2nd Amendment Santuary

Political discussions
Baldy
Level4
Level4
Posts: 9921
Joined: Sun Feb 22, 2009 8:38 pm
I am a fan of: Georgia Southern

Re: 2nd Amendment Santuary

Post by Baldy »

Ivytalk wrote:
JohnStOnge wrote:
As I've written before, I think the perception that people change dramatically as they get older is exaggerated.
You sure haven’t! :lol:
...and as he has shown, he is wrong quite often. :nod:
Ibanez
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 60519
Joined: Fri Jul 13, 2007 5:16 pm
I am a fan of: Coastal Carolina

Re: 2nd Amendment Santuary

Post by Ibanez »

BDKJMU wrote:
Ibanez wrote:Go back and read what you wrote. You said Hispanics were white. That's wrong.
Hispanics can be white.
Ok, I was incorrect in that I should have inserted "majority".
But the exit polling is wrong in listing Latino under race, and listing 100% of them as non white.
You were also wrong saying Hispanics were white.

Be a man.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17
User avatar
CID1990
Level5
Level5
Posts: 25486
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 7:40 am
I am a fan of: Pie
A.K.A.: CID 1990
Location: กรุงเทพมหานคร

Re: 2nd Amendment Santuary

Post by CID1990 »

There is another definition that is used by our government (primarily law enforcement) that describes Hispanic as an ethnicity (distinguishable from race)-

Most police reports have boxes for both race and ethnicity - so for example a black Dominican would be H, B while your typical Chilean would be H, W. A typical Peruvian would be H, I


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
"You however, are an insufferable ankle biting mental chihuahua..." - Clizzoris
User avatar
JohnStOnge
Egalitarian
Egalitarian
Posts: 20316
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 5:47 pm
I am a fan of: McNeese State
A.K.A.: JohnStOnge

Re: 2nd Amendment Santuary

Post by JohnStOnge »

CID1990 wrote:There is another definition that is used by our government (primarily law enforcement) that describes Hispanic as an ethnicity (distinguishable from race)-

Most police reports have boxes for both race and ethnicity - so for example a black Dominican would be H, B while your typical Chilean would be H, W. A typical Peruvian would be H, I


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
The Census Bureau breaks things down by "Race and Hispanic or Latino Origin." The 2017 estimate for "White" overall in the United States is 73% but the estimate for "White alone not hispanic or latino" is 61.5%. I think when we see "White" in exit polling data that's basically what's being referenced.

But whatever is being referenced the group being identified as hispanic or latino in exit polling data has been increasing as a percentage of the population and it has always voted majority Democrat. George W. Bush did very well among that group in 2004 nationally as Kerry only beat him by 53% to 44% that year among it. But outside of that good performance by Bush no Republican candidate has gotten more than 37% of the group's vote (Reagan in 1980) and the average is 30%. Trump got 29%.

At this time there is no way to legitimately spin the decreasing percentage of non hispanic/latino Whites in the population as anything but bad news for the Republicans. If they don't do something to change voting patterns that have been basically persistent for over 40 years now that trend means that it's not a question of IF the Democrats are going to become totally dominant. It's just a question of exactly when it'll happen.

The only solution for the Republicans in the long term is to find some way to convince more people who are not White and not hispanic/latino to vote for them. That did not happen in either the 2016 Presidential election or the 2018 House elections. In 2016 the group of interest voted for Clinton by 74% to 21% over Trump and in 2018 it voted for Democrats by 76% to 22% over Republicans.
Well, I believe that I must tell the truth
And say things as they really are
But if I told the truth and nothing but the truth
Could I ever be a star?

Deep Purple: No One Came
Image
Post Reply