Playoff Field

[UNHWildCats]

If Dayton wins next week they will be 10-1, 8-0 PFL, 9-1 FCS with a win over top 25 and NEC champion Robert Morris. Dayton should receive an at large this year.

nope...

[MrTitleist]

IMO, I think Cal Poly has a playoff resume. I'd be more inclined to see them in the 1st group than the 2nd. They played FBS Fresno tough, beat a pretty good ODU team.. but that loss to TX State stings them a bit.

[MrTitleist]

If Dayton wins next week they will be 10-1, 8-0 PFL, 9-1 FCS with a win over top 25 and NEC champion Robert Morris. Dayton should receive an at large this year.

nope...

Agreed, if PFL teams want real consideration for playoffs, move out of the PFL and play some real teams. San Diego ... 3 or 4 years ago went undefeated or something.. no chance at the playoffs, then got steamrolled when they played a real FCS team. The PFL argues this EVERY single year, and every single year they're left out because they just don't compete at the highest level of FCS football.

[Trapped in CA]

Please send Dayton to the UNIDOME, Delaware, or App State. To paraphrase Tubby in 2007 during the DE vs Del ST game on why the game wasn't scheduled before then, he said "You are seeing why."

[SuperHornet]

How is Cow Poly out given that they beat the pending 2010 National Champions?

[DetroitFlyer]

Please send Dayton to the UNIDOME, Delaware, or App State. To paraphrase Tubby in 2007 during the DE vs Del ST game on why the game wasn't scheduled before then, he said "You are seeing why."

Bring on anyone of them. I will be there to see the Flyers victory. Dayton ALREADY has a win over at least top 25, maybe top 20 Robert Morris. If we win next week, we should be in!

[Col Hogan]

How is Cow Poly out given that they beat the pending 2010 National Champions?

Which CAA team did they beat???

[danefan]

With the way things are going this year, the only thing really keeping Dayton out is the loss to Duquesne. Had Dayton been 11-0 with a win over a very strong RMU team, and considering all the 7-win teams we'll see this year on the bubble, I think Dayton would have been in.

But anyway you want to shake it, the loss to Duquesne will keep them out.

[Chemhen]

I know they're not supposed to, but if the committee conference counts, we're toast, because we'd be the fourth Big Sky team in (after EWU and the Montanas and figuring that we win a tiebreaker with Weber). That's the ECB factor at work.

I don't know if you guys have heard of Godwin's Law, but here's the CS version. "As an online discussion on CS.com grows longer, the probability of an invocation of east coast bias becomes 1." Corollary 1: Whomever invokes east coast bias first loses the argument.

[BTG Go CATS Go]

The 20 Playoff teams will come from this list.

Eastern Washington
Montana
Montana State
Liberty
Delaware
Massachusetts
Villanova
William & Mary
Bethune-Cookman
South Carolina State
North Dakota State
Northern Iowa
Western Illinois
Robert Morris
SE Missouri State
Jacksonville State
Lehigh
Apppalachian State
Wofford
Furman or Georgia Southern (One will be eliminated in head to head matchup)
Stephen F Austin
New Hampshire

Thats 22 teams. There are other teams that can still be eligible, but have slimmer odds of being so. These teams even if they become eligible are likely on the outside looking in unless atleast three teams above become ineligible.

Cal Poly
Florida A&M
Central Conn State
Dayton
Jacksonville

These next teams have almost ZERO chance of becoming eligible or if they do ZERO chance of making the field.

Weber State
Richmond
Duquesne
Wagner
Colgate
Chattanooga
Central Arkansas
Old Dominion
Stony Brook (can technically win the Big South auto bid... but I dont think they will)

Won't happen when Montana State beats Montana, Montana will be out.

[jd of de]

Please send Dayton to the UNIDOME, Delaware, or App State. To paraphrase Tubby in 2007 during the DE vs Del ST game on why the game wasn't scheduled before then, he said "You are seeing why."

Bring on anyone of them. I will be there to see the Flyers victory. Dayton ALREADY has a win over at least top 25, maybe top 20 Robert Morris. If we win next week, we should be in!

I'm all for rabid fans until they lose all reason. Please, you had a nice win over what has become a good RMU team. Then you give up 35 to the same Duquesne team UD mauled with a 2nd string QB and held without a touchdown one week later. Reason my friend; your out until you schedule a MVC team or the like.

[Pwns]

Autos
Big Sky - Eastern Washington (EWU is getting closer to the finish line and it's not looking likely anyone will catch them)
CAA - Delaware ( I think the Hens take out both UMass and Nova and W&M loses one of the next two, giving UD the best CAA record. Don't know if that's enough to give UD the auto per the rules but that's how I'm calling it)
SoCon - Wofford (I like the way Wofford matches up against App. State. I think the terriers avenge last year's a**-kicking at Chatty, also)
OVC - Jacksonville State (Jax State finds a way to win at home and then takes care of business @ Tennessee Tech to take the auto)
NEC - RMU (a lock, RMU returns to power in the NEC just in the nick of time for the first NEC autobid)
Big South - Liberty (LU could get an AL bid by virtue of their FBS win if Stony Brook takes the auto, but LU will win out and spare the committee the Liberty dilemma)
Southland - Stephen F. Austin (Northwestern's State's hopes of an unlikely SLC title end at SFA)
MEAC - Bethune Cookman (not an arithmatic lock, but is definitely sittin' real pretty right now)
MVC - Western Illinois (WIU beats UNI at home and sends UNI to the bubble)
Patriot - Lehigh (seems like the best pick)

At-Larges
CAA: Nova, W&M, Mass (Nova eliminates UNH from contention, W&M ends any playoff chances for Richmond)
Big Sky: Montana, Montana State (BRawl of the wild is going to be epic with huge stakes, but the Griz find a way to win it and their ridiculous playoff streak stays alive)
MVC: North Dakota State (if WIU beats UNI as I predict UNI is one of the first teams outside the bubble)
SLC: None (SFA ends NWST's cinderella run as I said)
SoCon: App. State, Georgia Southern (wishful thinking on my part, obviously)
Great West: Cal Poly (Poly beats Davis in a close one and stays alive)
OVC: SE Missouri State

[Northcoast]

Autos
Big Sky - Eastern Washington (EWU is getting closer to the finish line and it's not looking likely anyone will catch them)
CAA - Delaware ( I think the Hens take out both UMass and Nova and W&M loses one of the next two, giving UD the best CAA record. Don't know if that's enough to give UD the auto per the rules but that's how I'm calling it)
SoCon - Wofford (I like the way Wofford matches up against App. State. I think the terriers avenge last year's a**-kicking at Chatty, also)
OVC - Jacksonville State (Jax State finds a way to win at home and then takes care of business @ Tennessee Tech to take the auto)
NEC - RMU (a lock, RMU returns to power in the NEC just in the nick of time for the first NEC autobid)
Big South - Liberty (LU could get an AL bid by virtue of their FBS win if Stony Brook takes the auto, but LU will win out and spare the committee the Liberty dilemma)
Southland - Stephen F. Austin (Northwestern's State's hopes of an unlikely SLC title end at SFA)
MEAC - Bethune Cookman (not an arithmatic lock, but is definitely sittin' real pretty right now)
MVC - Western Illinois (WIU beats UNI at home and sends UNI to the bubble)
Patriot - Lehigh (seems like the best pick)

At-Larges
CAA: Nova, W&M, Mass (Nova eliminates UNH from contention, W&M ends any playoff chances for Richmond)
Big Sky: Montana, Montana State (BRawl of the wild is going to be epic with huge stakes, but the Griz find a way to win it and their ridiculous playoff streak stays alive)
MVC: North Dakota State (if WIU beats UNI as I predict UNI is one of the first teams outside the bubble)
SLC: None (SFA ends NWST's cinderella run as I said)
SoCon: App. State, Georgia Southern (wishful thinking on my part, obviously)
Great West: Cal Poly (Poly beats Davis in a close one and stays alive)
OVC: SE Missouri State

I think most people are forgetting that Eastern Washington has the same record as Montana State, and Montana State won the head to head easily. MSU is also ahead of EWU in Conference due to the head to head win. So if both win next week does the second place team in the BSC really get a seed over the BSC AQ who beat them head to head. Nope. Of course the Bobcats still need to beat dUMb first.

[GoSE]

UNHWildCats stated,
“Or even potentially SEMO if Jax state smacks them around bad enough.”
Although Jax State must be considered the favourite at home in a 24,000 seat stadium,
one needs to compare the following:
SE Missouri 40 Eastern Kentucky 21
Eastern Kentucky 49 Jacksonville State 37

[grizzaholic]

UNHWildCats stated,
“Or even potentially SEMO if Jax state smacks them around bad enough.”
Although Jax State must be considered the favourite at home in a 24,000 seat stadium,
one needs to compare the following:
SE Missouri 40 Eastern Kentucky 21
Eastern Kentucky 49 Jacksonville State 37

One bad week....

[Willie]

Won't happen when Montana State beats Montana, Montana will be out.

[jd of de]

Last year one 7-4 got in (Weber State); this year we have possibly four? For just a second imagine this year and the OLD format.

[Grizalltheway]

His "they're" there refers to Cal Poly, not Montana.

Exactly.

Way to FoxNews my quote there, GATW.

You're welcome.

[Willie]

All that matters is that the playoff system decides the true champion.

[SUUTbird]

Cal Poly is currently sitting at 6-3 against D1 schools including playing very well at Fresno State earlier this season. If the Mustangs beat UC-Davis i see them getting an at large big. Though the loss to Texas State does affect them a little a tough loss to as i mentioned Fresno and eventual Great West Champs SUU (who are currently 5-2 against FCS teams this season) dont look to bad. Mustangs should get in.

[ChoppinBroccoli]

If Richmond wins out I think their chances are better than zero.

[SloStang]

IMO, I think Cal Poly has a playoff resume. I'd be more inclined to see them in the 1st group than the 2nd. They played FBS Fresno tough, beat a pretty good ODU team.. but that loss to TX State stings them a bit.

I agree, but TXST has talent. They beat top 10 S.F. Austin on the road. They have had a very Jeckyl and Hyde type of year. We also were playing TXST with our 3rd sting QB who was making his 1rst and only start.

Also the McNeese State team we beat 40-14 on the road is also making a run in the Southland. Only loss in Southland play was to S.F. Austin and they had a lead with 1 minute left in that game.

[SloStang]

Cal Poly is currently sitting at 6-3 against D1 schools including playing very well at Fresno State earlier this season. If the Mustangs beat UC-Davis i see them getting an at large big. Though the loss to Texas State does affect them a little a tough loss to as i mentioned Fresno and eventual Great West Champs SUU (who are currently 5-2 against FCS teams this season) dont look to bad. Mustangs should get in.

SUU is a playoff worthy team that could do some damage in the playoffs. They have a great QB, RB and WR and a stout defense. They just scheduled themselves out of the playoffs.

[EWURanger]

I think most people are forgetting that Eastern Washington has the same record as Montana State, and Montana State won the head to head easily. MSU is also ahead of EWU in Conference due to the head to head win. So if both win next week does the second place team in the BSC really get a seed over the BSC AQ who beat them head to head.

Yeah, I saw that too. In reality, EWU is sort of trying to catch up with MSU since they've played one more game. But anyway, I wouldn't say MSU beat Eastern easily. Yeah, the score looks bad, but EWU left a lot of points on the field, just like MSU did last year when they played in Cheney. MSU had a few big plays which broke the game open for them, and to be honest were lucky that they knocked TJ out of the game early. If that game were played again at this point in the season, I wouldn't be too sure that the outcome would be the same.

And if both MSU and EWU win out - yes, it's possible that EWU could still get a seed over MSU, since EWU is a few spots ahead of MSU in the rankings, and won't drop unless they lose a game - which makes this a moot point anyway. Not saying I agree or disagree with this, it's just the way it is. That NAU loss is not looking too good for MSU right now, while the MSU loss for EWU is a "good" loss. It is what it is.

[EWURanger]

Cal Poly is currently sitting at 6-3 against D1 schools including playing very well at Fresno State earlier this season. If the Mustangs beat UC-Davis i see them getting an at large big. Though the loss to Texas State does affect them a little a tough loss to as i mentioned Fresno and eventual Great West Champs SUU (who are currently 5-2 against FCS teams this season) dont look to bad. Mustangs should get in.

SUU is a playoff worthy team that could do some damage in the playoffs. They have a great QB, RB and WR and a stout defense. They just scheduled themselves out of the playoffs.

I agree. This is a tough for for EWU this weekend. I just hope that EWU used their bye week wisely to prepare.