a bucket of her shit just to see where it came from.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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AZGrizFan wrote:Dana **** Perino. I would eat a bucket of her **** just to see where it came from.

:nod:
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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93henfan wrote:I'll go:

Senate +2R
House +33D
Governors +6D
Actual:

Senate +3R
House +34D
Governors +6D

What do I win?
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by Winterborn »

93henfan wrote:
93henfan wrote:I'll go:

Senate +2R
House +33D
Governors +6D
Actual:

Senate +3R
House +34D
Governors +6D

What do I win?
An atta boy/girl/it.
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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

Post by CAA Flagship »

AZGrizFan wrote:Dana Fucking Perino. I would eat a bucket of her shit just to see where it came from.
:lol: :lol:
I have been wanting to do a Dana lineup with Bash, Perino, and Loesch.

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Re: 2018 Election Predictions

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Joo nose, Bash isn't terrible from the teeth down.
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