houndawg wrote:89Hen wrote:Last election a third party won a single electoral vote... 1968. Would be pretty rare.
Past performance goes out the window this cycle. If Trump and Sanders stay in the general as independents they
will get electoral votes.
Ain't gonna happen. The GOP is running out of people to run other than Trump - Rubio is toast, no one knows who Kasich is, and Cruz may be the most evil man in the world (and he can't hope to win anywhere outside of the South, and Trump actually does better than he does there). Even if the GOP abandons Trump at the convention, whomever they pick probably won't beat Trump head to head anyway, and they and Trump will split the vote in places where the GOP should win and the Dem will win instead.
As for the Dems, Sanders isn't going to run as an independent - if he loses the nomination it will be because he didn't get more delegates (not counting the super delegates, just the regular ones) than Clinton did. I don't see the super delegates swinging the nomination the other way.
You may see Trump and Sanders face off in the general, but it will be as the GOP and the Dem nominees. Heck, it's almost the same as them running as independents anyway.