Coronavirus COVID-19

[mainejeff]

You guys are a bunch of Chicken Littles! If President Trump & Wall Street aren't worried about this.....I'm not worried about this.

[Ibanez]

This has already been debunked. You're probably going off the seasonal mortality percentage and not the actual rates. Millions infected. 10s of 1000s die each season. As a percentage of the infected population, yeah it's low. But in overall deaths, the flu has been killing for centuries. Where was this virus last year or the year before?

Corona has a 2% mortality rate...
1-in-50 Corona virus contractions dies

So... you might want to check your math
I believe flu deaths are about 1-in-1,000

The raw data will tell you that more people contract and die from the flu. ~14,000 people have died due to the flu this season. Pneumonia and Influenza mortality is at 6.8%, to date. ~2,000 have died due to Coronavirus. Looking at the percentage of infected vs deaths is nice. But I think looking at the raw numbers is more meaningful and tells a better story. Yeah, 2% and 1/50 is nice to know. But If we're dealing with 40M+ infections vs less than 100k, then we get a more complete picture.

When I look at the data for failures at work, I never just look at what % of the machines had to be rebuilt or whatever. The whole population, especially when you look at specific subsets of the population (Win7 vs Win10) can tell you so much more than 2% of machines were infected.

[Ibanez]

In any case, I think the safe bet is that the various strains of influenza combined will kill a lot more people this year than this coronavirus does.

“Well, Duh” statement of the year



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[Ibanez]

I think the 1 in 50 thing is probably wrong because it appears that there are a lot of asymptomatic infections. In other words, I think it's likely that the total number of infections is being dramatically undercounted right now. Whether counting all of the infections would get it down to 1 in 1,000 is something we'll have to see.

In any case, I think the safe bet is that the various strains of influenza combined will kill a lot more people this year than this coronavirus does. Even if the death rate is lower the infection rate is just so much higher. At this point in the United States alone we've had an estimated 14.000 people die from he flu during the 2019-2020 flu season.

if it stays anywhere near 1-in-50 death rate that makes it incredibly lethal by any standard
the kicker for me was the part where in patients over 60 yrs old mortality rate was 8% (4-in-50)
and in toddlers is 1-in-4 mortality rate

This "ain't the flu"

https://www.uptodate.com/contents/coronaviruses

No it ain't the flu, and I guess you have a point in that comparing two viruses is like comparing apples to VW Beetles.

[BDKJMU]

Now its spreading pretty rapidly in S Korea. Mid East & Northern Italy with outbreaks & deaths. 10 Italian towns on lockdown. Markets not liking it.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/asia/live-news/ ... index.html
https://reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN20F01P
https://news.yahoo.com/10-italian-towns ... 35548.html

[CID1990]

Now its spreading pretty rapidly in S Korea. Mid East & Northern Italy with outbreaks & deaths. 10 Italian towns on lockdown. Markets not liking it.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/asia/live-news/ ... index.html
https://reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN20F01P
https://news.yahoo.com/10-italian-towns ... 35548.html

It’s just the flu, BDK. Nothing to worry about.

[kalm]

Now its spreading pretty rapidly in S Korea. Mid East & Northern Italy with outbreaks & deaths. 10 Italian towns on lockdown. Markets not liking it.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/asia/live-news/ ... index.html
https://reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN20F01P
https://news.yahoo.com/10-italian-towns ... 35548.html

It’s just the flu, BDK. Nothing to worry about.

My to do list:

Ammo
Gasoline
Propane
Rain water barrels
Water purification
Greenhouse
Seeds
Night vision goggles
Firewood
Windmill
Solar panels
Pharmaceutical stock pike
Weed
Porn collection

[CID1990]

It’s just the flu, BDK. Nothing to worry about.

My to do list:

Ammo
Gasoline
Propane
Rain water barrels
Water purification
Greenhouse
Seeds
Night vision goggles
Firewood
Windmill
Solar panels
Pharmaceutical stock pike
Weed
Porn collection

Why?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[UNI88]

My to do list:

Ammo
Gasoline
Propane
Rain water barrels
Water purification
Greenhouse
Seeds
Night vision goggles
Firewood
Windmill
Solar panels
Pharmaceutical stock pike
Weed
Porn collection

Why?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

He's going kayaking with a "friend"?

Sent from my XT1650 using Tapatalk

[CID1990]

Why?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

He's going kayaking with a "friend"?

Sent from my XT1650 using Tapatalk

I guess

Or fantasizing about banging Erin Grey in Red Dawn


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[ALPHAGRIZ1]

All you need to do is find the guy that has the stockpile and take it

[ALPHAGRIZ1]

After you bang Erin Gray from Red Dawn

[kalm]

All you need to do is find the guy that has the stockpile and take it

I now have a defensible position. I’ll consider letting you in but only because flame thrower.

[BDKJMU]

Just read yesterday that S Korea 200+ cases. Below article today says 600+, tracker below shows pushing 800, 7 deaths.
Iran announced 1st 2 cases Wed. Now 43 announced cases, 8 deaths.
Italy before Fri 3 announced cases. Now 150+, 3 deaths.
https://reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN20I00F

Daily tracker:
https://www.coronatracker.com/analytics

[Ivytalk]

Just read yesterday that S Korea 200+ cases. Below article today says 600+, tracker below shows pushing 800, 7 deaths.
Iran announced 1st 2 cases Wed. Now 43 announced cases, 8 deaths.
Italy before Fri 3 announced cases. Now 150+, 3 deaths.
https://reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN20I00F

Daily tracker:
https://www.coronatracker.com/analytics





Pretty cool daily tracker

You’re morbid.

[∞∞∞]

Hopefully wrong, but I think we've passed the window to contain this thing.

Time to trust modern science and medicine to find a way to protect society.

[AZGrizFan]

It’s just the flu, BDK. Nothing to worry about.

My to do list:

Ammo
Gasoline
Propane
Rain water barrels
Water purification
Greenhouse
Seeds
Night vision goggles
Firewood
Windmill
Solar panels
Pharmaceutical stock pike
Weed
Porn collection

What kind of an unprepared asshole doesn’t already have that stuff tucked safely away in their shed?

[BDKJMU]

Gonna be a bad day in the markets tomorrow...

[CID1990]

Remember fellas...

This is really no big deal.

The flu will kill more people this year


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[mainejeff]

I've never seen so much goddam pearl clutching in all my life.

[kalm]

Probably not a good sign.

https://abcnews.go.com/International/ch ... e_hero_hed

[BDKJMU]

Have to wonder about the 2020 Olympics in Japan..

[93henfan]

Dow Futures down 809 at the moment.

[93henfan]

Make it 900.

[Ibanez]

Our planet is overpopulated and could use a good cleansing.