Coronavirus COVID-19

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by HI54UNI »

Draw your own conclusions.

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by UNI88 »

HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.

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It looks like approximately 10,000 flu deaths per week have gone missing. Probably being counted as coronavirus deaths.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by 89Hen »

HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.
Social distancing irradicated the flu in short order?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by SDHornet »

UNI88 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:22 pm
HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.

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It looks like approximately 10,000 flu deaths per week have gone missing. Probably being counted as coronavirus deaths.
Yep.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by HI54UNI »

This chart is all deaths. If you type in the 2nd link on the pic you can get all the data. Flu and pneumonia charts are different.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by CAA Flagship »

HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.
A lot of Dems committed Fluicide in Trump's first winter term?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by CAA Flagship »

SDHornet wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pm
Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
It's there. I just don't trust those numbers though. I can believe the "recovered" data though.


BTW, news breaking now that China is flooding the market with faulty antibody tests. These fuckers are shit. Trump should up the tariffs to get US companies to move away from China manufacturing faster.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by dbackjon »

SDHornet wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pm
CAA Flagship wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 12:54 pm Why the hell did you use "cases". It's flawed info as a factor of time.
We have been through this 1000 times.
Use deaths. It's more accurate.
This.

Case count is useless, especially since the US is crushing testing compared to the Euro countries now. US up 1.75M to Germany at 0.91M, Russia and Italy are at 0.69M.

Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
You do realize that Germany is testing, on a per capita basis, more than double what the USA has done? Less than half per capita of what Italy has done. More than a third less than Switzerland.

As far as Russia, they are like China and Iran, the numbers are low (even then, Russia's per capita isn't far behind the US, of reported tests.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by AZGrizFan »

Skjellyfetti wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:38 pm
CAA Flagship wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 12:54 pm Why the hell did you use "cases". It's flawed info as a factor of time.
We have been through this 1000 times.
Use deaths. It's more accurate.
Here's a regression I did for deaths a week or two ago in the Locker Room thread.

Its r^2 was 0.99 for an exponential curve... which is extremely good.

I can update the numbers Thursday when I go back to work. But, from eyeballing it... it's clearly still exponential and the deaths followed this curve fairly predictibly :coffee:
Skjellyfetti wrote: Mon Mar 23, 2020 8:29 am
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I prefaced all my other posts in that thread that it won't continue to be exponential forever and, hopefully it stops sooner, rather than later. It will end up looking more logarithmic as Trip said. This general shape:

Image
Sure. Especially when ANYBODY who dies with Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus in their body, WHETHER IT HAD ANYTHING TO DO WITH THEIR DEATH OR NOT, is being counted as a Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus death.....WAFJ.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Gil Dobie »

Curious why Mayo Clinic has never taken over their County Fair grounds arenas for the Flu, but it's doing it for COVID-19 :kisswink:
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Skjellyfetti »

AZGrizFan wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 6:35 pm Sure. Especially when ANYBODY who dies with Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus in their body, WHETHER IT HAD ANYTHING TO DO WITH THEIR DEATH OR NOT, is being counted as a Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus death.....WAFJ.
Do you want them to perform a full autopsy on every single death to make sure? Probably should make sure they have even more PPE so they can worry bout the dead folks.

But, at least you aren't still arguing that it's not exponential growth. Just #FakeNumbers
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by 93henfan »

UNI88 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:22 pm
HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.

Image
It looks like approximately 10,000 flu deaths per week have gone missing. Probably being counted as coronavirus deaths.
:lol:
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Gil Dobie »

UNI88 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:22 pm
HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.

Image
It looks like approximately 10,000 flu deaths per week have gone missing. Probably being counted as coronavirus deaths.
Or a limp dick
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by HI54UNI »

Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 7:22 pm Curious why Mayo Clinic has never taken over their County Fair grounds arenas for the Flu, but it's doing it for COVID-19 :kisswink:
Better to be prepared just in case.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by UNI88 »

Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 8:10 pm
UNI88 wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:22 pm

It looks like approximately 10,000 flu deaths per week have gone missing. Probably being counted as coronavirus deaths.
Or a limp dick
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Pwns »

HI54UNI wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:16 pm Draw your own conclusions.

Image
That's actually an even bigger anomaly than it appears to be at first glance. Notice 2019-2020 was on pace to be the worst of all 7 flu seasons, then by March it's the mildest by a significant margin. But clearly the data shows worse Decembers become worse Januarys and Februarys.

Could what we're seeing is a particularly bad flu season on top of the corona pandemic?
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by ALPHAGRIZ1 »

AZGrizFan wrote:
Skjellyfetti wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:38 pm Here's a regression I did for deaths a week or two ago in the Locker Room thread.

Its r^2 was 0.99 for an exponential curve... which is extremely good.

I can update the numbers Thursday when I go back to work. But, from eyeballing it... it's clearly still exponential and the deaths followed this curve fairly predictibly :coffee:

I prefaced all my other posts in that thread that it won't continue to be exponential forever and, hopefully it stops sooner, rather than later. It will end up looking more logarithmic as Trip said. This general shape:

Image
Sure. Especially when ANYBODY who dies with Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus in their body, WHETHER IT HAD ANYTHING TO DO WITH THEIR DEATH OR NOT, is being counted as a Chinese Wuhan Corona Virus death.....WAFJ.
Exactly.

A guy could have had cancer for 10 years and he's gonna be a Coronavirus death so they can get the numbers up so people give a fuck. They have a lot of work to do to catch abortion and medical malpractice

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by SDHornet »

dbackjon wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:52 pm
SDHornet wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pm

This.

Case count is useless, especially since the US is crushing testing compared to the Euro countries now. US up 1.75M to Germany at 0.91M, Russia and Italy are at 0.69M.

Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
You do realize that Germany is testing, on a per capita basis, more than double what the USA has done? Less than half per capita of what Italy has done. More than a third less than Switzerland.

As far as Russia, they are like China and Iran, the numbers are low (even then, Russia's per capita isn't far behind the US, of reported tests.
I'd have to look it up, but just a few weeks ago the concern was testing here in the US. That clearly isn't the issue now, plus the US is bigger than both those countries (roughly 5.5x bigger than Italy, 4x than Germany). CA is pretty much only testing if you have symptoms, not sure how many states are doing similar testing strategies but that is also impacting the per capita numbers.

Agree with you about the Russia number, but noticed they shot up there quick when they were reporting almost nothing just few weeks ago.
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Re: Coronavirus

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CAA Flagship wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:52 pm
SDHornet wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pm
Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
It's there. I just don't trust those numbers though. I can believe the "recovered" data though.


BTW, news breaking now that China is flooding the market with faulty antibody tests. These fuckers are shit. Trump should up the tariffs to get US companies to move away from China manufacturing faster.
They don't have a serious case count for the US...unless they moved it to a different page.

And yeah, Fuck China.
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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Rob Iola »

CAA Flagship wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:52 pm
SDHornet wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 5:12 pm
Also was hoping the "serious cases" count would return as I found that valuable second only to death count. But alas, no such luck.
It's there. I just don't trust those numbers though. I can believe the "recovered" data though.


BTW, news breaking now that China is flooding the market with faulty antibody tests. These fuckers are shit. Trump should up the tariffs to get US companies to move away from China manufacturing faster.
Except...
Who exactly is going to finance the $2 trillion stimulus bill?
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Re: Coronavirus

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So basically they are reverse engineering...err I should say reverse modeling based on deaths. Yeah time to work up a new algorithm for the model or just not use this one anymore.
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Re: Coronavirus

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https://www.westernjournal.com/cdc-tell ... ingbuttons

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Re: Coronavirus

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Gil Dobie wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 7:22 pm Curious why Mayo Clinic has never taken over their County Fair grounds arenas for the Flu, but it's doing it for COVID-19 :kisswink:
Mayo Clinic = #FakeMedicine

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Re: Coronavirus

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Where's my fucking check?

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Re: Coronavirus

Post by Ibanez »

I was talking with my sister last night (surgical icu nurse and hospital admin staff) and it sounds like Atlanta is in trouble. They're expecting the shit to the fan this week and have put out requests to at least 10 other hospitals in the south begging for 32 surgical nurses and 32 ICU nurses. Georgia is not prepared. I don't know about the rest of SC, but the Medical University of SC in Charleston, according to her, is expecting their peak in a week or two and think they'll be ready to handle it.

I've reached out to my cousins wife, a nurse in Atlanta, to see what she says.
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