2020 General Election

[89Hen]

Plagiarizing hillary? Just sad.

FWIW, that wasn't a Hillary original, it was from somebody else much more eloquent and I can only assume Biden saying "reminded me of it" at the beginning was referring to the fact that it was somebody else's quote.

[Gil Dobie]

From what I'm reading, 70% of the 2016 vote has already been cast. 96 Million plus votes.

If Biden wins as expected, I hope Trump does not run in 2024.

[GannonFan]

From what I'm reading, 70% of the 2016 vote has already been cast. 96 Million plus votes.

If Biden wins as expected, I hope Trump does not run in 2024.

Biden and Trump are more likely to be dead in 2024 than running for election again. Sorry to be so morbid.

[Ibanez]

From what I'm reading, 70% of the 2016 vote has already been cast. 96 Million plus votes.

If Biden wins as expected, I hope Trump does not run in 2024.

Biden and Trump are more likely to be dead in 2024 than running for election again. Sorry to be so morbid.

If Nikki would STFU about Trump...she gets my vote in 2024.

[AZGrizFan]

Biden and Trump are more likely to be dead in 2024 than running for election again. Sorry to be so morbid.

If Nikki would STFU about Trump...she gets my vote in 2024.

Nikki will shut up.

Tomorrow.

How about a Haley/Crenshaw ticket in ‘24!!!

[Ibanez]

If Nikki would STFU about Trump...she gets my vote in 2024.

Nikki will shut up.

Tomorrow.

How about a Haley/Crenshaw ticket in ‘24!!!

That’s intriguing.


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[Ibanez]

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... ticleShare


Results timing


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[AZGrizFan]

Nikki will shut up.

Tomorrow.

How about a Haley/Crenshaw ticket in ‘24!!!

That’s intriguing.


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New blood, bro. Need NEW blood. Any combination of Haley, Crenshaw, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, and a couple others would be fine with me.

[BDKJMU]

Predictit has moved AZ red, now predicts Biden 279, Trump 259.
https://www.predictit.org/

Edit: then AZ back to blue. So I guess tbat‘s their final prediction 290-248.

[BDKJMU]

2016 RCP Vegas avg had Clinton 88%, Trump 13%.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... president/#!

Looks like RCP Vegas final avg has it 63.6% Biden, 35.4% Trump.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... president/#!

[CAA Flagship]

Post the latest poll numbers for the battleground states so we can see how accurate they are.

[SDHornet]

[Ibanez]

That’s intriguing.


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New blood, bro. Need NEW blood. Any combination of Haley, Crenshaw, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, and a couple others would be fine with me.

I'm a hard pass on Tim Scott. I met him during his first congressional run and the guy was a asshole.

[Ibanez]

11/3 RCP Average of Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden


Top Battlegrounds Biden: 48.9 Trump: 46.6 Spread: Biden +2.3

Florida Biden:47.9 Trump: 47.0 Spread: Biden +0.9

North Carolina Biden:47.6 Trump: 47.8 Spread: Trump +0.2

Pennsylvania Biden: 48.7 Trump: 47.5 Spread: Biden +1.2

Michigan Biden: 50.0 Trump: 45.8 Spread: Biden +4.2

Wisconsin Biden: 51.0 Trump: 44.3 Spread: Biden +6.7

Arizona Biden: 47.9 Trump: 47.0 Spread: Biden +0.9

[Ibanez]

Post the latest poll numbers for the battleground states so we can see how accurate they are.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... nd-states/


You're welcome

[Ibanez]

Four former communications directors at the Republican National Committee (RNC) voted against President Trump this year, they said Monday.

In a tweet posted Monday, Ryan Mahoney, who ran communications for the party apparatus during President Trump’s first two years in office, showed his ballot filled out for former Vice President Joe Biden.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5 ... back-trump

Some more "Secret" Biden voters that we've been hearing about?

[BDKJMU]

Four former communications directors at the Republican National Committee (RNC) voted against President Trump this year, they said Monday.

In a tweet posted Monday, Ryan Mahoney, who ran communications for the party apparatus during President Trump’s first two years in office, showed his ballot filled out for former Vice President Joe Biden.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5 ... back-trump

Some more "Secret" Biden voters that we've been hearing about?

Anyone who prefers the Harris/Biden agenda over Trump‘s isn‘t a Republican..

[AZGrizFan]

New blood, bro. Need NEW blood. Any combination of Haley, Crenshaw, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, and a couple others would be fine with me.

I'm a hard pass on Tim Scott. I met him during his first congressional run and the guy was a asshole.

All that matters is if you agree with his policies and is he electable. They’re ALL assholes, bro.

[BDKJMU]

11/3 RCP Average of Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden

Top Battlegrounds Biden: 48.9 Trump: 46.6 Spread: Biden +2.3

Florida Biden:47.9 Trump: 47.0 Spread: Biden +0.9

North Carolina Biden:47.6 Trump: 47.8 Spread: Trump +0.2

Pennsylvania Biden: 48.7 Trump: 47.5 Spread: Biden +1.2

Michigan Biden: 50.0 Trump: 45.8 Spread: Biden +4.2

Wisconsin Biden: 51.0 Trump: 44.3 Spread: Biden +6.7

Arizona Biden: 47.9 Trump: 47.0 Spread: Biden +0.9

2016 RCP battlegrounds final poll averages and results
Pennsylvania Clinton +1.9. Result Trump +.7
Michigan Clinton +3.4. Trump +.3
WisconsinClinton +6.5. Result Trump +.7
OhioTrump +3.5. Result Trump +8.1
Iowa Trump +3.0. Result Trump +9.5.

In those midwest rustbelt swing states + Iowa Trump outperformed the poll averages by 4.82.

Other
Florida Trump +.2. Result Trump +1.2
North Carolina Trump +1.0. Result Trump+ 3.7.

[BDKJMU]

Another thing all the 2016 national polls on RCP included Libertarian & Green.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -5952.html 2020 national polls mostly not.

[Ibanez]

I'm a hard pass on Tim Scott. I met him during his first congressional run and the guy was a asshole.

All that matters is if you agree with his policies and is he electable. They’re ALL assholes, bro.

I get it. However, the content of a person's character is important to me. If they'll screw over their mother or a small business, think of what they'd do to millions of faceless, nameless citizens.

[Ibanez]

Another thing all the 2016 national polls on RCP included Libertarian & Green.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -5952.html 2020 national polls mostly not.

I think in 2016, the 3rd parties seemed to be more of a "threat" than they are this year.

Will all 3rd parties combined even take 1% this year?

[Ibanez]

11/3 RCP Average of Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden

Top Battlegrounds Biden: 48.9 Trump: 46.6 Spread: Biden +2.3

Florida Biden:47.9 Trump: 47.0 Spread: Biden +0.9

North Carolina Biden:47.6 Trump: 47.8 Spread: Trump +0.2

Pennsylvania Biden: 48.7 Trump: 47.5 Spread: Biden +1.2

Michigan Biden: 50.0 Trump: 45.8 Spread: Biden +4.2

Wisconsin Biden: 51.0 Trump: 44.3 Spread: Biden +6.7

Arizona Biden: 47.9 Trump: 47.0 Spread: Biden +0.9

2016 RCP battlegrounds final poll averages and results
Pennsylvania Clinton +1.9. Result Trump +.7
Michigan Clinton +3.4. Trump +.3
WisconsinClinton +6.5. Result Trump +.7
OhioTrump +3.5. Result Trump +8.1
Iowa Trump +3.0. Result Trump +9.5.

In those midwest rustbelt swing states + Iowa Trump outperformed the poll averages by 4.82.

Other
Florida Trump +.2. Result Trump +1.2
North Carolina Trump +1.0. Result Trump+ 3.7.

https://championshipsubdivision.com/for ... &start=150


I agree, close. I would've figured Trump would've had a larger margin in NC in 2016.

[CAA Flagship]

Post the latest poll numbers for the battleground states so we can see how accurate they are.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... nd-states/


You're welcome

You did it right with the previous post. Links are no good because there is no guarantee that the website won't change.

[SeattleGriz]