MVFC Week 10 Thread

[BisoNation]

3-2 last week for me in predictions. HUGE week of Valley play this week as we get down to only 3 weeks left. Who knows what to expect, but here's what I think...

#1 North Dakota State @ Missouri State
Like I said in the game thread, last time the Bison went to Missouri State was an ugly 3-0 loss. Missouri State is on a 3 game winning streak, but they're just not the football team we are. And the way NDSU plays on the road, we win big.

South Dakota @ Youngstown State
Irrelevant, but Youngstown finally gets another win.

Northern Iowa @ Western Illinois
Irrelevant, UNI wins.

#21 South Dakota State @ Southern Illinois
Saluki's keep making the plays they need and are playing great football, it's a shame they probably won't make the playoffs. I'm taking Southern Illinois in this one.

Game of the Week

#17 Illinois State @ #14 Indiana State
Indiana State sits atop the Valley right now, and rightfully so. They only have 2 games left on their schedule, this weekend hosting Illinois State and the last week of the season at Youngstown. I really, really want an Indiana State loss so the Bison can win the conference, I think it is possible, and you can bet I'll be cheering for it, but I think the Sycamores are playing good football and win at home.

With that said, Go Redbirds

[SuperHornet]

NDSU
Mr. Popper
UNI
SIU
IN St

[Theee Catrabbit]

Missouri State-Finally MSU puts it together on the Bizzzzoonnnnnn and they come away with a 2-0 victory here, in another game between the two teams that nobody can watch.
Youngstown State-YSU should be embarassed enough by now to beat the Yotes
Western Illinois- What the hell.....
#21 South Dakota State-All cylinders engaged for the Jacks now....pick your poison Zenner lambastes you for a couple hundred or Sumner throws 5 TD's on ya'?

Game of the Week

#17 Illinois State-Indiana State is just not that good, just because they beat the Bison in a fluke game.

[Thumper 76]

Missouri State-Finally MSU puts it together on the Bizzzzoonnnnnn and they come away with a 2-0 victory here, in another game between the two teams that nobody can watch.
Youngstown State-YSU should be embarassed enough by now to beat the Yotes
Western Illinois- What the hell.....
#21 South Dakota State-All cylinders engaged for the Jacks now....pick your poison Zenner lambastes you for a couple hundred or Sumner throws 5 TD's on ya'?

Game of the Week

#17 Illinois State-Indiana State is just not that good, just because they beat the Bison in a fluke game.

I think these are keepers

[skinny_uncle]

NDSU
YSU
UNI
SIU
Indy State

[Bison Fan in NW MN]

NDSU -- MSU's defense is playing pretty well but the Bison are too well rounded for the Bears.

YSU -- USD is bad....enough said.

UNI -- UNI playing for pride.

SIU -- SDSU is playing well right now but SIU is tough to beat in Carbondale. SIU's defense is pretty darn good.

Ill State -- Would like to be at this one. Taking the Redbirds in a close game.

[isumatt]

Ndsu
YSU
Uni
Siu
ILS

[Cap'n Cat]

3-2 last week for me in predictions. HUGE week of Valley play this week as we get down to only 3 weeks left. Who knows what to expect, but here's what I think...

#1 North Dakota State @ Missouri State
Like I said in the game thread, last time the Bison went to Missouri State was an ugly 3-0 loss. Missouri State is on a 3 game winning streak, but they're just not the football team we are. And the way NDSU plays on the road, we win big.

South Dakota @ Youngstown State
Irrelevant, but Youngstown finally gets another win.

Northern Iowa @ Western Illinois
Irrelevant, UNI wins.

#21 South Dakota State @ Southern Illinois
Saluki's keep making the plays they need and are playing great football, it's a shame they probably won't make the playoffs. I'm taking Southern Illinois in this one.

Game of the Week

#17 Illinois State @ #14 Indiana State
Indiana State sits atop the Valley right now, and rightfully so. They only have 2 games left on their schedule, this weekend hosting Illinois State and the last week of the season at Youngstown. I really, really want an Indiana State loss so the Bison can win the conference, I think it is possible, and you can bet I'll be cheering for it, but I think the Sycamores are playing good football and win at home.

With that said, Go Redbirds

MSU
YSU
UNI
SIU
INSU

[Bison Fan in NW MN]

Missouri State-Finally MSU puts it together on the Bizzzzoonnnnnn and they come away with a 2-0 victory here, in another game between the two teams that nobody can watch.
Youngstown State-YSU should be embarassed enough by now to beat the Yotes
Western Illinois- What the hell.....
#21 South Dakota State-All cylinders engaged for the Jacks now....pick your poison Zenner lambastes you for a couple hundred or Sumner throws 5 TD's on ya'?

Game of the Week

#17 Illinois State-Indiana State is just not that good, just because they beat the Bison in a fluke game.

Indiana State is a very good FB team.

[isumatt]

Illinois St has just knocked off Indiana St in Terre Haute 17-10!

REDBIRDS move to 8-2 (5-2) with a home game left vs NDSU after next weeks bye
Shakir Bell 'held' to 115 yards LOL

[Bison Fan in NW MN]

Illinois St has just knocked off Indiana St in Terre Haute 17-10!

REDBIRDS move to 8-2 (5-2) with a home game left vs NDSU after next weeks bye
Shakir Bell 'held' to 115 yards LOL

ILL State just punched their tix to the playoffs. They beat the Bison in 2 weeks and they'll have a 1st round bye for sure.

[BisoNation]

Illinois St has just knocked off Indiana St in Terre Haute 17-10!

REDBIRDS move to 8-2 (5-2) with a home game left vs NDSU after next weeks bye
Shakir Bell 'held' to 115 yards LOL

Big win for Ill St. Looks like Nov 17 at Ill St could be for the Valley championship

[Benne]

Jacks score 7 seconds remaining. See you next week in Fargo.

[Benne]

Jacks win 16-12

[JayJ79]

What the hell happened to Youngstown? They seemed fairly decent early in the season. And now they struggle to win a home game against the conference doormat. (after having dropped 4 straight themselves)

[DJH]

They blew their entire wad trying to beat UNI for the first time in 12 years. Been terrible ever since that day.

[skinny_uncle]

They blew their entire wad trying to beat UNI for the first time in 12 years. Been terrible ever since that day.

[JayJ79]

NDSU (5-1 MVFC; 8-1 O'all, all D1 even though two of them are cupcakey) is a playoff lock, definitely a seed if they win out, possibly a lower seed if they lose one.

SDSU (5-1 MVFC; 7-2 O'all, all D1) is probably in (though a home loss to USD might put them on the bubble, I dunno.).

ILS (5-2 MVFC; 8-2 O'all, all D1, one of them a PFL win) is in.

INS (5-2 MVFC; 7-3 O'all, w/ one being a D2 win and one a PFL win) could get to the requisite 7 D1 wins with a win at YSU, and their win at NDSU is a resume booster, but it depends how the rest of the bubble teams look.

[JayJ79]

I'm trying to figure out the MVFC autobid scenarios.
Some of them are clearcut, obviously
(if NDSU or SDSU win out, they get the bid)

But I'm not familiar with working a non-roundrobin schedule, and even with the text of the conference tiebreaker procedure, I'm at a loss for some scenarios. Such as this one:

NDSU beats SDSU, and loses at ILS (finishing at 6-2)
SDSU loses at NDSU, and beats USD (finishing at 6-2)
ILS beats NDSU (finishing at 6-2)
INS wins at YSU (finishing at 6-2)

The monkeywrench in that scenario is that Illinois State and South Dakota State do not play each other this season.

And just for the record, here are the tiebreaker procedures from the conference regs:

4.2.2 NCAA Automatic Qualifier. Ties shall be broken to determine the team which receives the automatic bid to the NCAA championship as follows:

• a. Two Teams Tied.
  • (1) In the event of a two-team tie in the conference results and the two teams played each other, the winner of the game shall be declared the NCAA automatic qualifier.
  • (2) If the tied teams did not play each other, then each team’s record against all common conference opponents shall be used to determine the NCAA automatic qualifier.
  • (3) If the teams are still tied, then each team’s record against the next highest common opponent in the conference standings shall be used to determine the NCAA automatic qualifier.
  • (4) If the teams are still tied, the latest available GPI ranking prior to NCAA selection shall be used as the final tiebreaker.
• b. Three or More Teams Tied.
  • (1) If at any point a tie is broken using the multiple-tie tiebreaker procedures and only two teams remain tied, the remaining teams shall revert to the two-way tiebreaker (head-to-head).
  • (2) If the tied teams all played one another, the team with the best cumulative record involving games among the tied teams shall be declared the NCAA automatic qualifier.
  • (3) If the tied teams all played one another and have identical records against the other tied teams, then each team’s recond against all common conference opponents shall be used to determine the NCAA automatic bid. If teams are still tied, then each team’s record against the next highest common opponent in the conference standings shall determine the automatic bid.
  • (4) If the tied teams did not play each other, then each team’s record against common conference opponents shall be used to determine the automatic bid. If the teams are still tied and they did not play each other, then each team’s recored against the next highest common opponent in the conference standings shall determine the automatic bid.
  • (5) If the teams are still tied, the latest available GPI ranking prior to NCAA selection shall be used as the final tiebreaker.