Coronavirus COVID-19
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Re: Coronavirus
Draw your own conclusions.

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- UNI88
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Re: Coronavirus
It looks like approximately 10,000 flu deaths per week have gone missing. Probably being counted as coronavirus deaths.
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Re: Coronavirus
This chart is all deaths. If you type in the 2nd link on the pic you can get all the data. Flu and pneumonia charts are different.
If fascism ever comes to America, it will come in the name of liberalism. Ronald Reagan, 1975.
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Re: Coronavirus
It's there. I just don't trust those numbers though. I can believe the "recovered" data though.
BTW, news breaking now that China is flooding the market with faulty antibody tests. These fuckers are shit. Trump should up the tariffs to get US companies to move away from China manufacturing faster.
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Re: Coronavirus
You do realize that Germany is testing, on a per capita basis, more than double what the USA has done? Less than half per capita of what Italy has done. More than a third less than Switzerland.SDHornet wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pmThis.CAA Flagship wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 12:54 pm Why the hell did you use "cases". It's flawed info as a factor of time.
We have been through this 1000 times.
Use deaths. It's more accurate.
Case count is useless, especially since the US is crushing testing compared to the Euro countries now. US up 1.75M to Germany at 0.91M, Russia and Italy are at 0.69M.
Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
As far as Russia, they are like China and Iran, the numbers are low (even then, Russia's per capita isn't far behind the US, of reported tests.

- AZGrizFan
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Re: Coronavirus
Sure. Especially when ANYBODY who dies with Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus in their body, WHETHER IT HAD ANYTHING TO DO WITH THEIR DEATH OR NOT, is being counted as a Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus death.....WAFJ.Skjellyfetti wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:38 pmHere's a regression I did for deaths a week or two ago in the Locker Room thread.CAA Flagship wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 12:54 pm Why the hell did you use "cases". It's flawed info as a factor of time.
We have been through this 1000 times.
Use deaths. It's more accurate.
Its r^2 was 0.99 for an exponential curve... which is extremely good.
I can update the numbers Thursday when I go back to work. But, from eyeballing it... it's clearly still exponential and the deaths followed this curve fairly predictibly![]()
I prefaced all my other posts in that thread that it won't continue to be exponential forever and, hopefully it stops sooner, rather than later. It will end up looking more logarithmic as Trip said. This general shape:
![]()
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- Gil Dobie
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Re: Coronavirus
Curious why Mayo Clinic has never taken over their County Fair grounds arenas for the Flu, but it's doing it for COVID-19 


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Re: Coronavirus
Do you want them to perform a full autopsy on every single death to make sure? Probably should make sure they have even more PPE so they can worry bout the dead folks.
But, at least you aren't still arguing that it's not exponential growth. Just #FakeNumbers
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Re: Coronavirus
Better to be prepared just in case.
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Re: Coronavirus

Being wrong about a topic is called post partisanism - kalm
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Re: Coronavirus
That's actually an even bigger anomaly than it appears to be at first glance. Notice 2019-2020 was on pace to be the worst of all 7 flu seasons, then by March it's the mildest by a significant margin. But clearly the data shows worse Decembers become worse Januarys and Februarys.
Could what we're seeing is a particularly bad flu season on top of the corona pandemic?
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Re: Coronavirus
Exactly.AZGrizFan wrote:Sure. Especially when ANYBODY who dies with Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus in their body, WHETHER IT HAD ANYTHING TO DO WITH THEIR DEATH OR NOT, is being counted as a Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus death.....WAFJ.Skjellyfetti wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:38 pm Here's a regression I did for deaths a week or two ago in the Locker Room thread.
Its r^2 was 0.99 for an exponential curve... which is extremely good.
I can update the numbers Thursday when I go back to work. But, from eyeballing it... it's clearly still exponential and the deaths followed this curve fairly predictibly![]()
I prefaced all my other posts in that thread that it won't continue to be exponential forever and, hopefully it stops sooner, rather than later. It will end up looking more logarithmic as Trip said. This general shape:
![]()
A guy could have had cancer for 10 years and he's gonna be a Coronavirus death so they can get the numbers up so people give a fuck. They have a lot of work to do to catch abortion and medical malpractice
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- SDHornet
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Re: Coronavirus
I'd have to look it up, but just a few weeks ago the concern was testing here in the US. That clearly isn't the issue now, plus the US is bigger than both those countries (roughly 5.5x bigger than Italy, 4x than Germany). CA is pretty much only testing if you have symptoms, not sure how many states are doing similar testing strategies but that is also impacting the per capita numbers.dbackjon wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:52 pmYou do realize that Germany is testing, on a per capita basis, more than double what the USA has done? Less than half per capita of what Italy has done. More than a third less than Switzerland.SDHornet wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pm
This.
Case count is useless, especially since the US is crushing testing compared to the Euro countries now. US up 1.75M to Germany at 0.91M, Russia and Italy are at 0.69M.
Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
As far as Russia, they are like China and Iran, the numbers are low (even then, Russia's per capita isn't far behind the US, of reported tests.
Agree with you about the Russia number, but noticed they shot up there quick when they were reporting almost nothing just few weeks ago.
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Re: Coronavirus
They don't have a serious case count for the US...unless they moved it to a different page.CAA Flagship wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:52 pmIt's there. I just don't trust those numbers though. I can believe the "recovered" data though.
BTW, news breaking now that China is flooding the market with faulty antibody tests. These fuckers are shit. Trump should up the tariffs to get US companies to move away from China manufacturing faster.
And yeah, Fuck China.
Re: Coronavirus
Except...CAA Flagship wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:52 pmIt's there. I just don't trust those numbers though. I can believe the "recovered" data though.
BTW, news breaking now that China is flooding the market with faulty antibody tests. These fuckers are shit. Trump should up the tariffs to get US companies to move away from China manufacturing faster.
Who exactly is going to finance the $2 trillion stimulus bill?
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Re: Coronavirus
So basically they are reverse engineering...err I should say reverse modeling based on deaths. Yeah time to work up a new algorithm for the model or just not use this one anymore.
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Re: Coronavirus

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Re: Coronavirus
I was talking with my sister last night (surgical icu nurse and hospital admin staff) and it sounds like Atlanta is in trouble. They're expecting the shit to the fan this week and have put out requests to at least 10 other hospitals in the south begging for 32 surgical nurses and 32 ICU nurses. Georgia is not prepared. I don't know about the rest of SC, but the Medical University of SC in Charleston, according to her, is expecting their peak in a week or two and think they'll be ready to handle it.
I've reached out to my cousins wife, a nurse in Atlanta, to see what she says.
I've reached out to my cousins wife, a nurse in Atlanta, to see what she says.
Turns out I might be a little gay. 89Hen 11/7/17