How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Political discussions

How long will the shutdown last?

Poll ended at Fri Feb 01, 2019 6:15 pm

Less than a week (open by Dec 28)
3
10%
1 to <2 weeks (open by Jan 4)
2
7%
2 to <3 weeks (open by Jan 11)
5
17%
3 to <4 weeks (open by Jan 18)
2
7%
4 to <5 weeks (open by Jan 25)
0
No votes
5 to <6 weeks (open by Feb 2)
3
10%
6 or more weeks
14
48%
 
Total votes: 29

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Skjellyfetti »

CID1990 wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:It's negotiating from a position of strength after your opponent shat his pants the last time.
Missing the point, as usual.

"No wall, no discussion."

That means, "no negotiation"

Surely even someone with his knickers in a constant wad over semantics should get that.
You're missing the point. It's Grant and Lee negotiating terms of surrender at Appomattox after Lee got his ass handed to him. :D
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by AZGrizFan »

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/governm ... ngs-crisis

The real issue the shutdown exposed that no one wants to talk about:
During the month-long partial government shutdown, the press reported extensively on the financial hardships being felt by many furloughed government workers. While the media may have pointed these out to impact President Donald Trump’s approval rating, the reporting highlighted a much larger issue facing our nation.

Government has a spending addiction, and the people who foot the bill have a savings crisis.

The numbers are truly shocking. The bottom 20 percent of Americans by income have no savings, according to a Bankrate report last year. The next lowest 20 percent have an average of just $26,450 in the bank.

According to a CareerBuilder study, nearly 80 percent of American workers say they are living paycheck to paycheck, including 75 percent of men and 80 percent of women.

In 2017, the Federal Reserve Board reported that 44 percent of American households surveyed could not cover a $400 emergency expense.

Among millennials, 20 percent expect to never pay off their debt, according to a CreditCards.com report.

As the cost of government and the cost of living continue to rise – often fueled by taxes and regulations – Americans are struggling just to pay for basic necessities.

As of 2017, federal civilian workers had an average salary of $90,794, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average wage for the nation’s 116 million private sector workers trailed markedly behind at $61,311.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

GannonFan wrote:
Ibanez wrote:
:suspicious: Talk about fake news and alternative facts. I'm pretty sure it was the LACK of POTUS' leadership and his pettiness that held the government hostage for weeks.
It's a party Twitter account. Show me the political party that tweets damning stuff about a President, in office, from their own party, and I'll be shocked. Just doesn't happen.
Of course. I understand that. The spin and hypocrisy of both sides is sometimes so obvious.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

JohnStOnge wrote:
BDKJMU wrote: It was also the donks refusal to compromise. It takes 2 to tango.
Oh c'mon BDK. The Democrat position holding that they were not going to negotiate as long as Trump was using an extortion tactic was totally reasonable. Now that the hostages have been released we'll see if they are willing to compromise on some things.
The Democrat were(are) just as stuck in their ways as Trump.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 93henfan »

AZGrizFan wrote:As of 2017, federal civilian workers had an average salary of $90,794, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average wage for the nation’s 116 million private sector workers trailed markedly behind at $61,311.
For every FoxNews post that (SURPRISE) says Federal employees make more money, you can find a hundred others that say they don't. So beware the source.
Federal employee salaries on average lag behind those of the private sector by almost 31 percent, an advisory council said Tuesday...

Those figures, based on two Labor Department surveys covering some 250 occupations, stand in contrast to assessments of some conservative and libertarian organizations that have concluded that the advantage is about the same or even greater in favor of federal employees.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... p-reports/
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 89Hen »

Ibanez wrote:The spin and hypocrisy of both sides is sometimes so obvious.
Not according to Dback.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by ∞∞∞ »

93henfan wrote:
AZGrizFan wrote:As of 2017, federal civilian workers had an average salary of $90,794, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average wage for the nation’s 116 million private sector workers trailed markedly behind at $61,311.
For every FoxNews post that (SURPRISE) says Federal employees make more money, you can find a hundred others that say they don't. So beware the source.
Federal employee salaries on average lag behind those of the private sector by almost 31 percent, an advisory council said Tuesday...

Those figures, based on two Labor Department surveys covering some 250 occupations, stand in contrast to assessments of some conservative and libertarian organizations that have concluded that the advantage is about the same or even greater in favor of federal employees.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... p-reports/
Anecdotally, none of my federal friends make as much as their comparable counterparts in the private sector, and it's not even that close.

Benefits typically tend to be better though.

Contracting is the way to go for $$$, but obviously the risk of no backpay after shutdowns exists.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 93henfan »

The thing is, the average federal civilian salary is the average of a primarily white collar workforce. The figure given for the private sector includes maids, waitresses, and ditch diggers. Those jobs are contracted out by Government. When you compare white collar to white collar, the private sector has higher salaries.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

89Hen wrote:
Ibanez wrote:The spin and hypocrisy of both sides is sometimes so obvious.
Not according to Dback.
Well then, it's settled. :lol:
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by AZGrizFan »

93henfan wrote:
AZGrizFan wrote:As of 2017, federal civilian workers had an average salary of $90,794, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average wage for the nation’s 116 million private sector workers trailed markedly behind at $61,311.
For every FoxNews post that (SURPRISE) says Federal employees make more money, you can find a hundred others that say they don't. So beware the source.
Federal employee salaries on average lag behind those of the private sector by almost 31 percent, an advisory council said Tuesday...

Those figures, based on two Labor Department surveys covering some 250 occupations, stand in contrast to assessments of some conservative and libertarian organizations that have concluded that the advantage is about the same or even greater in favor of federal employees.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... p-reports/
I think Fox presents that particular piece of data incorrectly. Because if they're comparing like-like jobs, government vs civilian, they aren't saying so. And that's what they SHOULD be doing...
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Re: RE: Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by UNI88 »

93henfan wrote:The thing is, the average federal civilian salary is the average of a primarily white collar workforce. The figure given for the private sector includes maids, waitresses, and ditch diggers. Those jobs are contracted out by Government. When you compare white collar to white collar, the private sector has higher salaries.
Higher salaries but how much do they contribute to their benefits and how well do those benefits compare? There are pros and cons to both types of employment.

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by BDKJMU »

AZGrizFan wrote:As of 2017, federal civilian workers had an average salary of $90,794, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average wage for the nation’s 116 million private sector workers trailed markedly behind at $61,311.
‘Average incomes’ are skewed higher for the civilian workforce because of the wealthy. I think median for individual (or family/household for that matter) is a better metric than avg income.

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by houndawg »

CID1990 wrote:
houndawg wrote:

Unnecessary bullshit; 15 yards, loss of down :flag:

They had a compromise that everybody agreed to except Ann Coulter.
That word “everybody” doesnt mean what you think it means


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everybody who matters, except Ann.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by css75 »

93henfan wrote:
AZGrizFan wrote:As of 2017, federal civilian workers had an average salary of $90,794, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average wage for the nation’s 116 million private sector workers trailed markedly behind at $61,311.
For every FoxNews post that (SURPRISE) says Federal employees make more money, you can find a hundred others that say they don't. So beware the source.
Federal employee salaries on average lag behind those of the private sector by almost 31 percent, an advisory council said Tuesday...

Those figures, based on two Labor Department surveys covering some 250 occupations, stand in contrast to assessments of some conservative and libertarian organizations that have concluded that the advantage is about the same or even greater in favor of federal employees.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... p-reports/
The pay for federal employees when I was working were always higher the closer you were located to DC. there were a few exceptions like San Fransisco, Hawaii, and other expensive areas.


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Missing the point, as usual.

"No wall, no discussion."

That means, "no negotiation"

Surely even someone with his knickers in a constant wad over semantics should get that.
You're missing the point. It's Grant and Lee negotiating terms of surrender at Appomattox after Lee got his ass handed to him. :D
Perhaps you need to go back and read JSO's post that I was responding to.

Nancy Pelosi said "No wall, no discussion" prior to the shutdown, WAY back in October.

That isn't a negotiation at all, that's an ultimatum.. .just like, "I'll shut down the government if I don't get the wall."
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) on Tuesday said President Trump's desire for a wall along the U.S-Mexico border is a "manhood issue," adding that she will oppose the wall and isn't interested in negotiating.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4118 ... hood-issue

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by ∞∞∞ »

Did the shutdown start with a Democratic House majority? No.

And what did Trump think would happen when Dems took over? The House has a mandate from the People to reign him in; reps weren't gonna go in there and say, "Here's your wall bestie!"

As far as I'm concerned, the man had two years to get a wall. Blame's purely on Trump.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by houndawg »

CID1990 wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:It's negotiating from a position of strength after your opponent shat his pants the last time.
Missing the point, as usual.

"No wall, no discussion."

That means, "no negotiation"

Surely even someone with his knickers in a constant wad over semantics should get that.
McConnell can start negotiations anytime. :coffee:
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by houndawg »

CID1990 wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
You're missing the point. It's Grant and Lee negotiating terms of surrender at Appomattox after Lee got his ass handed to him. :D
Perhaps you need to go back and read JSO's post that I was responding to.

Nancy Pelosi said "No wall, no discussion" prior to the shutdown, WAY back in October.

That isn't a negotiation at all, that's an ultimatum.. .just like, "I'll shut down the government if I don't get the wall."
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) on Tuesday said President Trump's desire for a wall along the U.S-Mexico border is a "manhood issue," adding that she will oppose the wall and isn't interested in negotiating.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4118 ... hood-issue

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That's called a "bluff" when the opposition controls all branches of the government. A deal-maker like the Donald should have been all over that. :coffee:
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Gil Dobie »

The Donald cleared the way for my wife to fly to SF and back, and my sister to get to Vegas and back without delays.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Skjellyfetti »

CID1990 wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
You're missing the point. It's Grant and Lee negotiating terms of surrender at Appomattox after Lee got his ass handed to him. :D
Perhaps you need to go back and read JSO's post that I was responding to.

Nancy Pelosi said "No wall, no discussion" prior to the shutdown, WAY back in October.

That isn't a negotiation at all, that's an ultimatum.. .just like, "I'll shut down the government if I don't get the wall."
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) on Tuesday said President Trump's desire for a wall along the U.S-Mexico border is a "manhood issue," adding that she will oppose the wall and isn't interested in negotiating.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4118 ... hood-issue

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Lol...

"Way back in October" is right....

Democrats hadn't won the midterm, much less taken control of the House. Nancy had no position to negotiate.

If Trump and the Senate wanted the wall, Nancy and the House Democrats couldn't have done anything to stop it.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by CID1990 »

∞∞∞ wrote:Did the shutdown start with a Democratic House majority? No.

And what did Trump think would happen when Dems took over? The House has a mandate from the People to reign him in; reps weren't gonna go in there and say, "Here's your wall bestie!"

As far as I'm concerned, the man had two years to get a wall. Blame's purely on Trump.
That’s quite a punt. I never said Trump wasn’t to blame

But the Democrats in the house suggesting that they will “negotiate” over Trump’s desires on immigration is a lie

spin “no wall, no discussion” any way you want

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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by 93henfan »

css75 wrote:
The pay for federal employees when I was working were always higher the closer you were located to DC. there were a few exceptions like San Fransisco, Hawaii, and other expensive areas.


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Still is. Why do you think I commute five hours a day? Grade inflation in DC is real. It's not so much the locality. Hell, Delaware was realigned to the Philadelphia pay table in the mid-200X's, so grade for grade, the salaries are close. It's the grade inflation in DC that makes the difference.

Complete truth: if I'd decided to stay in Delaware my entire career, doing the same exact job I'm doing now, I'd be making (checking OPM table by region and grade now...) exactly $53,766 less than what I make now in DC.
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by css75 »

Skjellyfetti wrote:
CID1990 wrote:
Perhaps you need to go back and read JSO's post that I was responding to.

Nancy Pelosi said "No wall, no discussion" prior to the shutdown, WAY back in October.

That isn't a negotiation at all, that's an ultimatum.. .just like, "I'll shut down the government if I don't get the wall."



https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4118 ... hood-issue

You may return to your embroidery
Lol...

"Way back in October" is right....

Democrats hadn't won the midterm, much less taken control of the House. Nancy had no position to negotiate.

If Trump and the Senate wanted the wall, Nancy and the House Democrats couldn't have done anything to stop it.
One must remember Dems controlled the Senate with McCain and Flake.


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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by ∞∞∞ »

css75 wrote:One must remember Dems controlled the Senate with McCain and Flake.
Should have declared an emergency. :coffee:
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Re: How Long Will The Shutdown Last? (Dec 2018)

Post by Ibanez »

css75 wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote:
Lol...

"Way back in October" is right....

Democrats hadn't won the midterm, much less taken control of the House. Nancy had no position to negotiate.

If Trump and the Senate wanted the wall, Nancy and the House Democrats couldn't have done anything to stop it.
One must remember Dems controlled the Senate with McCain and Flake.


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What a stupid statement. Why is blind loyalty a requirement?
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