51% Want Their Vote To Put GOP In Charge of House, Senate

[travelinman67]

You are right, but the cell phone phenomenon still makes a difference, t-man. I think Jon makes a valid point, one that makes the pollster's job that much harder.

They may have a lower voting percentage, but there are questions to filter that out as well.

20% of US Households are Cell phone only (as of 2009). That is a LOT of missed voters.

But, of that percentage, not all are "liberal". I've been cell phone only since 2007. I don't even keep a landline for faxes...require email. Also, with the tightening economy, I'd suspect that 20% figure might be significantly higher today.

[dbackjon]

They may have a lower voting percentage, but there are questions to filter that out as well.

20% of US Households are Cell phone only (as of 2009). That is a LOT of missed voters.

But, of that percentage, not all are "liberal". I've been cell phone only since 2007. I don't even keep a landline for faxes...require email. Also, with the tightening economy, I'd suspect that 20% figure might be significantly higher today.

No, not all - but if the 2008 numbers are even close, then there more Dem leaning households with no landline than not.

In tight races, like in my CD, it won't take much to tip it one way or the other.

[native]

But, of that percentage, not all are "liberal". I've been cell phone only since 2007. I don't even keep a landline for faxes...require email. Also, with the tightening economy, I'd suspect that 20% figure might be significantly higher today.

No, not all - but if the 2008 numbers are even close, then there more Dem leaning households with no landline than not.

In tight races, like in my CD, it won't take much to tip it one way or the other.

Which AZ CD, Jon? Who are the protagonists?

[dbackjon]

No, not all - but if the 2008 numbers are even close, then there more Dem leaning households with no landline than not.

In tight races, like in my CD, it won't take much to tip it one way or the other.

Which AZ CD, Jon? Who are the protagonists?

CD 5. Moderate Dem Incumbent (one term) Harry Mitchell vs Far Right David Schweikart. This was JD Heyworth's old seat, before he lost it.

http://www.azredistricting.org/final/Co ... hx_lgr.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

All of Tempe, parts of Scottsdale, Phoenix, Chandler and outlying areas.

[AZGrizFan]

Which AZ CD, Jon? Who are the protagonists?

CD 5. Moderate Dem Incumbent (one term) Harry Mitchell vs Far Right David Schweikart. This was JD Heyworth's old seat, before he lost it.

http://www.azredistricting.org/final/Co ... hx_lgr.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

All of Tempe, parts of Scottsdale, Phoenix, Chandler and outlying areas.

Schweikert wins this one.

And shouldn't you be getting your game face on this a.m.?

[dbackjon]

CD 5. Moderate Dem Incumbent (one term) Harry Mitchell vs Far Right David Schweikart. This was JD Heyworth's old seat, before he lost it.

http://www.azredistricting.org/final/Co ... hx_lgr.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

All of Tempe, parts of Scottsdale, Phoenix, Chandler and outlying areas.

Schweikert wins this one.

And shouldn't you be getting your game face on this a.m.?

It will be close. Are you in CD5?

Still early...I can get to Dukes in 3 minutes

[native]

AZ-5 is leaning Republican in the RCP averages.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1285.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[dbackjon]

AZ-5 is leaning Republican in the RCP averages.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1285.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

It should be a tight race - one that will be crucial to the makeup of the house

[native]

AZ-5 is leaning Republican in the RCP averages.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... -1285.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

It should be a tight race - one that will be crucial to the makeup of the house

I think the hard core Dems are just as delusional this year as the hard core Repubs were in 2006.

Hope springs eternal, eh?

[dbackjon]

Yup!

[Skjellyfetti]

Werner von Braun worked for the Nazis before he worked for the Americans. He was a brilliant rocket scientist regardless of who he worked for.

Two things nativist has to get in every thread.

A Scott Rasmussen poll.

And a Nazi reference.

[native]

Werner von Braun worked for the Nazis before he worked for the Americans. He was a brilliant rocket scientist regardless of who he worked for.

Two things nativist has to get in every thread.

A Scott Rasmussen poll.

And a Nazi reference.

When the facts are inconvenient, make a personal attack to divert attention. You've got the regressive schtick down perfectly, skelly.