Who Best Categorizes Elections?

[UNHWildCats]

By this I mean who do you believe is the best at listing how a political seat is heading.. I am working on a small project that will require listing within in house and senate seats that are graded as safe, lean or tossup. Since my main target will be people on this board I prefer to use one that most of you would accept as a decent grading.

Two that I have looked at today are CQ Politics and The Rothenberg Political Report. What ever one I use will need to provide updates on all races for free so please don't suggest one that requires you pay to access all info.

[AZGrizFan]

Why don't you spend your energy actually finding a J-O-B?

[HI54UNI]

Why don't you spend your energy actually finding a J-O-B?

He's waiting for Obama's stimulus to work so he can get one!!!!

[native]

You won't like the answer, but the most accurate prognosticator for recent elections has been Rasmussen.

Sabato is top notch, too.

Really depressing for you donks, isn't it?

[UNHWildCats]

You won't like the answer, but the most accurate prognosticator for recent elections has been Rasmussen.

Sabato is top notch, too.

Really depressing for you donks, isn't it?

Isn't Rasmussen a pollster? I'm not looking for polling data from a single source. I am looking for projections being made based on multiple polls, aswell as other factors... Sabato has what I am looking for. Does Rasmussen do the same as him? If so can you give me a link to it?

[Skjellyfetti]

I am.

I predicted 49 and 2/3 of the states right in that AGS prediction thread for the 2008 election. Only missed one EV.

I'm not aware of Sabato, Nate Silver, Bill O'Reilly or anyone doing better.

That's right, bitches.

[UNHWildCats]

I am.

I predicted 49 and 2/3 of the states right in that AGS prediction thread for the 2008 election. Only missed one EV.

I'm not aware of Sabato, Nate Silver, Bill O'Reilly or anyone doing better.

That's right, bitches.

ok then. ploease rate all 435 house races and the 30+ senate races for me

[native]

A study out of the Fordham political science department ranked 23 of the 2008 pre-election polls for accuracy. Only two organizations, Rasmussen and Pew, were in perfect agreement with the election results.

http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics ... ection.pdf

Rasmussen also conducts polls on House, Senate and Gubernatorial races around the country. He called the Massachusetts Senate race for brown about a week ahead of everyone else.

[yosef1969]

Real Clear Politics contains averages of all the polls listed so far. Have sections showing breakdowns for House and Senate seats as well.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

[BDKJMU]

The non partisan Cook Political Report.
http://www.cookpolitical.com/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Tons of people inside the beltway on both sides of the aisle subscribe.
$295 for a yr:
"..subscribers have access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. A complete listing of every potential candidate for U.S. House, Senate and Governor, the top-line numbers on every publicly available poll in House, Senate and gubernatorial races, fundraising data gathered from the FEC and other pertinent race information are also available to subscribers.

The website is updated weekly and subscribers receive an email alerting them to changes. Additional alert features to keep people aware of the changing political landscape include the ability to subscribe to instant race updates. As a subscriber you can select to be alerted whenever the Cook Political Report rating of a specific race is moved, and you will receive a brief alert email informing you of the change."
http://www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;