Upsets and Road Wins

Football Championship Subdivision discussions
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 67753
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Upsets and Road Wins

Post by kalm »

Which quarterfinal team is most likely to pull off the upset.

Which road team is most likely to make the chipper?
Image
Image
Image
User avatar
uofmman1122
Level2
Level2
Posts: 1847
Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 6:22 am
I am a fan of: Japanese girls
A.K.A.: Randy Butternubs
Location: Missoula, MT

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by uofmman1122 »

Most likely would have to be ISUr after what they showed in Fargo.

As for most likely to make the chipper, I'd have to go with either ISUr again or USD. I think USD is the best road team remaining, but they also have the hardest road to Nashville.

I also don't think SFA or Nova are any good and will get boatraced in both games this weekend.
Mvemjsunpx
Level5
Level5
Posts: 14772
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2007 2:44 pm
I am a fan of: Montana

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Mvemjsunpx »

uofmman1122 wrote: Wed Dec 10, 2025 1:07 pm Most likely would have to be ISUr after what they showed in Fargo.

As for most likely to make the chipper, I'd have to go with either ISUr again or USD. I think USD is the best road team remaining, but they also have the hardest road to Nashville.

I also don't think SFA or Nova are any good and will get boatraced in both games this weekend.
I agree with ISU being the most likely road winner. Their defense has dominated so far in the playoffs, and I still think Davis is overseeded (I also thought Rhody was overseeded, FWIW). ISU/Davis looks like a coin flip.

I don't think Nova will get boatraced, but I don't see their offense doing much of anything. They will probably need another 14-7 type game to win, and I think Tarleton's offense is too explosive to make that likely.

I think SFA could get hammered. We know how Southland/Texas teams tend to do up in Montana in the cold. It's not supposed to be all that cold this Friday, but still cold by East Texas standards.
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

uofmman1122 wrote: Wed Dec 10, 2025 1:07 pm Most likely would have to be ISUr after what they showed in Fargo.

As for most likely to make the chipper, I'd have to go with either ISUr again or USD. I think USD is the best road team remaining, but they also have the hardest road to Nashville.

I also don't think SFA or Nova are any good and will get boatraced in both games this weekend.
Well Nova actually looked good

They dominated over rated Tarleton up front all day

Mace is fast
User avatar
SeattleGriz
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 18752
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2008 11:41 am
I am a fan of: Montana
A.K.A.: PhxGriz

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by SeattleGriz »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 1:46 pm
uofmman1122 wrote: Wed Dec 10, 2025 1:07 pm Most likely would have to be ISUr after what they showed in Fargo.

As for most likely to make the chipper, I'd have to go with either ISUr again or USD. I think USD is the best road team remaining, but they also have the hardest road to Nashville.

I also don't think SFA or Nova are any good and will get boatraced in both games this weekend.
Well Nova actually looked good

They dominated over rated Tarleton up front all day

Mace is fast
Villanova seemed to do a good job at confusion the TSU QB. I noticed he was off and then the announcer talked about Villanova doing a good job of showing one thing at the line and then something different after snap. I'll go with that.
Everything is better with SeattleGriz
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 67753
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by kalm »

SeattleGriz wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 6:04 pm
Caribbean Hen wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 1:46 pm

Well Nova actually looked good

They dominated over rated Tarleton up front all day

Mace is fast
Villanova seemed to do a good job at confusion the TSU QB. I noticed he was off and then the announcer talked about Villanova doing a good job of showing one thing at the line and then something different after snap. I'll go with that.
:nod:
Image
Image
Image
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

SeattleGriz wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 6:04 pm
Caribbean Hen wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 1:46 pm

Well Nova actually looked good

They dominated over rated Tarleton up front all day

Mace is fast
Villanova seemed to do a good job at confusion the TSU QB. I noticed he was off and then the announcer talked about Villanova doing a good job of showing one thing at the line and then something different after snap. I'll go with that.
Indeed they did. Nova has always had a great coaching staff, and nobody knows this more than Delaware fans.

Once it was 14 to 0, Nova didn’t panic on the road down in cocky Texas and they just kept playing their solid game and they slowly chipped away … the Tarleton quarterback looked like a mess right up until halftime.

You could see at the start of the third quarter that had made some adjustments and we’re competitive with Villanova for the rest of the game for the most part … that is like a counterintuitive statement, but someone will get it

I also liked watching Illinois State just hammer UC Davis with that battering ram running back… I know Davis had a lot of injuries, but obviously Illinois State knows about the reputation of the Big Sky defenses (not including the Montanas ). Once you get down to the Idaho’s the northern Arizona and the Sacramento States, their defenses are just not gonna win them many games in the playoffs

And gotta give a lot of credit to the Illinois State wide receiver # 2 that guy is super good … also I noticed that that’s who they went to for the win when the chips were down in Fargo
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

uofmman1122 wrote: Wed Dec 10, 2025 1:07 pm Most likely would have to be ISUr after what they showed in Fargo.

As for most likely to make the chipper, I'd have to go with either ISUr again or USD. I think USD is the best road team remaining, but they also have the hardest road to Nashville.

I also don't think SFA or Nova are any good and will get boatraced in both games this weekend.
Daniel Sobkowicz is on 🔥 right now for Illinois St and I said that he should use the postseason as a NFL AUDITION as a WR.
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Mon Dec 15, 2025 5:30 am
SeattleGriz wrote: Sun Dec 14, 2025 6:04 pm

Villanova seemed to do a good job at confusion the TSU QB. I noticed he was off and then the announcer talked about Villanova doing a good job of showing one thing at the line and then something different after snap. I'll go with that.
Indeed they did. Nova has always had a great coaching staff, and nobody knows this more than Delaware fans.

Once it was 14 to 0, Nova didn’t panic on the road down in cocky Texas and they just kept playing their solid game and they slowly chipped away … the Tarleton quarterback looked like a mess right up until halftime.

You could see at the start of the third quarter that had made some adjustments and we’re competitive with Villanova for the rest of the game for the most part … that is like a counterintuitive statement, but someone will get it

I also liked watching Illinois State just hammer UC Davis with that battering ram running back… I know Davis had a lot of injuries, but obviously Illinois State knows about the reputation of the Big Sky defenses (not including the Montanas ). Once you get down to the Idaho’s the northern Arizona and the Sacramento States, their defenses are just not gonna win them many games in the playoffs

And gotta give a lot of credit to the Illinois State wide receiver # 2 that guy is super good … also I noticed that that’s who they went to for the win when the chips were down in Fargo
Daniel Sobkowicz torched UC DAVIS with 150 yds
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

dal4018 wrote: Tue Dec 16, 2025 4:34 pm
Caribbean Hen wrote: Mon Dec 15, 2025 5:30 am

Indeed they did. Nova has always had a great coaching staff, and nobody knows this more than Delaware fans.

Once it was 14 to 0, Nova didn’t panic on the road down in cocky Texas and they just kept playing their solid game and they slowly chipped away … the Tarleton quarterback looked like a mess right up until halftime.

You could see at the start of the third quarter that had made some adjustments and we’re competitive with Villanova for the rest of the game for the most part … that is like a counterintuitive statement, but someone will get it

I also liked watching Illinois State just hammer UC Davis with that battering ram running back… I know Davis had a lot of injuries, but obviously Illinois State knows about the reputation of the Big Sky defenses (not including the Montanas ). Once you get down to the Idaho’s the northern Arizona and the Sacramento States, their defenses are just not gonna win them many games in the playoffs

And gotta give a lot of credit to the Illinois State wide receiver # 2 that guy is super good … also I noticed that that’s who they went to for the win when the chips were down in Fargo
Daniel Sobkowicz torched UC DAVIS with 150 yds
A lot of those yards were on one big play and it actually look like he pushed the UC Davis receiver down

But yeah, he is a talent
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 17, 2025 2:56 pm
dal4018 wrote: Tue Dec 16, 2025 4:34 pm
Daniel Sobkowicz torched UC DAVIS with 150 yds
A lot of those yards were on one big play and it actually look like he pushed the UC Davis receiver down

But yeah, he is a talent
I saw that play I don't think he pushed off he used his size to take advantage of the DB.I want to see how fast he is in the 40.
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

dal4018 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 10:42 am
Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 17, 2025 2:56 pm

A lot of those yards were on one big play and it actually look like he pushed the UC Davis receiver down

But yeah, he is a talent
I saw that play I don't think he pushed off he used his size to take advantage of the DB.I want to see how fast he is in the 40.
You’re probably right about that, I don’t think he’s a burner, but he has sneaky good speed
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 1:37 pm
dal4018 wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 10:42 am
I saw that play I don't think he pushed off he used his size to take advantage of the DB.I want to see how fast he is in the 40.
You’re probably right about that, I don’t think he’s a burner, but he has sneaky good speed
Sneaky Good speed that is why I make the suggestion that White guys should be involved in Track to shoot down what you just said I hope they get Sobkowicz involved from the passing game very early I want to see him get a chance to break the FCS TITLE GAME for RECEIVING YDS 220 held by Randy Moss back in '96 vs Montana.They have a frosh WR Luke Mailander and it was said that he is the fastest WR for Illinois St but he is not as big as Sobkowicz 5-11 180.
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

dal4018 wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 6:55 am
Caribbean Hen wrote: Tue Dec 23, 2025 1:37 pm

You’re probably right about that, I don’t think he’s a burner, but he has sneaky good speed
Sneaky Good speed that is why I make the suggestion that White guys should be involved in Track to shoot down what you just said I hope they get Sobkowicz involved from the passing game very early I want to see him get a chance to break the FCS TITLE GAME for RECEIVING YDS 220 held by Randy Moss back in '96 vs Montana.They have a frosh WR Luke Mailander and it was said that he is the fastest WR for Illinois St but he is not as big as Sobkowicz 5-11 180.
Over the years i’ve seen a few white wide receivers who I thought were good enough to be in the NFL and for whatever reason, it just didn’t happen

David Ball New Hampshire

Branden Kauffman Eastern Washington

Most recently, Phil Lutz Delaware

Maybe even a Robert Ferrel Incarnate Word and a fav target of Cam Ward
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 67753
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by kalm »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 7:25 am
dal4018 wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 6:55 am

Sneaky Good speed that is why I make the suggestion that White guys should be involved in Track to shoot down what you just said I hope they get Sobkowicz involved from the passing game very early I want to see him get a chance to break the FCS TITLE GAME for RECEIVING YDS 220 held by Randy Moss back in '96 vs Montana.They have a frosh WR Luke Mailander and it was said that he is the fastest WR for Illinois St but he is not as big as Sobkowicz 5-11 180.
Over the years i’ve seen a few white wide receivers who I thought were good enough to be in the NFL and for whatever reason, it just didn’t happen

David Ball New Hampshire

Branden Kauffman Eastern Washington

Most recently, Phil Lutz Delaware

Maybe even a Robert Ferrel Incarnate Word and a fav target of Cam Ward
I can think of two right now and they’re from the same school.
Image
Image
Image
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 8:25 am
Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 7:25 am

Over the years i’ve seen a few white wide receivers who I thought were good enough to be in the NFL and for whatever reason, it just didn’t happen

David Ball New Hampshire

Branden Kauffman Eastern Washington

Most recently, Phil Lutz Delaware

Maybe even a Robert Ferrel Incarnate Word and a fav target of Cam Ward
I can think of two right now and they’re from the same school.
Say their names
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 67753
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by kalm »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 11:34 am
kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 8:25 am

I can think of two right now and they’re from the same school.
Say their names
Seriously? One is a Super Bowl MVP. The other, Efton Chism III is a rookie with the Pats.
Image
Image
Image
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 1:47 pm
Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 11:34 am

Say their names
Seriously? One is a Super Bowl MVP. The other, Efton Chism III is a rookie with the Pats.
Oh sure, but I was naming players who never made it to the NFL …. You want me to go back to Lance Alworth ?
kalm
Supporter
Supporter
Posts: 67753
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 3:36 pm
I am a fan of: Eastern
A.K.A.: Humus The Proud
Location: Northern Palouse

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by kalm »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 3:42 pm
kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 1:47 pm

Seriously? One is a Super Bowl MVP. The other, Efton Chism III is a rookie with the Pats.
Oh sure, but I was naming players who never made it to the NFL …. You want me to go back to Lance Alworth ?
Oh. My misunderstanding. I was surprised by Kaufman too. I think NFL scouts and personnel are wising up a bit now.
Image
Image
Image
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 1:47 pm
Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 11:34 am

Say their names
Seriously? One is a Super Bowl MVP. The other, Efton Chism III is a rookie with the Pats.
That MVP is now a Seattle Seahawk
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 3:42 pm
kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 1:47 pm

Seriously? One is a Super Bowl MVP. The other, Efton Chism III is a rookie with the Pats.
Oh sure, but I was naming players who never made it to the NFL …. You want me to go back to Lance Alworth ?
How about this guy Donald Rogers Maynard he was fighting with Alworth for the right to be the DON HUTSON of the '60s.
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 11:34 am
kalm wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 8:25 am

I can think of two right now and they’re from the same school.
Say their names
Someone named COOPER KUPP I called him this generations STEVE LARGENT.
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 7:25 am
dal4018 wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 6:55 am

Sneaky Good speed that is why I make the suggestion that White guys should be involved in Track to shoot down what you just said I hope they get Sobkowicz involved from the passing game very early I want to see him get a chance to break the FCS TITLE GAME for RECEIVING YDS 220 held by Randy Moss back in '96 vs Montana.They have a frosh WR Luke Mailander and it was said that he is the fastest WR for Illinois St but he is not as big as Sobkowicz 5-11 180.
Over the years i’ve seen a few white wide receivers who I thought were good enough to be in the NFL and for whatever reason, it just didn’t happen

David Ball New Hampshire

Branden Kauffman Eastern Washington

Most recently, Phil Lutz Delaware

Maybe even a Robert Ferrel Incarnate Word and a fav target of Cam Ward
There was one who could have been mentioned by you Jeff Janis from D2 Saginaw Valley St he should have been a FCS FOOTBALL PRODUCT.I mentioned Sobkowicz as a NFL PROSPECT on WFAN SPORTS RADIO NY.I will be watching for him in the FCS NATIONAL TITLE GAME vs Montana St of this guy lives up to the hype that is going to help his draft status.
Caribbean Hen
Level4
Level4
Posts: 7130
Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 11:24 pm
I am a fan of: DELAWARE
Location: Bermuda Triangle

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by Caribbean Hen »

dal4018 wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 10:34 pm
Caribbean Hen wrote: Wed Dec 24, 2025 3:42 pm

Oh sure, but I was naming players who never made it to the NFL …. You want me to go back to Lance Alworth ?
How about this guy Donald Rogers Maynard he was fighting with Alworth for the right to be the DON HUTSON of the '60s.
Wow you go away back.

Roger Carr was fast Baltimore Colts

Fred Bilitnkoff - Raiders was a good one

All in all, not really that many
dal4018
Level5
Level5
Posts: 10644
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 12:17 pm
I am a fan of: South Carolina St
A.K.A.: SC State

Re: Upsets and Road Wins

Post by dal4018 »

uofmman1122 wrote: Wed Dec 10, 2025 1:07 pm Most likely would have to be ISUr after what they showed in Fargo.

As for most likely to make the chipper, I'd have to go with either ISUr again or USD. I think USD is the best road team remaining, but they also have the hardest road to Nashville.

I also don't think SFA or Nova are any good and will get boatraced in both games this weekend.
And you are right about ISU I'm pulling for them to win it all over Montana St and this will increase the draft status for Daniel Sobkowicz as a NFL PROSPECT.
Post Reply