I was a Johnson supporterHI54UNI wrote:Just admit it. You'll feel better! You're among friends!kalm wrote:
Yeah...thats kind of been the ongoing troll with me.
Way to keep up...
before it was a cool. All the smart conks on the board are followers of kalm.
kalm wrote: I was a Johnson supporter
You're welcome to get in line.
Chizzang wrote:kalm wrote: I was a Johnson supporter
You're welcome to get in line.
1) Army of Darkness is in kalm's top 5 list of all time greatest flicks.Chizzang wrote:kalm wrote: I was a Johnson supporter
You're welcome to get in line.
kalm wrote:I was a Johnson supporterHI54UNI wrote:
Just admit it. You'll feel better! You're among friends!
You're welcome to get in line.
CAA Flagship wrote:kalm wrote:
I was a Johnson supporter
You're welcome to get in line.
More like followers of Iskalm.
They said the same thing about the Navy base - that the AFBs would get shut down first. It went the way it went because shutting down the Navy base was the most painful. That was by designIbanez wrote:CID1990 wrote:Technically I'm an undecided.
I'm a SC voter so my vote doesn't matter because SC is going Trump (maybe Pres Hillary will close down Parris Island like Bill closed the Chas navy base)
Right now I am undecided whether I will vote for Johnson or if I won't vote at all (which, in this election, is also a vote)
Sent from my iPhone using TapatalkShe'd have an easier time shutting down MCAS-Beaufort than the depot at Parris Is.
That's it. I'm voting for Trump.kalm wrote:1) Army of Darkness is in kalm's top 5 list of all time greatest flicks.Chizzang wrote:
2) Bruce Campbell deserved an Oscar for that role.
3) You got it wrong. I'm Ash in this scenario. From left to right...Andy, Ivy, AZ, and HI54UNI...all awaiting kalm's marching orders...
I think you're probably right but three of the past four polls reported at Real Clear Politics right now have the race as too close to call in statistical terms including the last one which has Trump favored by 4 percentage points among respondents and a 4.5 percentage point margin of error for an individual estimate (4 way race). As I've written before a 4.5 percent margin of error for an individual estimate means something like a 7 to 9 percentage point margin of error for the difference between the two candidates. If the election were held tomorrow and Clinton won South Carolina that outcome would not be outside of the reasonable range of outcomes suggested by that poll.CID1990 wrote:Technically I'm an undecided.
I'm a SC voter so my vote doesn't matter because SC is going Trump (maybe Pres Hillary will close down Parris Island like Bill closed the Chas navy base)
Right now I am undecided whether I will vote for Johnson or if I won't vote at all (which, in this election, is also a vote)
Clinton is not going to carry SC. It will not be close.JohnStOnge wrote:I think you're probably right but three of the past four polls reported at Real Clear Politics right now have the race as too close to call in statistical terms including the last one which has Trump favored by 4 percentage points among respondents and a 4.5 percentage point margin of error for an individual estimate (4 way race). As I've written before a 4.5 percent margin of error for an individual estimate means something like a 7 to 9 percentage point margin of error for the difference between the two candidates. If the election were held tomorrow and Clinton won South Carolina that outcome would not be outside of the reasonable range of outcomes suggested by that poll.CID1990 wrote:Technically I'm an undecided.
I'm a SC voter so my vote doesn't matter because SC is going Trump (maybe Pres Hillary will close down Parris Island like Bill closed the Chas navy base)
Right now I am undecided whether I will vote for Johnson or if I won't vote at all (which, in this election, is also a vote)
Now, if you want a State where it's REALLY clear that Trump is going to win it's the one I'm in. The latest poll up for Louisiana has Trump with a 10 point margin among respondents with a 3.3 percentage point margin of error for an individual estimate.
Radical IskalmCluck U wrote:CAA Flagship wrote:
More like followers of Iskalm.
I think you're almost certainly right about her not carrying it. But I'm no sure about the close part. I guess part of it depends on what one thinks of as close. Here is what is available at RCP right now:CID1990 wrote:Clinton is not going to carry SC. It will not be close.
CAA Flagship wrote:Radical IskalmCluck U wrote:
Religion of Gluten-free Mononads in the Palouse. They worship kale and red artificial turf.
They have a history of desecrating pizza. Also known for their ruthless treatment of flies where they tie them to hooks and feed them to fish. Eclectic music can be heard from their tribal gatherings. They often try to disguise their left-leaning ideaology with crafty centric talk, but do not be fooled. They are known to collaborate with another dangerous organization, Chizzbollah of Seattle, thus forming a Northwest Axis of Evil.
POTY nominee!CAA Flagship wrote:Radical IskalmCluck U wrote:
Religion of Gluten-free Mononads in the Palouse. They worship kale and red artificial turf.
They have a history of desecrating pizza. Also known for their ruthless treatment of flies where they tie them to hooks and feed them to fish. Eclectic music can be heard from their tribal gatherings. They often try to disguise their left-leaning ideaology with crafty centric talk, but do not be fooled. They are known to collaborate with another dangerous organization, Chizzbollah of Seattle, thus forming a Northwest Axis of Evil.
Clinton will not take South Carolina. There's no need for polling data. Clinton..will not..take...South Carolina.JohnStOnge wrote:Just some additional comments on those South Carolina polls: The poll that shows Trump up 15, Trafalgar Group, is by a Republican entity and is also the lowest rated of the three polls that are rated at 538 with a C grade.
PPP is a Democratic entity, but is somewhat higher rated than Trafalgar at B+. Gravis is graded B- and as far as I can tell 538 has not graded Winthrop. But I looked at the methodology at http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/de ... px?id=9802 and it looks good to me.
While I don't dismiss the possibility that the Trafalgar Group poll could be closer to right and the other three closer to wrong, if I had to bet I'd bet it's the other way around and that the race in South Carolina is pretty close. By "close" I mean less than 5 percentage points.
I think Louisiana where I live has something on the order of a 10 to 15 percentage point edge for Trump. Limited information but I think it's reasonable to believe it's in that area. If I was in South Carolina I'd definitely vote for Clinton because I'd think there is some small possibility there could be a surprise. Some small possibility that who I voted for could make a difference. In Louisiana that's not the case. Problem is I can't bring myself to vote for Johnson for various reasons, some of which should be obvious, and I CERTAINLY can't vote for Stein. Maybe that Evan guy will be on the ballot.
The South Carolina polling results again for reference:
Flaggy doesn't need any more encouragement...Ivytalk wrote:POTY nominee!CAA Flagship wrote: Radical Iskalm
Religion of Gluten-free Mononads in the Palouse. They worship kale and red artificial turf.
They have a history of desecrating pizza. Also known for their ruthless treatment of flies where they tie them to hooks and feed them to fish. Eclectic music can be heard from their tribal gatherings. They often try to disguise their left-leaning ideaology with crafty centric talk, but do not be fooled. They are known to collaborate with another dangerous organization, Chizzbollah of Seattle, thus forming a Northwest Axis of Evil.
kalm wrote:
Flaggy doesn't need any more encouragement...
Agreed, not sure why he feels the need to waste precious paragraphs on something that won't happen. Hasn't Trump lied between now and when he first posted on this? Need to get on that!Ibanez wrote:Clinton will not take South Carolina. There's no need for polling data. Clinton..will not..take...South Carolina.JohnStOnge wrote:Just some additional comments on those South Carolina polls: The poll that shows Trump up 15, Trafalgar Group, is by a Republican entity and is also the lowest rated of the three polls that are rated at 538 with a C grade.
PPP is a Democratic entity, but is somewhat higher rated than Trafalgar at B+. Gravis is graded B- and as far as I can tell 538 has not graded Winthrop. But I looked at the methodology at http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/de ... px?id=9802 and it looks good to me.
While I don't dismiss the possibility that the Trafalgar Group poll could be closer to right and the other three closer to wrong, if I had to bet I'd bet it's the other way around and that the race in South Carolina is pretty close. By "close" I mean less than 5 percentage points.
I think Louisiana where I live has something on the order of a 10 to 15 percentage point edge for Trump. Limited information but I think it's reasonable to believe it's in that area. If I was in South Carolina I'd definitely vote for Clinton because I'd think there is some small possibility there could be a surprise. Some small possibility that who I voted for could make a difference. In Louisiana that's not the case. Problem is I can't bring myself to vote for Johnson for various reasons, some of which should be obvious, and I CERTAINLY can't vote for Stein. Maybe that Evan guy will be on the ballot.
The South Carolina polling results again for reference:
Any poll that shows Clinton close to Trump in SC is an indicator of just one thing-JohnStOnge wrote:I think you're almost certainly right about her not carrying it. But I'm no sure about the close part. I guess part of it depends on what one thinks of as close. Here is what is available at RCP right now:CID1990 wrote:Clinton is not going to carry SC. It will not be close.
It's a 7.6 point average but there's an obvious outlier. Three of the four polls, including the latest one, are "statistical ties." I would not be at all surprised to see Trump win it by 5 or fewer percentage points. Again, I wouldn't be surprised to see him win by more than that either. But it's not like Louisiana is right now.
We'll see. Especially with the extent to which Trump is screwing up right now.CID1990 wrote:Any poll that shows Clinton close to Trump in SC is an indicator of just one thing-JohnStOnge wrote:
I think you're almost certainly right about her not carrying it. But I'm no sure about the close part. I guess part of it depends on what one thinks of as close. Here is what is available at RCP right now:
It's a 7.6 point average but there's an obvious outlier. Three of the four polls, including the latest one, are "statistical ties." I would not be at all surprised to see Trump win it by 5 or fewer percentage points. Again, I wouldn't be surprised to see him win by more than that either. But it's not like Louisiana is right now.
That poll is doing something wrong
Dude. Nobody fucking cares.JohnStOnge wrote:Just some additional comments on those South Carolina polls: The poll that shows Trump up 15, Trafalgar Group, is by a Republican entity and is also the lowest rated of the three polls that are rated at 538 with a C grade.
PPP is a Democratic entity, but is somewhat higher rated than Trafalgar at B+. Gravis is graded B- and as far as I can tell 538 has not graded Winthrop. But I looked at the methodology at http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/de ... px?id=9802 and it looks good to me.
While I don't dismiss the possibility that the Trafalgar Group poll could be closer to right and the other three closer to wrong, if I had to bet I'd bet it's the other way around and that the race in South Carolina is pretty close. By "close" I mean less than 5 percentage points.
I think Louisiana where I live has something on the order of a 10 to 15 percentage point edge for Trump. Limited information but I think it's reasonable to believe it's in that area. If I was in South Carolina I'd definitely vote for Clinton because I'd think there is some small possibility there could be a surprise. Some small possibility that who I voted for could make a difference. In Louisiana that's not the case. Problem is I can't bring myself to vote for Johnson for various reasons, some of which should be obvious, and I CERTAINLY can't vote for Stein. Maybe that Evan guy will be on the ballot.
The South Carolina polling results again for reference:
